How Long is Long COVID? Evaluation of Long-Term Health Status in Individuals Discharged from a Specialist Community Long COVID Service

Abstract:

Background: Post COVID-19 syndrome or Long Covid (LC) is a novel fluctuating condition with a protracted course in some patients. Specialist LC services have been operational in the UK since 2020 and deal with a high caseload of patients. Aims: To evaluate long-term outcomes in patients discharged from a community-based LC specialist service.

Methods: A service evaluation study that included patients who were well engaged in the services [completed the standard Patient Reported Outcome Measures (PROMs) and received intervention from clinician(s)] and had been discharged for at least 3 months from the service. They consented to the study and completed standard PROMs: COVID-19 Yorkshire Rehabilitation Scale (C19-YRS), EQ-5D-5L, and National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) criteria for Myalgia Encephalomyelitis/ Chronic Fatigue Syndrome (ME/CFS).

Results: Out of 460 patients contacted, 112 (average of 37.6 months since infection and 9.8 months post-discharge) completed the PROMs. 90.2% patients continued to experience LC symptoms and disability and had not returned to their pre-COVID health status. The average EQ-5D-5L index score was 0.53 (SD 0.29) highlighting a significant disability and that LC had become a long-term condition (LTC) in majority of patients who responded to the survey. 43% patients met the criteria for suspected ME/CFS.

Conclusion: A proportion of LC patients develop Persistent Long Covid (PLC) consistent with a LTC and had a significant overlap with ME/CFS.

Source: Bodey, R.; Grimaldi, J.; Tait, H.; Godfrey, B.; Witton, S.; Sharda, J.; Tarrant, R.; Sivan, M. How Long is Long COVID? Evaluation of Long-Term Health Status in Individuals Discharged from a Specialist Community Long COVID Service. Preprints 2024, 2024090813. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202409.0813.v1 https://www.preprints.org/manuscript/202409.0813/v1 (Full text available as PDF file)

Neutrophil degranulation, endothelial and metabolic dysfunction in unvaccinated long COVID patients

Abstract:

Background: Long COVID symptoms are widely diffused and have a poorly understood pathophysiology, with possible involvement of inflammatory cytokines.

Materials and methods: A prospective follow-up study involved 385 unvaccinated patients, started 1 month after SARS-CoV-2 infection and continued for up to 12 months. We compared circulating biomarkers of neutrophil degranulation, endothelial and metabolic dysfunction in subjects with long COVID symptoms and in asymptomatic post-COVID controls.

Results: The highest occurrence of symptoms (71%) was after 3 months from the infection, decreasing to 62.3% and 29.4% at 6 and 12 months, respectively. Compared to controls, long COVID patients had increased levels of the neutrophilic degranulation indices MMP-8 and MPO, of endothelial dysfunction indices L-selectin and P-selectin. Among indices of metabolic dysfunction, leptin levels were higher in long COVID patients than in controls.

Conclusion: In unvaccinated patients, symptoms may persist up to 1 year after acute COVID infection, with increased indices of neutrophil degranulation, endothelial and metabolic dysfunction. The clinical implications of specific inflammatory biomarkers require further attention, especially in individuals with fatigue and long COVID-linked cognitive dysfunctions.

Source: Di Ciaula A, Liberale L, Portincasa P, Khalil M, Galerati I, Farella I, Noto A, JohnBritto S, Moriero M, Michelauz C, Frè F, Olivero C, Bertolotto M, Montecucco F, Carbone F, Bonfrate L. Neutrophil degranulation, endothelial and metabolic dysfunction in unvaccinated long COVID patients. Eur J Clin Invest. 2024 Jan 16:e14155. doi: 10.1111/eci.14155. Epub ahead of print. PMID: 38226472. https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38226472/

Characteristics of long COVID and the impact of COVID-19 vaccination on long COVID 2 years following COVID-19 infection: prospective cohort study

Abstract:

This prospective cohort study aimed to identify characteristics of long COVID and any potential mitigating effects of COVID-19 vaccinations in patients 24 months following COVID-19 infection. Adult patients diagnosed with COVID-19 between February 17, 2020, and March 24, 2020, were scheduled to visit the study hospital four times (6, 12, 18, and 24 months after infection) to assess their symptoms, quality of life, and mental health. Among the 235 patients, 121 (51.5%) completed the study visits. Of these, 59.5% were female, with a median age of 52 years. Mild to moderate disease severity were identified in 101 (83.4%) patients.

