A multiomics recovery factor predicts long COVID in the IMPACC study

Abstract:

BACKGROUND: Following SARS-CoV-2 infection, approximately 10%–35% of patients with COVID-19 experience long COVID (LC), in which debilitating symptoms persist for at least 3 months. Elucidating the biologic underpinnings of LC could identify therapeutic opportunities.

METHODS: We utilized machine learning methods on biologic analytes provided over 12 months after hospital discharge from more than 500 patients with COVID-19 in the IMPACC cohort to identify a multiomics “recovery factor,” trained on patient-reported physical function survey scores. Immune profiling data included PBMC transcriptomics, serum O-link and plasma proteomics, plasma metabolomics, and blood mass cytometry by time of flight (CyTOF) protein levels. Recovery factor scores were tested for association with LC, disease severity, clinical parameters, and immune subset frequencies. Enrichment analyses identified biologic pathways associated with recovery factor scores.

RESULTS: Participants with LC had lower recovery factor scores compared with recovered participants. Recovery factor scores predicted LC as early as hospital admission, irrespective of acute COVID-19 severity. Biologic characterization revealed increased inflammatory mediators, elevated signatures of heme metabolism, and decreased androgenic steroids as predictive and ongoing biomarkers of LC. Lower recovery factor scores were associated with reduced lymphocyte and increased myeloid cell frequencies. The observed signatures are consistent with persistent inflammation driving anemia and stress erythropoiesis as major biologic underpinnings of LC.

CONCLUSION: The multiomics recovery factor identifies patients at risk of LC early after SARS-CoV-2 infection and reveals LC biomarkers and potential treatment targets.

TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT04378777.

FUNDING:

National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID), NIH (3U01AI167892-03S2, 3U01AI167892-01S2, 5R01AI135803-03, 5U19AI118608-04, 5U19AI128910-04, 4U19AI090023-11, 4U19AI118610-06, R01AI145835-01A1S1, 5U19AI062629-17, 5U19AI057229-17, 5U19AI057229-18, 5U19AI125357-05, 5U19AI128913-03, 3U19AI077439-13, 5U54AI142766-03, 5R01AI104870-07S1, 3U19AI089992-09, 3U19AI128913-03, and 5T32DA018926-1, 3U19AI1289130, U19AI128913-04S1, R01AI122220); NIH (UM1TR004528); and National Science Foundation (NSF) (DMS2310836).

Source: Gabernet G, Maciuch J, Gygi JP, Moore JF, Hoch A, Syphurs C, Chu T, Doni Jayavelu N, Corry DB, Kheradmand F, Baden LR, Sekaly RP, McComsey GA, Haddad EK, Cairns CB, Rouphael N, Fernandez-Sesma A, Simon V, Metcalf JP, Agudelo Higuita NI, Hough CL, Messer WB, Davis MM, Nadeau KC, Pulendran B, Kraft M, Bime C, Reed EF, Schaenman J, Erle DJ, Calfee CS, Atkinson MA, Brakenridge SC, Melamed E, Shaw AC, Hafler DA, Augustine AD, Becker PM, Ozonoff A, Bosinger SE, Eckalbar W, Maecker HT, Kim-Schulze S, Steen H, Krammer F, Westendorf K; IMPACC Network; Peters B, Fourati S, Altman MC, Levy O, Smolen KK, Montgomery RR, Diray-Arce J, Kleinstein SH, Guan L, Ehrlich LI. A multiomics recovery factor predicts long COVID in the IMPACC study. J Clin Invest. 2025 Sep 9;135(21):e193698. doi: 10.1172/JCI193698. PMID: 40924481; PMCID: PMC12582403. https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12582403/ (Full text)

Complement dysregulation is a prevalent and therapeutically amenable feature of long COVID

Abstract:

Background: Long COVID encompasses a heterogeneous set of ongoing symptoms that affect many individuals after recovery from infection with SARS-CoV-2. The underlying biological mechanisms nonetheless remain obscure, precluding accurate diagnosis and effective intervention. Complement dysregulation is a hallmark of acute COVID-19 but has not been investigated as a potential determinant of long COVID.

