Effect of Paxlovid Treatment on Long COVID Onset: An EHR-Based Target Trial Emulation from N3C

Abstract:

Preventing and treating post-acute sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 infection (PASC), commonly known as Long COVID, has become a public health priority. In this study, we examined whether treatment with Paxlovid in the acute phase of COVID-19 helps prevent the onset of PASC.

We used electronic health records from the National Covid Cohort Collaborative (N3C) to define a cohort of 426,461 patients who had COVID-19 since April 1, 2022, and were eligible for Paxlovid treatment due to risk for progression to severe COVID-19. We used the target trial emulation (TTE) framework to estimate the effect of Paxlovid treatment on PASC incidence.

Our primary outcome measure was a PASC computable phenotype. Secondary outcomes were the onset of novel cognitive, fatigue, and respiratory symptoms in the post-acute period. Paxlovid treatment did not have a significant effect on overall PASC incidence (relative risk [RR] = 0.99, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.96-1.01). However, its effect varied across the cognitive (RR = 0.85, 95% CI 0.79-0.90), fatigue (RR = 0.93, 95% CI 0.89-0.96), and respiratory (RR = 0.99, 95% CI 0.95-1.02) symptom clusters, suggesting that Paxlovid treatment may help prevent post-acute cognitive and fatigue symptoms more than others.

Source: Alexander Preiss, Abhishek Bhatia, Chengxi Zang, Leyna V. Aragon, John M. Baratta, Monika Baskaran, Frank Blancero, M. Daniel Brannock, Robert F. Chew, Iván Díaz, Megan Fitzgerald, Elizabeth P. Kelly, Andrea Zhou, Mark G. Weiner, Thomas W. Carton, Fei Wang, Rainu Kaushal, Christopher G. Chute, Melissa Haendel, Richard Moffitt, Emily Pfaff. Effect of Paxlovid Treatment on Long COVID Onset: An EHR-Based Target Trial Emulation from N3C. medRxiv 2024.01.20.24301525; doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2024.01.20.24301525 https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2024.01.20.24301525v1.full-text (Full text)

Association of nirmatrelvir for acute SARS-CoV-2 infection with subsequent Long COVID symptoms in an observational cohort study

Abstract:

Oral nirmatrelvir/ritonavir is approved as treatment for acute COVID-19, but the effect of treatment during acute infection on risk of Long COVID is unknown. We hypothesized that nirmatrelvir treatment during acute SARS-CoV-2 infection reduces risk of developing Long COVID and rebound after treatment is associated with Long COVID. We conducted an observational cohort study within the Covid Citizen Science (CCS) study, an online cohort study with over 100 000 participants.

We included vaccinated, nonhospitalized, nonpregnant individuals who reported their first SARS-CoV-2 positive test March–August 2022. Oral nirmatrelvir/ritonavir treatment was ascertained during acute SARS-CoV-2 infection. Patient-reported Long COVID symptoms, symptom rebound and test-positivity rebound were asked on subsequent surveys at least 3 months after SARS-CoV-2 infection. A total of 4684 individuals met the eligibility criteria, of whom 988 (21.1%) were treated and 3696 (78.9%) were untreated; 353/988 (35.7%) treated and 1258/3696 (34.0%) untreated responded to the Long COVID survey (n = 1611). Among 1611 participants, median age was 55 years and 66% were female.

At 5.4 ± 1.3 months after infection, nirmatrelvir treatment was not associated with subsequent Long COVID symptoms (odds ratio [OR]: 1.15; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.80–1.64; p = 0.45). Among 666 treated who answered rebound questions, rebound symptoms or test positivity were not associated with Long COVID symptoms (OR: 1.34; 95% CI: 0.74–2.41; p = 0.33).

Within this cohort of vaccinated, nonhospitalized individuals, oral nirmatrelvir treatment during acute SARS-CoV-2 infection and rebound after nirmatrelvir treatment were not associated with Long COVID symptoms more than 90 days after infection.

Source: Durstenfeld MSPeluso MJLin F, et al. Association of nirmatrelvir for acute SARS-CoV-2 infection with subsequent Long COVID symptoms in an observational cohort studyJ Med Virol202496:e29333. doi:10.1002/jmv.29333 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/jmv.29333 (Full text)

Predictive models of long COVID

Abstract:

Background: The cause and symptoms of long COVID are poorly understood. It is challenging to predict whether a given COVID-19 patient will develop long COVID in the future.

Methods: We used electronic health record (EHR) data from the National COVID Cohort Collaborative to predict the incidence of long COVID. We trained two machine learning (ML) models – logistic regression (LR) and random forest (RF). Features used to train predictors included symptoms and drugs ordered during acute infection, measures of COVID-19 treatment, pre-COVID comorbidities, and demographic information. We assigned the ‘long COVID’ label to patients diagnosed with the U09.9 ICD10-CM code. The cohorts included patients with (a) EHRs reported from data partners using U09.9 ICD10-CM code and (b) at least one EHR in each feature category. We analysed three cohorts: all patients (n = 2,190,579; diagnosed with long COVID = 17,036), inpatients (149,319; 3,295), and outpatients (2,041,260; 13,741).