A total of 75 participants (62.0%) were still experiencing long COVID symptoms 24 months after acute infection. Fatigue, amnesia, difficulty concentrating, and insomnia were the most common symptoms. The frequency of neuropsychiatric symptoms did not differ based on vaccination status or the number of doses received. Quality of life improved over time for the participants, but 32.2% of respondents still reported anxiety/depression at the end of the study. Overall, our cohort demonstrates that long COVID can persist up to 24 months after COVID-19 infection, affecting mental health and quality of life.

Source: Kim, Y., Bae, S., Chang, HH. et al. Characteristics of long COVID and the impact of COVID-19 vaccination on long COVID 2 years following COVID-19 infection: prospective cohort study. Sci Rep 14, 854 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-50024-4 https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-023-50024-4 (Full text)

Persistence of post-COVID symptoms in the general population two years after SARS-CoV-2 infection: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Abstract:

Objective: This meta-analysis investigated the prevalence of post-COVID symptoms two-years after SARS-CoV-2 infection.

Methods: Electronic literature searches on PubMed, MEDLINE, CINAHL, EMBASE, Web of Science databases, and on medRxiv/bioRxiv preprint servers were conducted up to October 1, 2023. Studies reporting data on post-COVID symptoms at two-years after infection were included. Methodological quality was assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale. Random-effects models were used for meta-analytical pooled prevalence of each symptom.

Results: From 742 studies identified, twelve met inclusion criteria. The sample included 7912 COVID-19 survivors (50.7% female; age: 59.5, SD: 16.3). Post-COVID symptoms were assessed at a follow-up of 722.9 (SD: 51.5) days after. The overall methodological quality of studies was moderate (mean: 6/10, SD: 1.2 points). The most prevalent post-COVID symptoms two-years after SARS-CoV-2 infection were fatigue (28.0%, 95%CI 12.0-47.0), cognitive impairments (27.6%, 95%CI 12.6-45.8), and pain (8.4%, 95%CI 4.9-12.8). Psychological disturbances such as anxiety (13.4%, 95%CI 6.3-22.5) and depressive (18.0%, 95%CI 4.8-36.7) levels as well as sleep problems (20.9%, 95%CI 5.25-43.25) were also prevalent. Pooled data showed high heterogeneity (I2 ≥ 75%).

Conclusion: This meta-analysis shows the presence of post-COVID symptoms in 30% of patients two-years after COVID-19. Fatigue, cognitive disorders, and pain were the most prevalent post-COVID symptoms. Psychological disturbances as well as sleep problems were still present two-years after COVID-19.

Source: Fernandez-de-Las-Peñas C, Notarte KI, Macasaet R, Velasco JV, Catahay JA, Ver AT, Chung W, Valera-Calero JA, Navarro-Santana M. Persistence of post-COVID symptoms in the general population two years after SARS-CoV-2 infection: A systematic review and meta-analysis. J Infect. 2023 Dec 13:S0163-4453(23)00590-X. doi: 10.1016/j.jinf.2023.12.004. Epub ahead of print. PMID: 38101521. https://www.journalofinfection.com/article/S0163-4453(23)00590-X/fulltext (Full text)

Incidence and persistence of post-COVID condition in children – a matched cohort study in Germany

Abstract:

