Category: Recovery/Prognosis

Prognosis in chronic fatigue syndrome: a prospective study on the natural course

Abstract:

OBJECTIVE: To determine spontaneous improvement after a follow up interval of 18 months in patients with chronic fatigue syndrome and to identify factors that predict improvement.

METHODS: A longitudinal study was used. Of 298 initially assessed self referred patients fulfilling criteria for chronic fatigue syndrome, 246 patients completed self report questionnaires at follow up (response rate 83%). A multidimensional assessment method was used, measuring behavioural, emotional, cognitive, and social functioning. Comparison data from 53 healthy subjects matched for age, sex, and educational level were available.

RESULTS: Three per cent of patients reported complete recovery and 17% reported improvement. At follow up, there were considerable problems at work and consumption of medication was high. Subjective improvement was confirmed by dimensional change: at follow up recovered patients had similar scores to healthy subjects and improved patients showed significant improvement on four out of seven outcome measures and had higher scores than healthy subjects in all dimensions. Sociodemographic variables or treatment by specialists and alternative practitioners did not predict improvement. Predictors of improvement were: subjective sense of control over symptoms, less fatigue, shorter duration of complaints, and a relative absence of physical attributions.

CONCLUSION: The improvement rate in patients with a relatively long duration of complaints is small. Psychological factors are related to improvement, especially cognitive factors.

 

Source: Vercoulen JH, Swanink CM, Fennis JF, Galama JM, van der Meer JW, Bleijenberg G. Prognosis in chronic fatigue syndrome: a prospective study on the natural course. J Neurol Neurosurg Psychiatry. 1996 May;60(5):489-94. http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC486359/ (Full article)

Outcome and prognosis of patients with chronic fatigue vs chronic fatigue syndrome

Abstract:

BACKGROUND: There are few data on the natural history and prognosis of persons with chronic fatigue (CF) or CF syndrome (CFS). Therefore, we compared functional outcomes in patients with each condition and tested the validity of various prognostic indicators.

METHODS: Four hundred forty-five (89%) of 498 consecutive referral patients were surveyed an average of 1.5 years after an initial evaluation. Data from the initial evaluation were used to predict outcomes.

RESULTS: Sixty-four percent of all patients reported improvement, but only 2% reported complete resolution of symptoms. Patients initially diagnosed as having CFS reported greater symptom severity and lower level of functioning at follow-up than did patients with CF. Major depression predicted unemployment in the CF group. Older age, longer duration of illness, and a lifetime history of dysthymia predicted less improvement in the CF group. Current dysthymia predicted less improvement for the CFS group.

CONCLUSIONS: The case definition of CFS according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention identifies chronically fatigued patients with poorer prognosis. In a tertiary care setting, recovery from CF or CFS is rare, but improvement is common. Prognostic indicators vary for the two groups, but the coexistence of dysthymia suggests poorer outcomes generally.

 

Source: Bombardier CH, Buchwald D. Outcome and prognosis of patients with chronic fatigue vs chronic fatigue syndrome. Arch Intern Med. 1995 Oct 23;155(19):2105-10. http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/7575071

Cell-mediated immune function and the outcome of chronic fatigue syndrome

Abstract:

This study examined the importance of cell-mediated immunity in determining the long-term outcome of patients diagnosed with chronic fatigue syndrome (CSF).

A total of 103 patients (74%) of 139 previously enrolled in one of two treatment trials conducted within a university hospital referral center was reviewed a mean of 3.2 yr after trial entry. Ongoing symptom severity, levels of disability and immunological function were assessed at follow-up. The relationship between immunological function at trial entry and measures of outcome was also evaluated.

Sixty-five patients (63%) had improved, while only 6 (6%) reported no current symptoms. Thirty-one subjects (30%) were unable to perform any form of work and 26 (25%) were on a disability benefit directly attributable to CFS. Cell-mediated immune function, as measured at trial entry or follow-up, did not appear to affect outcome.

Whilst improvement occurred in the majority of patients with CFS, a substantial proportion (37%) remained functionally impaired. Impairment of cell-mediated immunological function measured during the course of the illness may not be an important factor in determining long-term outcome.

 

Source: Wilson A, Hickie I, Lloyd A, Hadzi-Pavlovic D, Wakefield D. Cell-mediated immune function and the outcome of chronic fatigue syndrome. Int J Immunopharmacol. 1995 Aug;17(8):691-4. http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/8847164

 

Chronic fatigue: risk factors for symptom persistence in a 2 1/2-year follow-up study

Abstract:

BACKGROUND: The prolonged disability of patients suffering from chronic fatigue may be due to sustaining factors that are independent of the cause and subject to intervention. This study reexamined a cohort of patients with chronic fatigue to define medical and psychiatric predictors of persistent symptoms.