Findings: LR and RF models yielded median AUROC of 0.76 and 0.75, respectively. Ablation study revealed that drugs had the highest influence on the prediction task. The SHAP method identified age, gender, cough, fatigue, albuterol, obesity, diabetes, and chronic lung disease as explanatory features. Models trained on data from one N3C partner and tested on data from the other partners had average AUROC of 0.75.

Interpretation: ML-based classification using EHR information from the acute infection period is effective in predicting long COVID. SHAP methods identified important features for prediction. Cross-site analysis demonstrated the generalizability of the proposed methodology.

Source: Antony B, Blau H, Casiraghi E, Loomba JJ, Callahan TJ, Laraway BJ, Wilkins KJ, Antonescu CC, Valentini G, Williams AE, Robinson PN, Reese JT, Murali TM; N3C consortium. Predictive models of long COVID. EBioMedicine. 2023 Oct;96:104777. doi: 10.1016/j.ebiom.2023.104777. Epub 2023 Sep 4. PMID: 37672869; PMCID: PMC10494314. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10494314/ (Full text)

A brief overview of SARS-CoV-2 infection and its management strategies: a recent update

Abstract:

The COVID-19 pandemic has become a global health crisis, inflicting substantial morbidity and mortality worldwide. A diverse range of symptoms, including fever, cough, dyspnea, and fatigue, characterizes COVID-19. A cytokine surge can exacerbate the disease’s severity. This phenomenon involves an increased immune response, marked by the excessive release of inflammatory cytokines like IL-6, IL-8, TNF-α, and IFNγ, leading to tissue damage and organ dysfunction.

Efforts to reduce the cytokine surge and its associated complications have garnered significant attention. Standardized management protocols have incorporated treatment strategies, with corticosteroids, chloroquine, and intravenous immunoglobulin taking the forefront. The recent therapeutic intervention has also assisted in novel strategies like repurposing existing medications and the utilization of in vitro drug screening methods to choose effective molecules against viral infections.

Beyond acute management, the significance of comprehensive post-COVID-19 management strategies, like remedial measures including nutritional guidance, multidisciplinary care, and follow-up, has become increasingly evident. As the understanding of COVID-19 pathogenesis deepens, it is becoming increasingly evident that a tailored approach to therapy is imperative.

This review focuses on effective treatment measures aimed at mitigating COVID-19 severity and highlights the significance of comprehensive COVID-19 management strategies that show promise in the battle against COVID-19.

Source: Das A, Pathak S, Premkumar M, Sarpparajan CV, Balaji ER, Duttaroy AK, Banerjee A. A brief overview of SARS-CoV-2 infection and its management strategies: a recent update. Mol Cell Biochem. 2023 Sep 24. doi: 10.1007/s11010-023-04848-3. Epub ahead of print. PMID: 37742314. https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11010-023-04848-3 (Full text)

Long and Short-term Metformin Consumption as a Potential Therapy to Prevent Complications of COVID-19

Abstract:

Purpose: The aim of the study is to evaluate the effect of metformin in complication improvement of hospitalized patients with COVID-19.

Methods: This was a randomized clinical trial that involved 189 patients with confirmed COVID-19 infection. Patients in the intervention group received metformin-500 mg twice daily. Patients who received metformin before admission were excluded from the control group. Patients who were discharged before taking at least 2000 mg of metformin were excluded from the study. Primary outcomes were vital signs, need for ICU admission, need for intubation, and mortality.

Results: Data showed that patients with diabetes with previous metformin in their regimen had lower percentages of ICU admission and death in comparison with patients without diabetes (11.3% vs. 26.1% (P=0.014) and 4.9% vs. 23.9% (P≤0.001), respectively). Admission time characteristics were the same for both groups except for diabetes and hyperlipidemia, which were significantly different between the two groups. Observations of naproxen consumption on endpoints, duration of hospitalization, and the levels of spO2 did not show any significant differences between the intervention and the control group. The adjusted OR for intubation in the intervention group versus the control group was 0.21 [95% CI, 0.04-0.99 (P=0.047)].

Conclusion: In this trial, metformin consumption had no effect on mortality and ICU admission rates in non-diabetic patients. However, metformin improved COVID-19 complications in diabetic patients who had been receiving metformin prior to COVID-19 infection, and it significantly lowered the intubation rates.