Introduction: Long-term health effects of COVID-19 have been investigated by several large cohort studies. As most of these studies have been conducted in adults, data on the incidence and persistence of post-COVID-19 condition (PCC) among children and adolescents are still limited.
Methods: Using routine healthcare data from statutory health insurance in Germany, children and adolescents with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 in 2020 were matched to controls (neither documented nor clinically suspected COVID-19) and followed for incident health conditions until 2021-09-30. To study PCC in children we considered selected health outcomes including malaise/fatigue (R53), dyspnea (R06.0), and cognitive dysfunction (F06.7, U51, R41), developmental delay (F80-89), adjustment disorder (F43), chronic fatigue syndrome (CFS; G93.3), and altered smell/anosmia (R43). The incidence of PCC was determined based on the lack of related diagnoses in the 12 months preceding the index quarter. For each outcome incidence rate ratios (IRR) were estimated using Poisson regression.
Results: At 3-month-follow-up, about 40% more individuals with COVID-19 suffered from at least one of the specified health conditions compared to controls. IRR were highest for smell/anosmia and CFS. IRR were generally higher among adolescents (≥12 years) than among younger children. Only a minority of PCC diagnoses persisted for 12 months within the COVID cohort. Diagnoses were more frequently persistent in the younger age group after one year.
Conclusions: Despite that long-term consequences of COVID-19 are less common and usually less severe in children, a considerable share of those diagnosed with PCC still suffered from specific symptoms 12 months after acute infection. Considering the high number of infected persons our findings suggest a relevant PCC related burden for health care even among children and adolescents.
Key messages:

• In routine healthcare data adolescents showed stronger associations between COVID-19 and post COVID-19 related ICD-10 diagnoses than children < 12 years of age.

• Serious ICD-10 diagnoses persisted for a longer time in younger children than adolescents.

Source: F Ehm, D Wende, F Loser, A Vivirito, S Menzer, M Batram, T Buschmann, G Sarganas, C Scheidt-Nave, J Schmitt, Incidence and persistence of post-COVID condition in children – a matched cohort study in Germany, European Journal of Public Health, Volume 33, Issue Supplement_2, October 2023, ckad160.095, https://doi.org/10.1093/eurpub/ckad160.095 https://academic.oup.com/eurpub/article/33/Supplement_2/ckad160.095/7327923 (Full text available as PDF file)

A National Evaluation of Outcomes in Long COVID Services using Digital PROM Data from the ELAROS Platform

Summary:

Key findings of this service evaluation study:
• Patient characteristics: A sample of 5,318 patients from 14 participating NHS LC sites were analysed. The sample had a female:male ratio of 2.1:1. The average age was 48.4 yrs, with 87% (of those whose ethnicity was recorded) of white ethnicity and 9% of Black or Asian ethnicity.
• Comorbidities: This sample of patients had a low prevalence of co-morbidities (7%) with a clear onset of new LC symptoms after their COVID-19 infection supporting the onset of a new condition in this cohort of previously healthy individuals.
• Duration of LC: The average duration of LC in this sample was 384 days (>12 months) at first assessment in an LC site, with symptoms still ongoing at presentation, with more than 90% of the sample being non-hospitalised patients.
• Digital platform: A total of 17,471 PROMs (C19-YRS and EQ-5D-5L) were completed by this sample of patients with at least 1,532 participants completing multiple assessments on the same PROM on the digital PROM platform. The completion of PROMs around the 3-month mark was low for both measures (11.7% for C19-YRS and 14.6% for EQ-5D-5L). The ones who completed PROMs both around the 3-month mark and the 6-month mark were 4.3% for C19-YRS and 5% for EQ-5D-5L. This limits the generalisability of the findings in this evaluation to all the LC population, but the findings remain valid for this cohort of individuals.
• New-onset disability: 3,395 patients who completed at least one C19-YRS questionnaire at first assessment showed significant new-onset symptom burden, functional disability, and deterioration of overall health since the COVID-19 infection.
• Comparison between LC and other chronic conditions: The cross-sectional EQ-5D-5L Index value of 3,438 patients suggests the burden and disability in LC are worse than that reported in the literature for Diabetes Mellitus, COPD, Heart Failure, and Multiple Sclerosis.
• 3-month follow-up: Among those who completed an initial C19-YRS assessment and another at 3 months, there was a statistically significant improvement in symptom burden, functional disability and overall health. Patients at 3 months however still had significant LC symptom
burden and disability compared to their pre-COVID-19 health status, i.e., their condition had improved, but they were far off from a complete recovery. Among those who completed EQ-5D- National Evaluation of Long COVID Service Outcomes using ELAROS Data (09 Oct 23) Page 3 of 31
5L, at first assessment and at 3 months, their EQ-5D-5L Index score did not show any statistically significant improvement, but the EQ-5D-5L VAS showed a statistically significant improvement.
• 6-month follow-up: Among those who completed measures at the first assessment, 3 months, and 6 months, C19-YRS and EQ-5D-5L VAS showed statistically significant improvement whereas EQ-5D-5L Index Value showed statistically significant deterioration. Patients at 6 months still had
significant LC symptom burden and disability compared to their pre-COVID-19 health status, i.e., their condition had improved but had not fully recovered. The follow-up changes in scores support the efficacy of interventions provided by LC services and suggest that continued specialist input is needed to manage these patients with persistent symptoms.
• C19-YRS (condition-specific measure) vs EQ-5D-5L (generic measure): The 3-month month follow-up changes in scores and responsiveness of PROMs highlight that C19-YRS is a more sensitive measure than EQ-5D-5L in this cohort of individuals with LC. This is in keeping with the literature recommending the use of condition-specific measures in addition to EQ-5D-5L.
• Vocational problems: 62% of this sample had their work role affected with them having to either be on sick leave, reduce hours, change roles, or quit roles. Only 21% were able to maintain their previous roles held prior to their COVID-19 infection. This is suggestive of considerable productivity loss and financial implications to the country.
• Fluctuating condition: In patients who completed multiple assessments, it was evident that LC is a fluctuant condition with no necessary linear trend of improvement or deterioration between the domains of symptom burden, functional disability, and overall health. This highlights the need to understand the triggers for the condition and invest in self-management and ongoing support from community healthcare services.
• Long-Term Condition: In most patients in this sample, LC has evidently become a Long-Term Condition (LTC) with fluctuations in their condition causing disability and significant deterioration of their overall health status seen even after 18 months of LC with no complete resolution or full recovery. There needs to be a national investment in managing this new LTC along with other LTCs.