Methods: We quantified a series of complement proteins, including markers of activation and regulation, in plasma samples from healthy convalescent individuals with a confirmed history of infection with SARS-CoV-2 and age/ethnicity/sex/infection/vaccine-matched patients with long COVID.

Findings: Markers of classical (C1s-C1INH complex), alternative (Ba, iC3b), and terminal pathway (C5a, TCC) activation were significantly elevated in patients with long COVID. These markers in combination had a receiver operating characteristic predictive power of 0.794. Other complement proteins and regulators were also quantitatively different between healthy convalescent individuals and patients with long COVID. Generalized linear modeling further revealed that a clinically tractable combination of just four of these markers, namely the activation fragments iC3b, TCC, Ba, and C5a, had a predictive power of 0.785.

Conclusions: These findings suggest that complement biomarkers could facilitate the diagnosis of long COVID and further suggest that currently available inhibitors of complement activation could be used to treat long COVID.

Source:Baillie K, Davies HE, Keat SBK, Ladell K, Miners KL, Jones SA, Mellou E, Toonen EJM, Price DA, Morgan BP, Zelek WM. Complement dysregulation is a prevalent and therapeutically amenable feature of long COVID. Med. 2024 Mar 8;5(3):239-253.e5. doi: 10.1016/j.medj.2024.01.011. Epub 2024 Feb 15. PMID: 38359836. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666634024000412 (Full text)

Overlapping Clinical Presentation of Long COVID and Postacute COVID-19 Vaccination Syndrome: Phenotypes, Severity, and Biomarkers

Abstract:

Background: Postacute sequelae of COVID-19 (PASC), also known as long COVID, and postacute COVID-19 vaccination syndrome (PACVS) present overlapping but distinct clinical challenges. We hypothesize that PASC and PACVS share clinical features but differ in symptom patterns and biomarker profiles. This study aims to identify differences in presentation and distinguish immunologic biomarkers relevant to general clinical practice.

Methods: This cross-sectional study analyzed 181 patients from a PASC clinic at Columbia University Irving Medical Center. Patients were divided into PASC with myalgic encephalomyelitis/chronic fatigue syndrome (MECFS), PASC without MECFS (LC), and PACVS groups. Prevalence and severity of self-reported symptoms, as well as immunologic abnormalities, were compared across groups.

Results: Fatigue was the most common symptom (Total: 88.95%; MECFS: 100.00%; PACVS: 92.86%; LC: 78.05%). The MECFS group generally reported more symptoms across all organ systems. The PACVS group reported higher rates of atypical chief complaints such as peripheral neuropathy (17.9%), tinnitus (7.1%), and rash (10.7%) compared to the other groups (P = <.01). Functional impairment was comparable between the MECFS and PACVS groups and less severe in the LC group. All groups had high rates of autoantibody positivity and cytokine elevation. The PACVS group showed significantly higher rates of anticardiolipin IgM (PACVS 42.9%, LC 11.6%; P = .02) and anti-U1-RNP (PACVS 21.4%, LC 2.3%; P = .04) positivity compared to the LC group.

Conclusions: PASC and PACVS share symptom overlap but exhibit distinct biomarker patterns, particularly elevated autoantibody levels in PACVS. These findings suggest autoimmune involvement, warranting further investigation for targeted therapies.

Source: Purpura L, Heisler T, Palmer S, Shah J, Graham A, Seo GY, Sturiza A, Javier X, Pinto G, Rosa A, Bosco J, Reis K, Sobieszczyk ME, Yin MT. Overlapping Clinical Presentation of Long COVID and Postacute COVID-19 Vaccination Syndrome: Phenotypes, Severity, and Biomarkers. Clin Infect Dis. 2026 Jan 9:ciaf624. doi: 10.1093/cid/ciaf624. Epub ahead of print. PMID: 41510565. https://academic.oup.com/cid/advance-article/doi/10.1093/cid/ciaf624/8417802 (Full text)

Comparable Immune Alterations and Inflammatory Signatures in ME/CFS and Long COVID

Abstract:

Background: Chronic Fatigue Syndrome (CFS), also known as Myalgic Encephalomyelitis (ME), is a debilitating condition characterized by persistent fatigue and multisystemic symptoms, such as cognitive impairment, musculoskeletal pain, and post-exertional malaise. Recently, parallels have been drawn between ME/CFS and Long COVID, a post-viral syndrome following infection with SARS-CoV-2, which shares many clinical features with CFS. Both conditions involve chronic immune activation, raising questions about their immunopathological overlap.