Source: Shaseb E, Ghaffary S, Garjani A, Zoghi E, Maleki Dizaji N, Soltani S, Sarbakhsh P, Somi MH, Valizadeh P, Taghizadieh A, Faghihdinevari M, Varshochi M, Naghily B, Bayatmakoo Z, Saleh P, Taghizadeh S, Haghdoost M, Owaysi H, Ravanbakhsh Ghavghani F, Tarzamni MK, Moradi R, Javan Ali Azar F, Shabestari Khiabani S, Ghazanchaei A, Hamedani S, Hatefi S. Long and Short-term Metformin Consumption as a Potential Therapy to Prevent Complications of COVID-19. Adv Pharm Bull. 2023 Jul;13(3):621-626. doi: 10.34172/apb.2023.066. Epub 2022 Jul 2. PMID: 37646067; PMCID: PMC10460805. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10460805/ (Full text)

Compounding for the Treatment of COVID-19 and Long COVID, Part 4: The Legacy of Chronic COVID

Abstract:

People infected by severe acute respiratory coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) risk the development of not only acute coronavirus- disease-2019 (COVID-19) – the signs and symptoms of which range from none to severe illness that requires intensive treatment – but also long COVID (i.e., chronic COVID), a cyclical, progressive, multiphasic illness characterized by myriad debilitating conditions that persist long term. In some patients, those sequelae result in psychiatric disorders that can lead to suicide or other forms of self-harm, incidences of which have increased exponentially since before the COVID pandemic. It has been suggested that long COVID develops in an estimated 10% to 35% of people diagnosed as having COVID-19.

Because the success of therapy for either form of COVID can be complicated by each patient’s pharmacogenomic profile, personal treatment preferences, medical needs, and/or dosing requirements, we have found that in some people so afflicted, manufactured medications are ineffective or intolerable, and that for those individuals, a customized compound often provides relief and promotes recovery. The primary focus of this article is long COVID. The pathogenesis of that disease is reviewed, therapies for the signs and symptoms it engenders are examined, and 2 compounded formulations effective in treating both acute and chronic COVID-19 are presented.

Source: Riepl M, Kaiser J. Compounding for the Treatment of COVID-19 and Long COVID, Part 4: The Legacy of Chronic COVID. Int J Pharm Compd. 2023 Jul-Aug;27(4):284-293. PMID: 37595172. https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/37595172/

In vivo inhibition of nuclear ACE2 translocation protects against SARS-CoV-2 replication and lung damage through epigenetic imprinting

Abstract:

In vitro, ACE2 translocates to the nucleus to induce SARS-CoV-2 replication. Here, using digital spatial profiling of lung tissues from SARS-CoV-2-infected golden Syrian hamsters, we show that a specific and selective peptide inhibitor of nuclear ACE2 (NACE2i) inhibits viral replication two days after SARS-CoV-2 infection. Moreover, the peptide also prevents inflammation and macrophage infiltration, and increases NK cell infiltration in bronchioles.

NACE2i treatment increases the levels of the active histone mark, H3K27ac, restores host translation in infected hamster bronchiolar cells, and leads to an enrichment in methylated ACE2 in hamster bronchioles and lung macrophages, a signature associated with virus protection. In addition, ACE2 methylation is increased in myeloid cells from vaccinated patients and associated with reduced SARS-CoV-2 spike protein expression in monocytes from individuals who have recovered from infection.

This protective epigenetic scarring of ACE2 is associated with a reduced latent viral reservoir in monocytes/macrophages and enhanced immune protection against SARS-CoV-2. Nuclear ACE2 may represent a therapeutic target independent of the variant and strain of viruses that use the ACE2 receptor for host cell entry.

Source: Tu WJ, Melino M, Dunn J, McCuaig RD, Bielefeldt-Ohmann H, Tsimbalyuk S, Forwood JK, Ahuja T, Vandermeide J, Tan X, Tran M, Nguyen Q, Zhang L, Nam A, Pan L, Liang Y, Smith C, Lineburg K, Nguyen TH, Sng JDJ, Tong ZWM, Chew KY, Short KR, Le Grand R, Seddiki N, Rao S. In vivo inhibition of nuclear ACE2 translocation protects against SARS-CoV-2 replication and lung damage through epigenetic imprinting. Nat Commun. 2023 Jun 27;14(1):3680. doi: 10.1038/s41467-023-39341-4. PMID: 37369668; PMCID: PMC10300102. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10300102/ (Full text)

Antihistamines as an early treatment for Covid-19

Abstract:

Infection with SARs-COV-2 results in COVID-19 disease. Between March 2020 and August 2021, 468 COVID-19 patients confirmed by PCR or antigen test, in Yepes, Spain, received early treatment with antihistamines, adding azithromycin in selected cases. The primary endpoint is the hospitalization rate of COVID-19 patients, and the secondary endpoints are ICU admission and mortality rates. All endpoints are compared with the official Spanish rates during the time period of the study.