Source: Dr Manoj Sivan, et al.  A National Evaluation of Outcomes in Long COVID Services using Digital PROM Data from the ELAROS Platform. National Evaluation of Long COVID Service Outcomes using ELAROS Data (09 Oct 23) https://locomotion.leeds.ac.uk/wp-content/uploads/sites/74/2023/10/National-Evaluation-of-LC-Service-Outcomes-using-ELAROS-Data-09-10-23.pdf (Full text)

How long is Long-COVID? Symptomatic improvement between 12 and 18 months in a prospective cohort study

Abstract:

Introduction COVID-19 infection can precede, in a proportion of patients, a prolonged syndrome including fatigue, exercise intolerance, mood and cognitive problems. This study aimed to describe the profile of fatigue-related, exercise-related, mood-related and cognitive-related outcomes in a COVID-19-exposed group compared with controls.

Methods 113 serving UK Armed Forces participants were followed up at 5, 12 (n=88) and 18 months (n=70) following COVID-19. At 18 months, 56 were in the COVID-19-exposed group with 14 matched controls. Exposed participants included hospitalised (n=25) and community (n=31) managed participants. 43 described at least one of the six most frequent symptoms at 5 months: fatigue, shortness of breath, chest pain, joint pain, exercise intolerance and anosmia. Participants completed a symptom checklist, patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs), the National Institute for Health cognitive battery and a 6-minute walk test (6MWT). PROMs included the Fatigue Assessment Scale (FAS), Generalised Anxiety Disorder-7 (GAD-7), Patient Health Questionnaire-9 (PHQ-9) and Patient Checklist-5 (PCL-5) for post-traumatic stress.

Results At 5 and 12 months, exposed participants presented with higher PHQ-9, PCL-5 and FAS scores than controls (ES (effect size) ≥0.25, p≤0.04). By 12 months, GAD-7 was not significantly different to controls (ES <0.13, p=0.292). Remaining PROMs lost significant difference by 18 months (ES ≤0.11, p≥0.28). No significant differences in the cognitive scales were observed at any time point (F=1.96, p=0.167). At 5 and 12 months, exposed participants recorded significantly lower distances on the 6MWT (ηp2≥0.126, p<0.01). 6MWT distance lost significant difference by 18 months (ηp2<0.039, p>0.15).

