Does Pre-existing Diabetes Correlate with Long COVID-19 in Europe? Evidence from the Analysis of the Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe’s Corona Surveys

Abstract:

Background. A substantial proportion of those infected with COVID-19 are presenting with persistent symptoms, referred to as long COVID-19. Emerging evidence suggests that the presence of pre-existing chronic conditions, such as diabetes, may increase the risk of long COVID-19. Objectives. To investigate whether having pre-existing diabetes increases the risk of developing long COVID-19 in the population of middle-aged and older adults (≥50 years old) in Europe, while assessing if this relationship can be accounted for or is modified by the known long COVID-19 and diabetes risk factors (age, sex, hospitalization, pre-existing hypertension, and weight status).

Methods. A population-based longitudinal prospective study involving a sample of respondents aged 50 years and older () with probable or confirmed COVID-19 infection from 27 countries that participated in both waves 7 and 8 of the Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe and its 2020 and 2021 Corona Surveys. Logistic regression modeling was performed.

Results. Overall, 66.8% of the respondents affected by COVID-19 infection reported at least one long COVID-19 symptom; 55.2% were female, and the average age was 64.6 years; 13.2% had pre-existing diabetes. Respondents with pre-existing diabetes had significantly higher odds of developing long COVID-19, compared to those without diabetes (; 95% ). This relationship remained significant (; 98% ) after adjusting for sex ( for females; 95% ), hospitalization for COVID-19 illness (; 95% ), pre-existing hypertension (; 95% ), and overweight (; 95% ) and obese (; 95% ) weight status. The effect of pre-existing diabetes on the risk of long COVID-19 is moderated by age; it was highest at the age of 50 (; 95% ), and then, it declined with age.

Conclusions. There is a relationship between pre-existing diabetes and long COVID-19, even after controlling for literature-based confounding factors, with age having a moderating effect on this relationship.

Source: Sarah Cuschieri, Piotr Wilk, “Does Pre-existing Diabetes Correlate with Long COVID-19 in Europe? Evidence from the Analysis of the Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe’s Corona Surveys”, Journal of Diabetes Research, vol. 2024, Article ID 7459628, 7 pages, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1155/2024/7459628 https://www.hindawi.com/journals/jdr/2024/7459628/ (Full text)

Incidence of persistent SARS-CoV-2 gut infection in patients with a history of COVID-19: Insights from endoscopic examination

Abstract:

Background and study aims Gut infection is common during acute COVID-19, and persistent SARS-CoV-2 gut infection has been reported months after the initial infection, potentially linked to long-COVID syndrome. This study tested the incidence of persistent gut infection in patients with a history of COVID-19 undergoing endoscopic examination.

Patients and methods Endoscopic biopsies were prospectively collected from patients with previous COVID-19 infection undergoing upper or lower gastrointestinal endoscopy (UGE or LGE). Immunohistochemistry was used to detect the presence of persistent SARS-CoV-2 nucleocapsid proteins.

Results A total of 166 UGEs and 83 LGE were analyzed. No significant differences were observed between patients with positive and negative immunostaining regarding the number of previous COVID-19 infections, time since the last infection, symptoms, or vaccination status. The incidence of positive immunostaining was significantly higher in UGE biopsies than in LGE biopsies (37.34% vs. 16.87%, P =0.002). Smokers showed a significantly higher incidence of positive immunostaining in the overall cohort and UGE and LGE subgroups ( P <0.001). Diabetic patients exhibited a significantly higher incidence in the overall cohort ( P =0.002) and UGE subgroup ( P =0.022), with a similar trend observed in the LGE subgroup ( P =0.055).

Conclusions Gut mucosal tissues can act as a long-term reservoir for SARS-CoV-2, retaining viral particles for months following the primary COVID-19 infection. Smokers and individuals with diabetes may be at an increased risk of persistent viral gut infection. These findings provide insights into the dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 infection in the gut and have implications for further research.

Source: Hany M, Sheta E, Talha A, Anwar M, Selima M, Gaballah M, Zidan A, Ibrahim M, Agayby ASS, Abouelnasr AA, Samir M, Torensma B. Incidence of persistent SARS-CoV-2 gut infection in patients with a history of COVID-19: Insights from endoscopic examination. Endosc Int Open. 2024 Jan 5;12(1):E11-E22. doi: 10.1055/a-2180-9872. PMID: 38188925; PMCID: PMC10769582. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10769582/ (Full text)

 

Predictive models of long COVID

Abstract:

Background: The cause and symptoms of long COVID are poorly understood. It is challenging to predict whether a given COVID-19 patient will develop long COVID in the future.