Objectives: This study aimed to compare immune biomarkers between patients with ME/CFS or Long COVID and healthy controls to explore shared immune dysfunction.

Methods: We analyzed lymphocyte subsets, cytokine profiles, psychological status and their correlations in 190 participants, 65 with CFS, 54 with Long COVID, and 70 healthy controls.

Results: When compared to healthy subjects, results in both conditions were marked by lower levels of lymphocytes (CFS-2.472 × 109/L, p = 0.006, LC-2.051 × 109/L, p = 0.009), CD8+ T cells (CFS-0.394 × 109/L, p = 0.001, LC-0.404 × 109/L, p = 0.001), and NK cells (CFS-0.205 × 109/L, p = 0.001, LC-0.180 × 109/L, p = 0.001), and higher levels of proinflammatory cytokines such as IL-6 (CFS-3.35 pg/mL, p = 0.050 LC-4.04 pg/mL, p = 0.001), TNF (CFS-2.64 pg/mL, p = 0.023, LC-2.50 pg/mL, p = 0.025), IL-4 (CFS-3.72 pg/mL, p = 0.041, LC-3.45 pg/mL, p = 0.048), and IL-10 (CFS-2.29 pg/mL, p = 0.039, LC-2.25 pg/mL, p = 0.018).

Conclusions: Notably, there were no significant differences between CFS and Long COVID patients in the tested biomarkers. These results demonstrate that ME/CFS and Long COVID display comparable immune and inflammatory profiles, with no significant biomarker differences observed between the two groups.

Source: Petrov S, Bozhkova M, Ivanovska M, Kalfova T, Dudova D, Nikolova R, Vaseva K, Todorova Y, Aleksova M, Nikolova M, Taskov H, Murdjeva M, Maes M. Comparable Immune Alterations and Inflammatory Signatures in ME/CFS and Long COVID. Biomedicines. 2025 Dec 8;13(12):3001. doi: 10.3390/biomedicines13123001. PMID: 41463013. https://www.mdpi.com/2227-9059/13/12/3001 (Full text)

A multidimensional immunological perspective on long COVID

Highlights:

  • Inflammaging may predispose to and be amplified by Long COVID.
  • SARS-CoV-2 may trigger autoantibodies disrupting neuroimmune balance.
  • Long COVID involves persistent immune system and autonomic dysregulation.
  • Biomarkers reflect immune and autonomic imbalance in Long COVID.
  • Biological clocks may help identify Long COVID vulnerability and guide care.

Abstract

Long COVID is a chronic condition that arises after SARS-CoV-2 infection and is characterized by persistent and often debilitating symptoms, such as fatigue, cognitive dysfunction (“brain fog”), dyspnea, and autonomic disturbances. Increasing evidence suggests that Long COVID shares key immunopathological mechanisms with autoimmune diseases, primarily sustained immune dysregulation.

In individuals with genetic or immunological susceptibility, SARS-CoV-2 infection can trigger the production of autoantibodies targeting cytokines, membrane receptors, and components of the autonomic nervous system (ANS), thereby disrupting neuroimmune homeostasis. This immune imbalance may impair anti-inflammatory regulatory pathways, such as the cholinergic anti-inflammatory pathway (CAP), and may contribute to a chronic state of inflammation and autoimmunity. One proposed contributor to this process is inflammaging – a chronic, low-grade inflammation associated with aging – which may not only predispose individuals to Long COVID but may also be amplified by the persistent immune activation seen in this condition.

In this perspective, we propose a conceptual framework in which inflammaging, immune-tolerance breakdown, and autonomic dysfunctions interact to sustain the pathophysiology of Long COVID. We discuss emerging biomarkers across these axes, including inflammatory cytokines, circulating autoantibodies, immune cell phenotypes, epigenetic modifications, and heart rate variability. Advances in inflammaging-related biomarkers and biological clocks may support early identification of individuals at higher risk for persistent immune and autonomic dysregulation, ultimately informing more precise diagnostic and therapeutic strategies for Long COVID.

