Long COVID Incidence Proportion in Adults and Children Between 2020 and 2024: An Electronic Health Record-Based Study From the RECOVER Initiative

Abstract:

Background: Incidence estimates of post-acute sequelae of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection, also known as long COVID, have varied across studies and changed over time. We estimated long COVID incidence among adult and pediatric populations in 3 nationwide research networks of electronic health records (EHRs) participating in the RECOVER (Researching COVID to Enhance Recovery) Initiative using different classification algorithms (computable phenotypes).

Methods: This EHR-based retrospective cohort study included adult and pediatric patients with documented acute SARS-CoV-2 infection and 2 control groups: contemporary coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)-negative and historical patients (2019). We examined the proportion of individuals identified as having symptoms or conditions consistent with probable long COVID within 30-180 days after COVID-19 infection (incidence proportion). Each network (the National COVID Cohort Collaborative [N3C], National Patient-Centered Clinical Research Network [PCORnet], and PEDSnet) implemented its own long COVID definition. We introduced a harmonized definition for adults in a supplementary analysis.

Results: Overall, 4% of children and 10%-26% of adults developed long COVID, depending on computable phenotype used. Excess incidence among SARS-CoV-2 patients was 1.5% in children and ranged from 5% to 6% among adults, representing a lower-bound incidence estimation based on our control groups. Temporal patterns were consistent across networks, with peaks associated with introduction of new viral variants.

Conclusions: Our findings indicate that preventing and mitigating long COVID remains a public health priority. Examining temporal patterns and risk factors for long COVID incidence informs our understanding of etiology and can improve prevention and management.

Source: Mandel H, Yoo YJ, Allen AJ, Abedian S, Verzani Z, Karlson EW, Kleinman LC, Mudumbi PC, Oliveira CR, Muszynski JA, Gross RS, Carton TW, Kim C, Taylor E, Park H, Divers J, Kelly JD, Arnold J, Geary CR, Zang C, Tantisira KG, Rhee KE, Koropsak M, Mohandas S, Vasey A, Mosa ASM, Haendel M, Chute CG, Murphy SN, O’Brien L, Szmuszkovicz J, Guthe N, Santana JL, De A, Bogie AL, Halabi KC, Mohanraj L, Kinser PA, Packard SE, Tuttle KR, Hirabayashi K, Kaushal R, Pfaff E, Weiner MG, Thorpe LE, Moffitt RA. Long COVID Incidence Proportion in Adults and Children Between 2020 and 2024: An Electronic Health Record-Based Study From the RECOVER Initiative. Clin Infect Dis. 2025 Jul 18;80(6):1247-1261. doi: 10.1093/cid/ciaf046. PMID: 39907495; PMCID: PMC12272849. https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/39907495/

Metabolic neuroimaging of myalgic encephalomyelitis/chronic fatigue syndrome and Long-COVID

Abstract:

Myalgic Encephalomyelitis/Chronic Fatigue Syndrome (ME/CFS) and Long-COVID are complex, disabling conditions that have emerged as significant public health challenges, affecting millions worldwide. Despite their growing prevalence, effective diagnostics and treatments remain limited, largely due to an incomplete understanding of their underlying pathophysiology. Both conditions share hallmark symptoms of chronic fatigue, cognitive dysfunction, and postexertional malaise, but their biological underpinnings remain to be elucidated. Neuroimaging offers a promising, noninvasive window into the brain’s metabolic landscape and has the potential to uncover objective biomarkers for these conditions.

In this mini review, we highlight recent advancements in metabolic neuroimaging, particularly positron emission tomography and magnetic resonance imaging/magnetic resonance spectroscopy, that reveal alterations in glucose and oxygen metabolism, neurotransmitter balance, and oxidative stress. These insights point toward shared disruptions in brain energy metabolism and neuroinflammatory processes, which may underlie the persistent symptoms in both ME/CFS and Long-COVID.

Importantly, while some findings overlap, inconsistencies in metabolite profiles between ME/CFS and Long-COVID underscore the need for further stratification and longitudinal research. Standardizing definitions, such as identifying Long-COVID patients who meet ME/CFS diagnostic criteria, could help improve study comparability.

By summarizing current imaging evidence, this review underscores the potential of neuroimaging to identify imaging biomarkers to advance the clinical diagnosis of Long-COVID and identify therapeutic targets for treatment development. As we continue to face the growing burden of Long-COVID and ME/CFS, metabolic imaging may serve as a powerful tool to bridge gaps in knowledge and accelerate progress toward effective care.