Conclusions This prospective cohort-controlled study observed adverse outcomes in depression, post-traumatic stress, fatigue and submaximal exercise performance up to 12 months but improved by 18-month follow-up, in participants exposed to COVID-19 compared with a matched control group.

Source: Barker-Davies RM, O’Sullivan O, Holdsworth DA, et alHow long is Long-COVID? Symptomatic improvement between 12 and 18 months in a prospective cohort studyBMJ Mil Health Published Online First: 03 October 2023. doi: 10.1136/military-2023-002500 https://militaryhealth.bmj.com/content/early/2023/10/03/military-2023-002500.abstract (Full text available as PDF file)

Prevalence of Symptoms ≤12 Months After Acute Illness, by COVID-19 Testing Status Among Adults — United States, December 2020–March 2023

Summary:

What is already known about this topic? Post-COVID conditions, or long COVID, can persist for months or years after an acute COVID-19 illness and can include emergence of new symptoms or the occurrence of symptoms that come and go.

What is added by this report? In a multicenter study of adults with a COVID-like illness, symptom prevalence decreased over time after the acute illness. Approximately 16% of adults with COVID-like symptoms reported persistent symptoms 12 months after a positive or negative SARS-CoV-2 test result. At 3, 6, 9, and 12 months after testing, some symptomatic persons had ongoing symptoms, and others had emerging symptoms not reported during the previous period.

What are the implications for public health practice? Health care providers should be aware that symptoms can persist, emerge, reemerge, or resolve after COVID-like illness and are not unique to COVID-19 or to post-COVID conditions.

Abstract:

To further the understanding of post-COVID conditions, and provide a more nuanced description of symptom progression, resolution, emergence, and reemergence after SARS-CoV-2 infection or COVID-like illness, analysts examined data from the Innovative Support for Patients with SARS-CoV-2 Infections Registry (INSPIRE), a prospective multicenter cohort study. This report includes analysis of data on self-reported symptoms collected from 1,296 adults with COVID-like illness who were tested for SARS-CoV-2 using a Food and Drug Administration–approved polymerase chain reaction or antigen test at the time of enrollment and reported symptoms at 3-month intervals for 12 months.

Prevalence of any symptom decreased substantially between baseline and the 3-month follow-up, from 98.4% to 48.2% for persons who received a positive SARS-CoV-2 test results (COVID test–positive participants) and from 88.2% to 36.6% for persons who received negative SARS-CoV-2 test results (COVID test–negative participants).

Persistent symptoms decreased through 12 months; no difference between the groups was observed at 12 months (prevalence among COVID test–positive and COVID test–negative participants = 18.3% and 16.1%, respectively; p>0.05).

Both groups reported symptoms that emerged or reemerged at 6, 9, and 12 months. Thus, these symptoms are not unique to COVID-19 or to post-COVID conditions. Awareness that symptoms might persist for up to 12 months, and that many symptoms might emerge or reemerge in the year after COVID-like illness, can assist health care providers in understanding the clinical signs and symptoms associated with post-COVID–like conditions.

Source: Montoy JC, Ford J, Yu H, et al. Prevalence of Symptoms ≤12 Months After Acute Illness, by COVID-19 Testing Status Among Adults — United States, December 2020–March 2023. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2023;72:859–865. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.15585/mmwr.mm7232a2 (Full text)

Long-term health consequences among individuals with SARS-CoV-2 infection compared to individuals without infection: results of the population-based cohort study CoMoLo Follow-up

Abstract:

Background: Most of the previous studies on health sequelae of COVID-19 are uncontrolled cohorts and include a relatively short follow-up. This population-based multi-center cohort study examined health consequences among individuals about 1 to 1.5 years after SARS-CoV-2 infection compared with non-infected.