Source: Giunta S, Giuliani A, Sabbatinelli J, Olivieri F. A multidimensional immunological perspective on long COVID. Cytokine Growth Factor Rev. 2025 Aug;84:1-11. doi: 10.1016/j.cytogfr.2025.07.001. Epub 2025 Jul 5. PMID: 40640033. https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/40640033/

Urinary Peptidomic Profiling In Post-Acute Sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 Infection: A Case-Control Study

Abstract:

Post-acute sequelae of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2-infection (PASC) is challenging to diagnose and treat, and its molecular pathophysiology remains unclear. Urinary peptidomics can provide valuable information on urine peptides that may enable improved and specified PASC diagnosis.
Using standardized capillary electrophoresis-MS, we examined the urinary peptidomes of 50 patients with PASC 10 months after COVID-19 and 50 controls, including healthy individuals (n = 42) and patients with non-COVID-19-associated myalgic encephalomyelitis/chronic fatigue syndrome (ME/CFS) (n = 8).Based on peptide abundance differences between cases and controls, we developed a diagnostic model using a support vector machine. The abundance of 195 urine peptides among PASC patients significantly differed from that in controls, with a predominant abundance of collagen alpha chains. This molecular signature (PASC195) effectively distinguished PASC cases from controls in the training set (AUC of 0.949 [95% CI 0.900–0.998; p < 0.0001]) and independent validation set (AUC of 0.962 [95% CI 0.897–1.00]; p < 0.0001]). In silico assessment suggested exercise, GLP-1RAs and mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists (MRAs) as potentially efficacious interventions. We present a novel and non-invasive diagnostic model for PASC. Reflecting its molecular pathophysiology, PASC195 has the potential to advance diagnostics and inform therapeutic interventions.

Statement of Significance of the Study

Despite the recent emergence of omics-derived candidates for post-acute sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 infection (PASC), the pending validation of proposed markers and lack of consensus result in the continuous reliance on symptom-based criteria, being subject to diagnostic uncertainties and potential recall bias. Building upon prior findings of renal involvement in acute COVID-19 pathophysiology and PASC-associated alterations, we hypothesized that the use of urinary peptides for PASC-specific biomarker discovery, unlike conventional specimens that have been utilized thus far, may offer complementary information on putative disease mechanisms.

In the present study, 195 significantly expressed peptides were used to form a classifier termed PASC195, which effectively discriminated PASC from non-PASC (p < 0.0001), including healthy individuals and non-COVID-19-associated myalgic encephalomyelitis/chronic fatigue syndrome, in both the derivation (n = 60) and an independent validation set (n = 40). The peptidome profile associated with PASC was consistent with a shift in collagen turnover, with most PASC195 peptides derived from alpha chains. Ongoing inflammatory responses, hemostatic imbalances, and endothelial damage were indicated by cross-sectional variations in endogenous peptide excretion.

Source: Gülmez D, Siwy J, Kurz K, Wendt R, Banasik M, Peters B, Dudoignon E, Depret F, Salgueira M, Nowacki E, Kurnikowski A, Mussnig S, Krenn S, Gonos S, Löffler-Ragg J, Weiss G, Mischak H, Hecking M, Schernhammer E, Beige J; UriCoV Working Group. Urinary Peptidomic Profiling In Post-Acute Sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 Infection: A Case-Control Study. Proteomics. 2025 Nov 21:e70074. doi: 10.1002/pmic.70074. Epub ahead of print. PMID: 41273049. https://analyticalsciencejournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/pmic.70074 (Full text)

Integrated immune, hormonal, and transcriptomic profiling reveals sex-specific dysregulation in long COVID patients with ME/CFS

Abstract:

Long COVID (LC) manifests with sex-specific differences, particularly in those with myalgic encephalomyelitis/chronic fatigue syndrome (ME/CFS). Our study reveals that female LC patients (LCF) with ME/CFS show a shift toward myelopoiesis, reduced lymphocytes, increased neutrophils/monocytes, and depleted regulatory T cells-suggesting persistent immune activation. Elevated CD71+ erythroid cells and disrupted erythropoiesis contribute to fatigue and tissue damage in LCF.