Source: Zhu Y, Quan P, Yamazaki T, Norweg A, Natelson B, Xu X. Metabolic neuroimaging of myalgic encephalomyelitis/chronic fatigue syndrome and Long-COVID. Immunometabolism (Cobham). 2025 Sep 12;7(4):e00068. doi: 10.1097/IN9.0000000000000068. PMID: 40958852; PMCID: PMC12435251. https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12435251/ (Full text)

A multi-omics recovery factor predicts long COVID in the IMPACC study

Abstract:

Background. Following SARS-CoV-2 infection, ~10-35% of COVID-19 patients experience long COVID (LC), in which debilitating symptoms persist for at least three months. Elucidating biologic underpinnings of LC could identify therapeutic opportunities.

Methods. We utilized machine learning methods on biologic analytes provided over 12-months after hospital discharge from >500 COVID-19 patients in the IMPACC cohort to identify a multi-omics “recovery factor”, trained on patient-reported physical function survey scores. Immune profiling data included PBMC transcriptomics, serum O-link and plasma proteomics, plasma metabolomics, and blood CyTOF protein levels. Recovery factor scores were tested for association with LC, disease severity, clinical parameters, and immune subset frequencies. Enrichment analyses identified biologic pathways associated with recovery factor scores.

Results. LC participants had lower recovery factor scores compared to recovered participants. Recovery factor scores predicted LC as early as hospital admission, irrespective of acute COVID-19 severity. Biologic characterization revealed increased inflammatory mediators, elevated signatures of heme metabolism, and decreased androgenic steroids as predictive and ongoing biomarkers of LC. Lower recovery factor scores were associated with reduced lymphocyte and increased myeloid cell frequencies. The observed signatures are consistent with persistent inflammation driving anemia and stress erythropoiesis as major biologic underpinnings of LC.

Conclusion. The multi-omics recovery factor identifies patients at risk of LC early after SARS-CoV-2 infection and reveals LC biomarkers and potential treatment targets.

Trial Registration. ClinicalTrials.gov NCT04378777.

Funding. This study was funded by NIH, NIAID and NSF.

Source: Gisela Gabernet, Leying Guan, Lauren I.R. Ehrlich, et al. A multi-omics recovery factor predicts long COVID in the IMPACC study. J Clin Invest. September 9, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1172/JCI193698. https://www.jci.org/articles/view/193698/ (Full study available as PDF file)

Post-COVID-19 Vaccination (or Long Vax) Syndrome: Putative Manifestation, Pathophysiology, and Therapeutic Options

Abstract:

With the global rollout of COVID-19 vaccines, vaccine safety remains a priority. Emerging concerns have raised the potential risk of a long COVID-like syndrome following vaccination, informally called long Vax and provisionally termed post-COVID-19 vaccination syndrome (PCVS). Our narrative review describes the putative manifestation, pathophysiology, and therapeutic approaches of PCVS based on the available evidence, mostly from case reports/series and observational studies.

Our review noted that PCVS typically manifests within days to weeks post-vaccination, with symptoms lasting months to years. PCVS may present as recognized diagnoses such as postural orthostatic tachycardia syndrome (POTS), small-fibre neuropathy (SFN), myalgic encephalomyelitis/chronic fatigue syndrome (ME/CFS), or as long-term sequelae of myocarditis, vaccine-induced thrombotic thrombocytopaenia (VITT), or immune thrombocytopaenia purpura (ITP). Symptomatically, PCVS overlaps with long COVID, such as fatigue and brain fog, but PCVS may involve more frequent paraesthesia and less dyspnoea.

We also review pathophysiological hypotheses of PCVS, focussing on the vaccine-derived spike protein and related immune responses. Finally, we discuss potential therapies used to treat patients with PCVS or related conditions, primarily documented in case reports/series, which could guide future clinical research. Overall, PCVS remains a poorly understood condition that requires more research to elucidate its prevalence, prognosis, risk factors, and treatments.