METHODS: Seventy-eight patients with chronic fatigue present for 6 months or more (not required to meet the Centers for Disease Control case definition for chronic fatigue syndrome [CFS]) completed a self-report, follow-up questionnaire to measure the overall improvement or worsening of their condition at a mean of 2.5 years after their initial examination. At the time of initial evaluation, patients underwent a structured psychiatric examination, physical examination, laboratory studies, and self-report measures of psychological distress and functional disability. The psychiatric examination queried the patient about 28 somatic symptoms that are separate from those associated with CFS. Discriminant analysis was used to determine which variables present at the initial examination were significant predictors of persistent symptoms and disability at 2.5 years.

RESULTS: The factors most important at the time of initial presentation in predicting persistent illness were: (1) more than eight medically unexplained physical symptoms separate from those associated with CFS case definition; (2) lifetime history of dysthymia; (3) duration of chronic fatigue symptoms greater than 1.5 years; (4) less than 16 years of formal education; and (5) age older than 38 years. None of the results of the initial physical examination, or immunologic, general laboratory, or viral antibody measurements were significant in predicting persistence of symptoms. Recovery rates for those who met the criteria for CFS by either of two case definitions were lower than the rate of noncases, but the differences were not statistically significant. The five aforementioned variables formed a significant discriminative function, correctly classifying 78% of those who recovered and 74% of those with persistent symptoms.

CONCLUSIONS: At initial examination, patients with chronic fatigue, more than eight medically unexplained physical symptoms (excluding symptoms in the case criteria for CFS), a lifetime history of dysthymic disorder, longer than 1.5 years of chronic fatigue, less than 16 years of formal education, and who were older than 38 years were the most likely to have persistence of symptoms of chronic fatigue at the 2.5-year follow-up.

 

Source: Clark MR, Katon W, Russo J, Kith P, Sintay M, Buchwald D. Chronic fatigue: risk factors for symptom persistence in a 2 1/2-year follow-up study. Am J Med. 1995 Feb;98(2):187-95. http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/7847436

 

Correlates of somatic causal attributions in primary care patients with fatigue

Abstract:

Researchers in the field of chronic fatigue in tertiary care found that patients’ somatic (e.g. viral) explanations for their condition may lead to chronicity of symptoms. We studied the influence of a somatic attributional bias on outcome and reported symptoms in primary care patients with fatigue.

We compared fatigue scores on a specific scale, and number of presented symptoms, in two groups of primary care patients with ‘functional’ fatigue: 75 with a high score on the somatic subscale of the Fatigue Attribution Scale (S-FAS), and 95 with a low score on the S-FAS. At the index visit, patients with low and high scores on the S-FAS were not different for age, sex, fatigue scores, and levels of depressive symptoms.

Patients with high scores on the S-FAS presented significantly more somatic and psychological symptoms-a total of 36 symptoms for 24 patients (25.3%) in the low-score group, and a total of 52 symptoms for 31 patients (41.3%) in the high-score group.

Forty-two days later, at the follow-up visit, the fatigue scores were similar in both groups. In primary care patients with fatigue not due to somatic illness or major depression, the tendency to attribute fatigue to somatic causes is not associated with a worse outcome, but with a higher number of reported symptoms.

 

Source: Cathébras P, Jacquin L, le Gal M, Fayol C, Bouchou K, Rousset H. Correlates of somatic causal attributions in primary care patients with fatigue. Psychother Psychosom. 1995;63(3-4):174-80. http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/7624463

 

Chronic fatigue syndrome. ME Association is honest about prognosis

Comment on: Chronic fatigue syndrome: prevalence and outcome. [BMJ. 1994]

 

Editor,-I wish to challenge the assertion by S M Lawrie and A J Pelosi that the prognosis given by some myalgic encephalomyelitis associations is nihilistic. In fact, the figures currently used by the ME Association are in line with the data on chronicity and disability found in various follow up studies of patients, including those of the epidemics of the ’30s, ’40s, and ’50s.

The chronicity of myalgic encephalomyelitis was documented as long ago as 1956 when Sigurdsson and Gudmundsson reported that, of 39 patients involved in the 1948 Icelandic epidemic, only five (1/3%) had recovered completely. Thirty two years later a re-examination of 10 Icelandic patients by Hyde and Bergmann showed that the recovery rate was no more than 20% (two of the 10).

You can read the rest of this comment here: http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2540204/pdf/bmj00440-0055d.pdf

 

Source: Howes S. Chronic fatigue syndrome. ME Association is honest about prognosis. BMJ. 1994 May 14;308(6939):1299-300. http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2540204/

 

Chronic fatigue syndrome. Role of psychological factors overemphasised

Comment in: Chronic fatigue syndrome and myalgic encephalomyelitis. [BMJ. 1994]

Comment on: Longitudinal study of outcome of chronic fatigue syndrome. [BMJ. 1994]

 

Editor,-In concluding that psychological factors are more important than immunological ones in determining the long term outcome of myalgic encephalomyelitis or the chronic fatigue syndrome Andrew Wilson and colleagues seem overconfident of the validity of their findings. Although the use of self rated measures of outcome is necessary, the validity of the investigators’ treatment of such data is questionable. For example, the five point self rated global illness outcome was dichotomised such that an original response of “not improved at all” was recorded to “worsened”-a decision the investigators fail to justify. It is also dubious whether patients’ recall of their own premorbid psychological state is accurate, given that the average onset was 9 years before recall and the finding that memory of an event is affected by subsequent events.