Methods: We used electronic health record (EHR) data from the National COVID Cohort Collaborative to predict the incidence of long COVID. We trained two machine learning (ML) models – logistic regression (LR) and random forest (RF). Features used to train predictors included symptoms and drugs ordered during acute infection, measures of COVID-19 treatment, pre-COVID comorbidities, and demographic information. We assigned the ‘long COVID’ label to patients diagnosed with the U09.9 ICD10-CM code. The cohorts included patients with (a) EHRs reported from data partners using U09.9 ICD10-CM code and (b) at least one EHR in each feature category. We analysed three cohorts: all patients (n = 2,190,579; diagnosed with long COVID = 17,036), inpatients (149,319; 3,295), and outpatients (2,041,260; 13,741).

Findings: LR and RF models yielded median AUROC of 0.76 and 0.75, respectively. Ablation study revealed that drugs had the highest influence on the prediction task. The SHAP method identified age, gender, cough, fatigue, albuterol, obesity, diabetes, and chronic lung disease as explanatory features. Models trained on data from one N3C partner and tested on data from the other partners had average AUROC of 0.75.

Interpretation: ML-based classification using EHR information from the acute infection period is effective in predicting long COVID. SHAP methods identified important features for prediction. Cross-site analysis demonstrated the generalizability of the proposed methodology.

Source: Antony B, Blau H, Casiraghi E, Loomba JJ, Callahan TJ, Laraway BJ, Wilkins KJ, Antonescu CC, Valentini G, Williams AE, Robinson PN, Reese JT, Murali TM; N3C consortium. Predictive models of long COVID. EBioMedicine. 2023 Oct;96:104777. doi: 10.1016/j.ebiom.2023.104777. Epub 2023 Sep 4. PMID: 37672869; PMCID: PMC10494314. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10494314/ (Full text)

Long and Short-term Metformin Consumption as a Potential Therapy to Prevent Complications of COVID-19

Abstract:

Purpose: The aim of the study is to evaluate the effect of metformin in complication improvement of hospitalized patients with COVID-19.

Methods: This was a randomized clinical trial that involved 189 patients with confirmed COVID-19 infection. Patients in the intervention group received metformin-500 mg twice daily. Patients who received metformin before admission were excluded from the control group. Patients who were discharged before taking at least 2000 mg of metformin were excluded from the study. Primary outcomes were vital signs, need for ICU admission, need for intubation, and mortality.

Results: Data showed that patients with diabetes with previous metformin in their regimen had lower percentages of ICU admission and death in comparison with patients without diabetes (11.3% vs. 26.1% (P=0.014) and 4.9% vs. 23.9% (P≤0.001), respectively). Admission time characteristics were the same for both groups except for diabetes and hyperlipidemia, which were significantly different between the two groups. Observations of naproxen consumption on endpoints, duration of hospitalization, and the levels of spO2 did not show any significant differences between the intervention and the control group. The adjusted OR for intubation in the intervention group versus the control group was 0.21 [95% CI, 0.04-0.99 (P=0.047)].

Conclusion: In this trial, metformin consumption had no effect on mortality and ICU admission rates in non-diabetic patients. However, metformin improved COVID-19 complications in diabetic patients who had been receiving metformin prior to COVID-19 infection, and it significantly lowered the intubation rates.

Source: Shaseb E, Ghaffary S, Garjani A, Zoghi E, Maleki Dizaji N, Soltani S, Sarbakhsh P, Somi MH, Valizadeh P, Taghizadieh A, Faghihdinevari M, Varshochi M, Naghily B, Bayatmakoo Z, Saleh P, Taghizadeh S, Haghdoost M, Owaysi H, Ravanbakhsh Ghavghani F, Tarzamni MK, Moradi R, Javan Ali Azar F, Shabestari Khiabani S, Ghazanchaei A, Hamedani S, Hatefi S. Long and Short-term Metformin Consumption as a Potential Therapy to Prevent Complications of COVID-19. Adv Pharm Bull. 2023 Jul;13(3):621-626. doi: 10.34172/apb.2023.066. Epub 2022 Jul 2. PMID: 37646067; PMCID: PMC10460805. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10460805/ (Full text)

The bidirectional association between diabetes and long-COVID-19 – A systematic review

Abstract:

Some evidence suggests that diabetes may be a risk factor for the development of post-acute sequelae of COVID-19 (PASC). Recent data also indicate that new-onset diabetes may be a complication of COVID-19. Here, we review the existing evidence.

Following PRISMA guidelines, we conducted a systematic review through August 8, 2022. We included longitudinal studies reporting on the risk of PASC (i.e., sequelae that extend beyond four weeks after initial infection) in people with and without diabetes, and studies reporting on the risk of new-onset diabetes in people with vs without COVID-19 with a minimum of 4-weeks of follow-up. All studies were published in English. Among 5,532 studies screened, 39 were included in the final review.