Source: Yong SJ, Kenny TA, Halim A, Munipalli B, Alhashem YN, AlSaihati H, Al-Subaie MF, Al Kaabi NA, Al Fares MA, Garout M, Sabour AA, Alshiekheid MA, Almansour ZH, Alotaibi J, Alrasheed HA, Alamri AA, Albayat H, Alamodi AS, Tombuloglu H, Mohapatra RK, Hazazi A, Rabaan AA. Post-COVID-19 Vaccination (or Long Vax) Syndrome: Putative Manifestation, Pathophysiology, and Therapeutic Options. Rev Med Virol. 2025 Sep;35(5):e70070. doi: 10.1002/rmv.70070. PMID: 40944962. https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/40944962/

Postural orthostatic tachycardia syndrome is associated with platelet storage pool deficiency

Abstract:

Mechanisms have been postulated to explain postural orthostatic tachycardia syndrome (POTS), however, the etiology of this often debilitating disorder remains unknown. We conducted a retrospective case-control study of 181 POTS patients who exhibited/reported bleeding symptoms for a specific platelet (PL) dysfunction disorder, delta granule storage pool deficiency (δ-SPD).Patients were included only if results of blood tests for δ-SPD were available.

Electron microscopy was utilized to diagnose δ-SPD. An ELISA assay was used to determine serotonin (5HT) concentration in PLs and medical record review was employed to collect patients’ clinical symptoms.The most common bleeding symptom was easy bruising (71%) but frequent nose bleeds, heavy menstrual bleeding, and a family history of bleeding were also commonly reported. Of the patients studied, 81% were diagnosed with δ-SPD.

Our investigation of 5HT concentration extracted from PLs revealed significantly lower levels of 5HT in POTS patients when compared to that of control subjects. Our data suggest that patients with POTS have significant comorbidities including bleeding symptoms and/or family bleeding histories, and have diminished PL 5HT levels supporting the hypothesis that POTS is a low 5HT level disorder.

While we describe a significant relationship with POTS and δ-SPD, this finding does not constitute an etiology for POTS.Our results establish an additional comorbidity frequently seen in POTS that could explain a number of disparate symptoms often affecting the severity of POTS.

Source: Gunning WT 3rd, Karabin BL, Blomquist TM, Grubb BP. Postural orthostatic tachycardia syndrome is associated with platelet storage pool deficiency. Medicine (Baltimore). 2016 Sep;95(37):e4849. doi: 10.1097/MD.0000000000004849. PMID: 27631244; PMCID: PMC5402587. https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC5402587/ (Full text)

A Perspective on the Role of Metformin in Treating Myalgic Encephalomyelitis/Chronic Fatigue Syndrome (ME/CFS) and Long COVID

Abstract:

Myalgic encephalomyelitis/chronic fatigue syndrome (ME/CFS) and Long COVID (LC) are increasingly recognized as debilitating postinfectious conditions that impact both individuals and society. Recent research highlights the potential of metformin, an antidiabetic agent, as a treatment for these syndromes by targeting their underlying mechanisms. This review assesses the effectiveness of metformin in ME/CFS and LC, which involve complex dysfunctions related to cytokines, glycolysis, ATP generation, oxidative stress, gastrointestinal microbiomes, and vascular endothelial function.

Metformin, traditionally known for its antihyperglycemic properties may offer broader therapeutic benefits by influencing these pathological pathways. It works by inhibiting complexes I and IV of the electron transport chain, which reduces the strain on malfunctioning complex V and decreases the production of harmful free radicals. Additionally, metformin’s impact on mTOR signaling could improve energy metabolism in ME/CFS and LC by downregulating an overactive but underperforming protein, thereby alleviating symptoms. Beyond the impact on cellular metabolism, metformin has shown to have anti-inflammatory, vascular, gastrointestinal, neuroprotective and epigenetic effects.

We explore this impact of metformin and the potential role it could play to help people with ME/CFS. While metformin shows promise, it is unlikely to be a stand-alone solution. Instead, it may be part of a broader treatment strategy that includes other therapies targeting neurocognitive and autonomic impairments.

Source: David Fineberg, Alain Moreau, Elena K. Schneider-Futschik, and Christopher W. Armstrong. A Perspective on the Role of Metformin in Treating Myalgic Encephalomyelitis/Chronic Fatigue Syndrome (ME/CFS) and Long COVID. ACS Pharmacology & Translational Science Article ASAP. DOI: 10.1021/acsptsci.5c00229 https://pubs.acs.org/doi/full/10.1021/acsptsci.5c00229 (Full text)

Long COVID and chronic fatigue syndrome/myalgic encephalitis share similar pathophysiologic mechanisms of exercise limitation

Abstract:

Post-acute sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 (PASC or “long COVID”) and chronic fatigue syndrome/myalgic encephalitis (CFS/ME) share symptoms such as exertional dyspnea. We used exercise oxygen pathway analysis, comprising six parameters of oxygen transport and utilization, to identify limiting mechanisms in both conditions. Invasive cardiopulmonary exercise testing was performed on 15 PASC patients, 11 CFS/ME patients, and 11 controls.