Cytokine profiling indicates a stronger pro-inflammatory response in LCF compared to males (LCM), along with markers of gut barrier dysfunction. Hormonal analysis shows reduced testosterone in LCF and estradiol in LCM. Transcriptomic data reveal neuroinflammatory signatures in LCF, potentially explaining cognitive symptoms. We also identify biomarkers that distinguish LCF from LCM and correlate with sex-specific clinical symptoms.

Overall, LC with ME/CFS is characterized by sex-specific immune, hormonal, and transcriptional alterations, with females exhibiting more severe inflammation. These insights underscore the need for sex-tailored interventions, including consideration of hormone replacement therapy.

Source: Shahbaz S, Osman M, Syed H, Mason A, Rosychuk RJ, Cohen Tervaert JW, Elahi S. Integrated immune, hormonal, and transcriptomic profiling reveals sex-specific dysregulation in long COVID patients with ME/CFS. Cell Rep Med. 2025 Nov 7:102449. doi: 10.1016/j.xcrm.2025.102449. Epub ahead of print. PMID: 41205594. https://www.cell.com/cell-reports-medicine/fulltext/S2666-3791(25)00522-1 (Full text)

Blood parameters differentiate post COVID-19 condition from Myalgic Encephalomyelitis/Chronic Fatigue Syndrome and Fibromyalgia

Abstract:

Post-COVID-19 condition, such as Myalgic Encephalomyelitis/Chronic Fatigue Syndrome (ME/CFS) and Fibromyalgia (FM), are characterized by fatigue, pain, shortness of breath, sleep disturbances, cognitive dysfunction and other symptoms, heavily impacting on patients daily functioning. Moreover, over half of patients end up fulfilling ME/CFS and/or FM clinical criteria after a few months of SARS-CoV-2 infection.

Expression of the toxic human endogenous retrovirus (HERV)-W ENV protein can be induced by viral infection and HERV-W detection was correlated with acute COVID-19 severity and found significantly expressed in post-COVID-19 condition. This study shows that HERV-W ENV may also be present in prepandemic cases of ME/CFS, FM or co-diagnosed with both clinical criteria, suggesting viral participation in these chronic diseases.

To learn whether associated antiviral mechanisms may also show differing patterns of immunological responses, we measured IgM, IgG, IgA and IgE antibody isotypes against SARS-CoV-2 spike and nucleocapsid antigens, the levels of IL-6, IL-8, IL-10, IFNγ and TNFα cytokines, the level of NfL, a neural damage biomarker, as well as some blood cell markers potentially related with fatigue.

Importantly, some of the measured variables showed a capacity to discriminate post-COVID-19 condition cases from all other participants, with 100 % sensitivity and up to 71.9 % specificity providing a new tool for a differential diagnosis between diseases or syndromes with so many overlapping clinical symptoms. Interestingly, the detected markers showed moderate-to-strong correlations with patient symptoms pointing at novel therapeutic opportunities.

Source: Giménez-Orenga K, Pierquin J, Brunel J, Charvet B, Martín-Martínez E, Lemarinier M, Fried S, Lucas A, Perron H, Oltra E. Blood parameters differentiate post COVID-19 condition from Myalgic Encephalomyelitis/Chronic Fatigue Syndrome and Fibromyalgia. Brain Behav Immun Health. 2025 Jul 4;48:101058. doi: 10.1016/j.bbih.2025.101058. PMID: 40726775; PMCID: PMC12302357. https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12302357/ (Full text)

Immune Signatures in Post-Acute Sequelae of COVID-19 (PASC) and Myalgia/Chronic Fatigue Syndrome (ME/CFS): Insights from the Fecal Microbiome and Serum Cytokine Profiles

Abstract:

While there are many postulates for the etiology of post-viral chronic fatigue and other symptomatology, little is known. We draw on our past experience of these syndromes to devise means which can expose the primary players of this malady in terms of a panoply participating biomolecules and the state of the stool microbiome.
Using databases established from a large dataset of patients at risk of colorectal cancer who were followed longitudinally over 3 decades, and a smaller database dedicated to building a Long PASC cohort (Post-Acute Sequelae of COVID-19), we were able to ascertain factors that predisposed patients to (and resulted in) significant changes in various biomarkers, i.e., the stool microbiome and serum cytokine levels, which we verified by collecting stool and serum samples.
There were significant changes in the stool microbiome with an inversion from the usual Bacillota and Bacteroidota species. Serum cytokines showed significant differences in MIP-1β versus TARC (CC chemokine ligand 17) in patients with either PASC or COVID-19 (p < 0.02); IL10 versus IL-12p70a (p < 0.02); IL-1b versus IL-6 (p < 0.01); MCP1 versus TARC (p < 0.03); IL-8 versus TARC (p < 0.002); and Eotaxin3 versus TARC (p < 0.004) in PASC. Some changes were seen solely in COVID-19, including MDC versus MIP-1α (p < 0.01); TNF-α versus IL-1-β (p < 0.06); MCP4 versus TARC (p < 0.0001). We also show correlates with chronic fatigue where an etiology was not identified.
These findings in patients with positive criteria for PASC show profound changes in the microbiome and serum cytokine expression. Patients with chronic fatigue without clear viral etiologies also have common associations, including a history of tonsillectomy, which evokes a likely immune etiology.
Source: Tobi, M., Chaudhari, D., Ryan, E. P., Rossi, N. F., Koka, O., Baxter, B., Tipton, M., Dutt, T. S., Tobi, Y., McVicker, B., & Angoa-Perez, M. (2025). Immune Signatures in Post-Acute Sequelae of COVID-19 (PASC) and Myalgia/Chronic Fatigue Syndrome (ME/CFS): Insights from the Fecal Microbiome and Serum Cytokine Profiles. Biomolecules15(7), 928. https://doi.org/10.3390/biom15070928 https://www.mdpi.com/2218-273X/15/7/928 (Full text)

Disruptions in serotonin- and kynurenine pathway metabolism in post-COVID: biomarkers and treatment

Introduction:

This opinion article attempts to connect knowledge about post-COVID syndrome (PCS) gained in neuropsychiatry and immunology. It discusses some misunderstandings about PCS in light of the interplay between the serotonergic system and the kynurenine pathway (KP). From a new perspective, potential biomarkers for further research and therapeutic targets are identified.

Due to the severity and extent of PCS, researchers are urgently searching for its causes and treatments. For neurocognitive and autonomic nervous system problems such as present in PCS, it is common to encounter dysregulated neurotransmitter systems. Among the neurotransmitters, serotonin plays a special role in the immune system and in regulating inflammatory responses by central and peripheral mechanisms (). Serotonin—also known as 5-hydroxytryptamine (5-HT)—is a neurotransmitter with a stimulating effect that influences memory, mood, self-confidence, sleep, emotion, orgasm and eating ().

Serotonin not only binds to serotonergic receptors on neurons, but also to receptors on immune cells (). Many studies indicate that serotonin and its receptors, especially 5-HT3 receptors (one of the serotonin receptors), are involved in the pathogenesis of chronic inflammatory conditions (). Therapeutic applications of 5-HT3 receptor antagonists for instance have been reported in rheumatoid arthritis (). An essential amino acid in the serotonin system and also in the KP is tryptophan, a precursor of both serotonin and kynurenine (see Figure 1) and part of a regular diet (). The KP is a pathway creating an important energy factor and is modulated in conditions as infection and stress (). Kynurenine regulates the balance between two types of thymus cells (T-cells): regulatory T-cells (Treg-cells), and subsets of T helper 17 cells (Th17 cells) that produce cytokines and have a signaling function ().

In this opinion article I address the question whether disruptions in the serotonin- and kynurenine pathway metabolism lead to new biomarkers and treatment in PCS.

Source: Rus CP. Disruptions in serotonin- and kynurenine pathway metabolism in post-COVID: biomarkers and treatment. Front Neurol. 2025 Feb 13;16:1532383. doi: 10.3389/fneur.2025.1532383. PMID: 40027165; PMCID: PMC11869386. https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11869386/ (Full text)