Among 25 studies reporting on diabetes and PASC, 44 % (n = 11) identified diabetes as a significant risk factor for PASC (increased relative risk ranging from 7 % to 342 %) while 56 % (n = 14) did not. Among 14 studies reporting on new-onset diabetes, 12 (86 %) reported that COVID-19 (vs no COVID) was significantly associated with new-onset diabetes with increased risks ranging from 11 % to 276 %. COVID-19 survivors may be at increased risk for new-onset diabetes, but whether pre-existing diabetes is also a risk factor for PASC remains unclear.

Source: Harding JL, Oviedo SA, Ali MK, Ofotokun I, Gander JC, Patel SA, Magliano DJ, Patzer RE. The bidirectional association between diabetes and long-COVID-19 – A systematic review. Diabetes Res Clin Pract. 2022 Dec 7;195:110202. doi: 10.1016/j.diabres.2022.110202. Epub ahead of print. PMID: 36496030; PMCID: PMC9727969. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9727969/ (Full text)

Post-COVID syndrome, inflammation, and diabetes

Abstract:

The raging COVID-19 pandemic is in its third year of global impact. The SARS CoV 2 virus has a high rate of spread, protean manifestations, and a high morbidity and mortality in individuals with predisposing risk factors. The pathophysiologic mechanisms involve a heightened systemic inflammatory state, cardiometabolic derangements, and varying degrees of glucose intolerance. The latter can be evident as significant hyperglycemia leading to new-onset diabetes or worsening of preexisting disease.

Unfortunately, the clinical course beyond the acute phase of the illness may persist in the form of a variety of symptoms that together form the so-called “Long COVID” or “Post-COVID Syndrome”. It is thought that a chronic, low-grade inflammatory and immunologic state persists during this phase, which may last for weeks or months. Although numerous insights have been gained into COVID-related hyperglycemia and diabetes, its prediction, course, and management remain to be fully elucidated.

Source: Rizvi AA, Kathuria A, Al Mahmeed W, Al-Rasadi K, Al-Alawi K, Banach M, Banerjee Y, Ceriello A, Cesur M, Cosentino F, Galia M, Goh SY, Janez A, Kalra S, Kempler P, Lessan N, Lotufo P, Papanas N, Santos RD, Stoian AP, Toth PP, Viswanathan V, Rizzo M; CArdiometabolic Panel of International experts on Syndemic COvid-19 (CAPISCO). Post-COVID syndrome, inflammation, and diabetes. J Diabetes Complications. 2022 Oct 6;36(11):108336. doi: 10.1016/j.jdiacomp.2022.108336. Epub ahead of print. PMID: 36228563; PMCID: PMC9534783. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9534783/ (Full text)

Proteomics of fibrin amyloid microclots in long COVID/post-acute sequelae of COVID-19 (PASC) shows many entrapped pro-inflammatory molecules that may also contribute to a failed fibrinolytic system

Abstract:

Background: Post-acute sequelae of COVID-19 (PASC), also now known as long COVID, has become a major global health and economic burden. Previously, we provided evidence that there is a significant insoluble fibrin amyloid microclot load in the circulation of individuals with long COVID, and that these microclots entrap a substantial number of inflammatory molecules, including those that might prevent clot breakdown. Scientifically, the most challenging aspect of this debilitating condition is that traditional pathology tests such as a serum CRP (C-reactive protein) may not show any significant abnormal inflammatory markers, albeit these tests measure only the soluble inflammatory molecules. Elevated, or abnormal soluble biomarkers such as IL-6, D-Dimer or fibrinogen indicate an increased risk for thrombosis or a host immune response in COVID-19. The absence of biomarkers in standard pathology tests, result in a significant amount of confusion for patients and clinicians, as patients are extremely sick or even bed-ridden but with no regular identifiable reason for their disease. Biomarkers that are currently available cannot detect the molecules present in the microclots we identified and are therefore unable to confirm their presence or the mechanisms that drive their formation.

Methods: Here we analysed the protein content of double-digested microclots of 99 long COVID patients and 29 healthy controls. The patients suffering from long COVID reported their symptoms through a questionnaire completed by themselves or their attending physician.

Results: Our long COVID cohort’s symptoms were found to be in line with global findings, where the most prevalent symptoms were constant fatigue (74%,) cognitive impairment (71%) and depression and anxiety (30%). Our most noteworthy findings were a reduced level of plasma Kallikrein compared to our controls, an increased level of platelet factor 4 (PF4) von Willebrand factor (VWF), and a marginally increased level of α-2 antiplasmin (α-2-AP). We also found a significant presence of antibodies entrapped inside these microclots.