We evaluated the contributions of alveolar ventilation (V̇a), lung diffusion capacity (DL ), cardiac output (Q̇), skeletal muscle diffusion capacity (DM ), hemoglobin (Hb), and mitochondrial oxidative phosphorylation (Vmax) to peak oxygen consumption (V̇O2peak). To simulate targeted interventions, each variable was sequentially normalized to assess its impact on V̇O2peak. V̇O2peak was significantly reduced in both PASC and CFS/ME compared to controls.

Skeletal muscle O2 diffusion (DM ) was the most impaired parameter in both patient groups (p = 0.01). Correcting DM alone improved V̇O2 by 66% in PASC (p = 0.008) and 34.7% in CFS/ME (p = 0.06), suggesting a dominant role for peripheral O2 extraction in exercise limitation. Impaired skeletal muscle oxygen diffusion (DM ) is a shared mechanism of exercise intolerance in PASC and CFS/ME and may represent a therapeutic target. However, our findings are limited by small sample size.

Source: Jothi S, Insel M, Claessen G, Kubba S, Howden EJ, Ruiz-Carmona S, Levine T, Rischard FP. Long COVID and chronic fatigue syndrome/myalgic encephalitis share similar pathophysiologic mechanisms of exercise limitation. Physiol Rep. 2025 Sep;13(17):e70535. doi: 10.14814/phy2.70535. PMID: 40892700. https://physoc.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.14814/phy2.70535 (Full text)

Accelerated vascular ageing after COVID-19 infection: the CARTESIAN study

Abstract:

Background and Aims: Increasing evidence suggests that COVID-19 survivors experience long-term cardiovascular complications possibly through development of vascular damage. The study aimed to investigate whether accelerated vascular ageing occurs after COVID-19 infection, and if so, identify its determinants.
Methods: This prospective, multicentric, cohort study, included 34 centres in 16 countries worldwide, in 4 groups of participants—COVID-19-negative controls (ⅰ) and three groups of individuals with recent (6 ± 3 months) exposure to SARS-CoV-2: not hospitalized (ⅱ), hospitalized in general wards (ⅲ), and hospitalized in intensive care units (ⅳ). The main outcome was carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity (PWV), an established biomarker of large artery stiffness.
Results: 2390 individuals (age 50 ± 15 years, 49.2% women) were recruited. After adjustment for confounders, all COVID-19-positive groups showed higher PWV (+0.41, +0.37, and +0.40 m/s for groups 2–4, P < .001, P = .001 and P = .003) vs. controls [PWV 7.53 (7.09; 7.97) m/s adjusted mean (95% CI)]. In sex-stratified analyses, PWV differences were significant in women [PWV (+0.55, +0.60, and +1.09 m/s for groups 2–4, P < .001 for all)], but not in men. Among COVID-19 positive women, persistent symptoms were associated with higher PWV, regardless of disease severity and cardiovascular confounders [adjusted PWV 7.52 (95% CI 7.09; 7.96) vs. 7.13 (95% CI 6.67; 7.59) m/s, P < .001]. A stable or improved PWV after 12 months was found in the COVID+ groups, whereas a progression was observed in the COVID− group.
Conclusions: COVID-19 is associated with early vascular ageing in the long term, especially in women.

Source: Rosa Maria Bruno, Smriti Badhwar, Leila Abid, Mohsen Agharazii, Fabio Anastasio, Jeremy Bellien, Otto Burghuber, Luca Faconti, Jan Filipovsky, Lorenzo Ghiadoni, Cristina Giannattasio, Bernhard Hametner, Alun D Hughes, Ana Jeroncic, Ignatios Ikonomidis, Mai Tone Lonnebakken, Alessandro Maloberti, Christopher C Mayer, Maria Lorenza Muiesan, Anna Paini, Andrie Panayiotou, Chloe Park, Chakravarthi Rajkumar, Carlos Ramos Becerra, Bart Spronck, Dimitrios Terentes-Printzios, Yesim Tuncok, Thomas Weber, Pierre Boutouyrie, the CARTESIAN Investigators , Accelerated vascular ageing after COVID-19 infection: the CARTESIAN study, European Heart Journal, 2025;, ehaf430, https://doi.org/10.1093/eurheartj/ehaf430 https://academic.oup.com/eurheartj/advance-article/doi/10.1093/eurheartj/ehaf430/8236450 (Full text)