Methods: The study population consisted of adults (≥ 18 years) from four municipalities particularly affected by the COVID-19 pandemic in the year 2020 who completed a detailed follow-up questionnaire on health-related topics. Exposure was the SARS-CoV-2 infection status (based on IgG antibodies, PCR test, or physician-diagnosis of COVID-19) at baseline (May to December 2020). Outcomes assessed at follow-up (October 2021 to January 2022; mean: 452 days) included recurrent or persistent health complaints, incident diseases, health-related quality of life (PROMIS-29), subjective health, and subjective memory impairment. Logistic and linear regression models were adjusted for baseline sociodemographic and lifestyle characteristics (age, sex, municipality, education, smoking, body mass index), pre-existing health conditions (chronic disease/health problem, health-related activity limitation, depressive/anxiety disorder), and follow-up time.

Results: Among 4817 participants, 350 had a SARS-CoV-2 infection at baseline and 4467 had no infection at baseline or during follow-up. Those with an infection statistically significantly more often reported 7 out of 18 recurrent or persistent health complaints at follow-up: smell/taste disorders (12.8% vs. 3.4%, OR 4.11), shortness of breath (23.0% vs. 9.5%, 3.46), pain when breathing (4.7% vs. 1.9%, 2.36), fatigue (36.9% vs. 26.1%, 1.76), weakness in legs (12.8% vs. 7.8%, 1.93), myalgia/joint pain (21.9% vs. 15.1%, 1.53) and cough (30.8% vs. 24.8%, 1.34) and 3 out of 6 groups of incident diseases: liver/kidney (2.7% vs. 0.9%, 3.70), lung (3.2% vs. 1.1%, 3.50) and cardiovascular/metabolic (6.5% vs. 4.0%, 1.68) diseases. Those with an infection were significantly more likely to report poor subjective health (19.3% vs. 13.0%, 1.91), memory impairment (25.7% vs. 14.3%, 2.27), and worse mean scores on fatigue and physical function domains of PROMIS-29 than non-infected.

Conclusion: Even after more than one year, individuals with SARS-CoV-2 infection showed an increased risk of various health complaints, functional limitations, and worse subjective well-being, pointing toward profound health consequences of SARS-CoV-2 infection relevant for public health.

Source: Heidemann C, Sarganas G, Du Y, Gaertner B, Poethko-Müller C, Cohrdes C, Schmidt S, Schlaud M, Scheidt-Nave C. Long-term health consequences among individuals with SARS-CoV-2 infection compared to individuals without infection: results of the population-based cohort study CoMoLo Follow-up. BMC Public Health. 2023 Aug 21;23(1):1587. doi: 10.1186/s12889-023-16524-8. PMID: 37605232; PMCID: PMC10440884. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10440884/ (Full text)

Postacute sequelae of COVID-19 at 2 years

Abstract:

Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection can lead to postacute sequelae in multiple organ systems, but evidence is mostly limited to the first year postinfection. We built a cohort of 138,818 individuals with SARS-CoV-2 infection and 5,985,227 noninfected control group from the US Department of Veterans Affairs and followed them for 2 years to estimate the risks of death and 80 prespecified postacute sequelae of COVID-19 (PASC) according to care setting during the acute phase of infection.

The increased risk of death was not significant beyond 6 months after infection among nonhospitalized but remained significantly elevated through the 2 years in hospitalized individuals. Within the 80 prespecified sequelae, 69% and 35% of them became not significant at 2 years after infection among nonhospitalized and hospitalized individuals, respectively.

Cumulatively at 2 years, PASC contributed 80.4 (95% confidence interval (CI): 71.6-89.6) and 642.8 (95% CI: 596.9-689.3) disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) per 1,000 persons among nonhospitalized and hospitalized individuals; 25.3% (18.9-31.0%) and 21.3% (18.2-24.5%) of the cumulative 2-year DALYs in nonhospitalized and hospitalized were from the second year.

In sum, while risks of many sequelae declined 2 years after infection, the substantial cumulative burden of health loss due to PASC calls for attention to the care needs of people with long-term health effects due to SARS-CoV-2 infection.

Source: Bowe B, Xie Y, Al-Aly Z. Postacute sequelae of COVID-19 at 2 years. Nat Med. 2023 Aug 21. doi: 10.1038/s41591-023-02521-2. Epub ahead of print. PMID: 37605079. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41591-023-02521-2 (Full text)