There were 20 hospital admissions (hospitalization rate 4,3%), 5 ICU admissions (ICU admission rate 1,1%) and 3 deaths (fatality rate of 0,6%). No patients in the study required follow up treatment, which suggest they did not develop long COVID. Results from this retrospective trail indicate that early treatment of SARS-COV-2 positive patients with antihistamines may reduce the odds of hospitalization (OR: 0.490, CI: 0.313-0.767, p-value: 0.001). Randomized controlled clinical trials are needed to further evaluate the effects of early antihistamine treatment of SARS-CoV-2 patients to prevent hospitalization, ICU admission, mortality and long-covid.

Source: Morán Blanco JI, Alvarenga Bonilla JA, Fremont-Smith P, Villar Gómez de Las Heras K. Antihistamines as an early treatment for Covid-19. Heliyon. 2023 May;9(5):e15772. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e15772. Epub 2023 Apr 25. PMID: 37128299; PMCID: PMC10129342. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10129342/ (Full text)

Compounding for the Treatment of COVID-19 and Long COVID, Part 1: Terminology, Mutations, and Variants

Abstract:

COVID-19 (coronavirus disease 2019), which is caused by the positive-stranded ribonucleic acid virus SARS-CoV-2 (acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2), is an extremely contagious airborne illness of pandemic proportions. In the modern era, few diseases other than COVID-19 have produced such severe, prolific, and protean short-term adverse effects and long-term sequelae. In addition, few other pandemics have exhibited a trajectory of morbidity and mortality so affected by social, economic, and political factors as well as individual personal perceptions and beliefs.

Vaccines for the prevention of SARS-CoV-2 infection and treatments for COVID-19 mitigate associated morbidity and mortality, but an increasing array of variants presents challenges to therapeutic effectiveness. As a result, afflicted patients often require customized treatments that address the severity of their infection, the manifestations of disease they exhibit, and their individual pharmacogenomic profile. In such cases, a compounded preparation may offer needed support for recovery.

This article, which is the first in a series on compounding for COVID-19 and long COVID (i.e., the long- term sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 infection), provides information about pertinent viral terminology and a brief overview of SARS-CoV-2 mutations and variants of note. Two formulations for customized compounds that may prove effective in treating the acute and/or long-term effects of COVID-19 when commercial therapies have failed are also provided.

Source: Riepl M. Compounding for the Treatment of COVID-19 and Long COVID, Part 1: Terminology, Mutations, and Variants. Int J Pharm Compd. 2023 Jan-Feb;27(1):12-21. PMID: 36720058. https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/36720058/

Pathophysiological mechanisms of thrombosis in acute and long COVID-19

Abstract:

COVID-19 patients have a high incidence of thrombosis, and thromboembolic complications are associated with severe COVID-19 and high mortality. COVID-19 disease is associated with a hyper-inflammatory response (cytokine storm) mediated by the immune system. However, the role of the inflammatory response in thrombosis remains incompletely understood.

In this review, we investigate the crosstalk between inflammation and thrombosis in the context of COVID-19, focusing on the contributions of inflammation to the pathogenesis of thrombosis, and propose combined use of anti-inflammatory and anticoagulant therapeutics. Under inflammatory conditions, the interactions between neutrophils and platelets, platelet activation, monocyte tissue factor expression, microparticle release, and phosphatidylserine (PS) externalization as well as complement activation are collectively involved in immune-thrombosis. Inflammation results in the activation and apoptosis of blood cells, leading to microparticle release and PS externalization on blood cells and microparticles, which significantly enhances the catalytic efficiency of the tenase and prothrombinase complexes, and promotes thrombin-mediated fibrin generation and local blood clot formation.

Given the risk of thrombosis in the COVID-19, the importance of antithrombotic therapies has been generally recognized, but certain deficiencies and treatment gaps in remain. Antiplatelet drugs are not in combination with anticoagulant treatments, thus fail to dampen platelet procoagulant activity. Current treatments also do not propose an optimal time for anticoagulation. The efficacy of anticoagulant treatments depends on the time of therapy initiation. The best time for antithrombotic therapy is as early as possible after diagnosis, ideally in the early stage of the disease.

We also elaborate on the possible mechanisms of long COVID thromboembolic complications, including persistent inflammation, endothelial injury and dysfunction, and coagulation abnormalities. The above-mentioned contents provide therapeutic strategies for COVID-19 patients and further improve patient outcomes.

Source: Jing H, Wu X, Xiang M, Liu L, Novakovic VA, Shi J. Pathophysiological mechanisms of thrombosis in acute and long COVID-19. Front Immunol. 2022 Nov 16;13:992384. doi: 10.3389/fimmu.2022.992384. PMID: 36466841; PMCID: PMC9709252. https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fimmu.2022.992384/full (Full text)