Conclusion: Our results confirm the presence of pro-inflammatory molecules that may also contribute to a failed fibrinolysis phenomenon, which could possibly explain why individuals with long COVID suffer from chronic fatigue, dyspnoea, or cognitive impairment. In addition, significant platelet hyperactivation was noted. Hyperactivation will result in the granular content of platelets being shed into the circulation, including PF4. Overall, our results provide further evidence of both a failed fibrinolytic system in long COVID/PASC and the entrapment of many proteins whose presence might otherwise go unrecorded. These findings might have significant implications for individuals with pre-existing comorbidities, including cardiovascular disease and type 2 diabetes.

Source: Kruger A, Vlok M, Turner S, Venter C, Laubscher GJ, Kell DB, Pretorius E. Proteomics of fibrin amyloid microclots in long COVID/post-acute sequelae of COVID-19 (PASC) shows many entrapped pro-inflammatory molecules that may also contribute to a failed fibrinolytic system. Cardiovasc Diabetol. 2022 Sep 21;21(1):190. doi: 10.1186/s12933-022-01623-4. PMID: 36131342; PMCID: PMC9491257. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9491257/ (Full text)

Autonomic neuropathies

Abstract:

A limited autonomic neuropathy may underlie some unusual clinical syndromes, including the postural tachycardia syndrome, pseudo-obstruction syndrome, heat intolerance, and perhaps chronic fatigue syndrome. Antibodies to autonomic structures are common in diabetes, but their specificity is unknown. The presence of autonomic failure worsens prognosis in the diabetic state. Some autonomic neuropathies are treatable. Familial amyloid polyneuropathy may respond to liver transplantation. There are anecdotal reports of acute panautonomic neuropathy responding to intravenous gamma globulin. Orthostatic hypotension may respond to erythropoietin or midodrine.

 

Source: Low PA. Autonomic neuropathies. Curr Opin Neurol. 1998 Oct;11(5):531-7. http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/9848003

 

Health status in patients with chronic fatigue syndrome and in general population and disease comparison groups

Abstract:

PURPOSE: To measure the functional status and well-being of patients with chronic fatigue syndrome (CFS), and compare them with those of a general population group and six disease comparison groups.

PATIENTS AND METHODS: The subjects of the study were patients with CFS (n = 223) from a CFS clinic, a population-based control sample (n = 2,474), and disease comparison groups with hypertension (n = 2,089), congestive heart failure (n = 216), type II diabetes mellitus (n = 163), acute myocardial infarction (n = 107), multiple sclerosis (n = 25), and depression (n = 502). We measured functional status and well-being using the Medical Outcomes Study 36-Item Short-Form Health Survey (SF-36), which is a self-administered questionnaire in which lower scores are indicative of greater impairment.

RESULTS: Patients with CFS had far lower mean scores than the general population control subjects on all eight SF-36 scales. They also scored significantly lower than patients in all the disease comparison groups other than depression on virtually all the scales. When compared with patients with depression, they scored significantly lower on all the scales except for scales measuring mental health and role disability due to emotional problems, on which they scored significantly higher. The two SF-36 scales reflecting mental health were not correlated with any of the symptoms of CFS except for irritability and depression.

CONCLUSION: Patients with CFS had marked impairment, in comparison with the general population and disease comparison groups. Moreover, the degree and pattern of impairment was different from that seen in patients with depression.

 

Source: Komaroff AL, Fagioli LR, Doolittle TH, Gandek B, Gleit MA, Guerriero RT, Kornish RJ 2nd, Ware NC, Ware JE Jr, Bates DW. Health status in patients with chronic fatigue syndrome and in general population and disease comparison groups. Am J Med. 1996 Sep;101(3):281-90. http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/8873490

 

Coxsackie B virus and postviral fatigue syndrome

Comment onAntibody to Coxsackie B virus in diagnosing postviral fatigue syndrome. [BMJ. 1991]

 

SIR,-Dr N A Miller and colleagues highlight the difficulty of associating a virus (coxsackie B virus) with a disease (postviral fatigue syndrome) when the virus in question is common in the general population.’ In a recent serological survey of the family members of children with insulin dependent diabetes mellitus we also found a high prevalence of IgM antibody specific to enterovirus: 14% of children with recently diagnosed insulin dependent diabetes mellitus, 8% of unaffected siblings, and 18% of parents had the antibody at the time of entry into the study. Serum samples were collected between 1985 and 1987. These seroprevalence figures are higher than those reported among control populations in earlier studies in the United Kingdom-5 5% in children during 19822 and 3-5% in adults during 1979-80.3 Because the assay used in these studies was the same as that used by Dr Miller and colleagues this indicates that enterovirus was endemic during 1985-7, which covers the period of the study of Dr Miller and colleagues.

You can read the rest of this comment here: http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1675464/pdf/bmj00117-0062c.pdf

 

Source: Muir P, Nicholson F, Banatvala JE, Bingley PJ. Coxsackie B virus and postviral fatigue syndrome. BMJ. 1991 Mar 16;302(6777):658-9. http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1675464/