Mitochondrial function is impaired in long COVID patients

Abstract:

Background: The Long COVID syndrome is a major global health problem, affecting approximately 10–20% of individuals infected with SARS-CoV-2 virus with many remaining symptomatic beyond one year. Fatigue, reduced exercise tolerance and hyperlactataemia on minimal exertion have led to the suggestion of a bioenergetic defect. We hypothesised that mitochondrial dysfunction is a pathological feature in Long COVID cases and would correlate with clinical outcome.

Methods: This prospective, case-controlled, observational study recruited 27 participants with an established diagnosis of Long COVID syndrome from a single tertiary clinic together with 16 age-matched controls aged 25–65 years. Seahorse-based mitochondrial flux analysis and bioenergetics profile of isolated peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMCs) was performed and correlated with clinical phenotype.

Findings: Long COVID cases had an increased baseline and ATP-induced oxygen consumption rate with a significant attenuation in tetramethylrhodamine methyl ester perchlorate fluorescence response to oligomycin. Correlations were observed between mitochondrial function and autonomic health, quality of life and time from index infection. Sex-specific differences were also observed.

Interpretation: PBMCs from Long COVID subjects exhibit an exceptional and distinctive change in ATP synthase, as it contributes to the mitochondrial membrane potential rather than using it exclusively to generate ATP. The findings suggest that the enzyme runs both forward and reverse reactions, synthesising and hydrolysing ATP. The correlation of mitochondrial function with clinical phenotype in Long COVID may indicate a causal relationship and warrants further validation in larger scale studies.

Source: Macnaughtan, J., Chau, K. Y., Brennan, E., Toffoli, M., Spinazzola, A., Hillman, T., … Schapira, A. H. V. (2025). Mitochondrial function is impaired in long COVID patients. Annals of Medicine57(1). https://doi.org/10.1080/07853890.2025.2528167 https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/07853890.2025.2528167 (Full text)

ME/CFS and PASC Patient-Derived Immunoglobulin Complexes Disrupt Mitochondrial Function and Alter Inflammatory Marker Secretion

Abstract:

Autoimmunity is a key clinical feature in both post-infectious Myalgic encephalomyelitis / chronic fatigue syndrome (ME/CFS) and Post-Acute Sequelae of COVID (PASC). Passive transfer of immunoglobulins from patients’ sera into mice induces some clinical features of PASC. IgG-induced transfer of disease phenotypes has long been appreciated, yet the exact mechanism of disease development remains largely elusive.

Here, we demonstrate that IgG isolated from post-infectious ME/CFS patients selectively induces mitochondrial fragmentation in human endothelial cells, thereby altering mitochondrial energetics. This effect is lost upon cleavage of IgG into its Fab and Fc fragments.

The digested Fab fragment from ME/CFS alone was able to alter the mitochondrial energetics, resembling the effect of intact IgG. In contrast, the Fc fragment alone induced a hypometabolic phenotype characterized by a trend towards reduced overall ATP content. IgG from ME/CFS and PASC patients induced distinct but separate cytokine secretion profiles in healthy PBMCs.

Proteomics analysis of IgG-bound immune complexes revealed significant changes within the immune complexes of ME/CFS patients, affecting extracellular matrix organization, while the same from PASC patients pointed towards alterations in hemostasis and blood clot regulation.

We demonstrate that IgGs from ME/CFS patients carry a chronic protective stress response that promotes mitochondrial adaptation via fragmentation, without altering mitochondrial ATP generation capacity in endothelial cells. Together, these results highlight a potential pathogenic role of IgG in post-infectious ME/CFS and point to novel therapeutic strategies targeting antibody-mediated metabolic dysregulation.

Source: Bhupesh Kumar PrustyZheng LiuClaudia HollmannSharada KalanidhiAndreas SchlosserStephanie LammerGeorgy NikolayshviliE mils Edgars BasensLiba SokolovskaZaiga Nora-KrukleRobert K NaviauxGabriela RiemekastenRebekka RustJudith BellmannFriedemann PaulFranziska SotznyCarmen Scheibenbogen. ME/CFS and PASC Patient-Derived Immunoglobulin Complexes Disrupt Mitochondrial Function and Alter Inflammatory Marker Secretion.