You can read the rest of this comment here: http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2540179/pdf/bmj00440-0053a.pdf

 

Source: Blatch C, Blatt T. Chronic fatigue syndrome. Role of psychological factors overemphasised. BMJ. 1994 May 14;308(6939):1297. http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2540179/

 

Chronic fatigue syndrome: a follow up study

Abstract:

Forty-six of 47 patients diagnosed as having chronic fatigue and offered treatment four years previously were followed up. Twenty-nine patients were interviewed, three patients refused an interview, and information on the remaining 14 was obtained from their general practitioners. All the instruments used at interview had been used in the initial study. The long-term prognosis for patients with chronic fatigue syndrome who have initially responded to treatment is good. Spontaneous recovery in those who declined or who did not benefit from treatment is unlikely. Patients who continue to fulfil the criteria for chronic fatigue syndrome four years after they were initially diagnosed are likely to have had more somatic disorders, to have been more fatigued, and to have had a previous psychiatric history when they were initially assessed.

Comment in: Chronic fatigue syndrome. [J Neurol Neurosurg Psychiatry. 1995]

 

Source: Bonner D, Ron M, Chalder T, Butler S, Wessely S. Chronic fatigue syndrome: a follow up study. J Neurol Neurosurg Psychiatry. 1994 May;57(5):617-21. http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1072927/

You can read the full article here: http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1072927/pdf/jnnpsyc00035-0089.pdf

 

Longitudinal study of outcome of chronic fatigue syndrome

Abstract:

OBJECTIVE: To examine the predictors of long term outcome for patients with the chronic fatigue syndrome.

DESIGN: Cohort study.

SUBJECTS: 139 subjects previously enrolled in two treatment trials; 103 (74%) were reassessed a mean of 3.2 years after start of the trials.

SETTING: University hospital referral centre.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Age at onset, duration of illness, psychological and immunological status at initial assessment. Ongoing symptom severity, levels of disability, and immunological function at follow up.

RESULTS: 65 subjects had improved but only six reported no current symptoms. An alternative medical diagnosis had been made in two and psychiatric illness diagnosed in 20. The assignment of a primary psychiatric diagnosis at follow up and the strength of the belief that a physical disease process explained all symptoms at entry to the trials both predicted poor outcome. Age at onset of illness, duration of illness, neuroticism, premorbid psychiatric diagnoses, and cell mediated immune function did not predict outcome.

CONCLUSION: Though most patients with the chronic fatigue syndrome improve, a substantial proportion remain functionally impaired. Psychological factors such as illness attitudes and coping style seem more important predictors of long term outcome than immunological or demographic variables.

Comment in:

Chronic fatigue syndrome. Distinguish between syndromes… [BMJ. 1994]

Chronic fatigue syndrome. Immunological findings vary between populations. [BMJ. 1994]

Chronic fatigue syndrome. Role of psychological factors overemphasised. [BMJ. 1994]

 

Source: Wilson A, Hickie I, Lloyd A, Hadzi-Pavlovic D, Boughton C, Dwyer J, Wakefield D. Longitudinal study of outcome of chronic fatigue syndrome. BMJ. 1994 Mar 19;308(6931):756-9. http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2539669/

You can read the full article here: http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2539669/pdf/bmj00432-0032.pdf

 

Chronic fatigue syndrome: prevalence and outcome

This week’s journal contains two papers from multidisciplinary teams that shed light on syndromes of chronic fatigue and so move us towards resolving the often bitter controversy over myalgic encephalomyelitis. A large community survey by Pawlikowska and colleagues provides estimates of the prevalence of the symptom of fatigue,’ operationally defined chronic fatigue syndrome,2 and self declared (possibly self diagnosed) chronic fatigue syndrome in young and middle aged adults in south east England (p 763).1

They found that fatigue was common, occurred as a continuum, and was highly correlated with emotional distress. Most people attributed their fatigue to social or psychological factors. While 02% of the respondents reported that they had chronic fatigue syndrome, as many as 1% of respondents satisfied several of the criteria for the syndrome. As with many illnesses, the cases were found at the severe end of the continuum of fatigue, without any sharp cut off. Associations of self reported chronic fatigue syndrome with female sex and upper social class confirm what has been found in primary care and hospital studies 34 but are less typical in community surveys.’ 6 Previous studies have consistently identified a strong association between emotional morbidity and chronic fatigue syndrome,7 but this “is inevitable given the similarities of the criteria and the measures used to define them.”‘ Interestingly, the closer cases fulfil the definition of chronic fatigue syndrome the stronger the association with emotional morbidity.

Comment in:

Chronic fatigue syndrome. Prevalence study overlooked. [BMJ. 1994]

Chronic fatigue syndrome. …and study them separately. [BMJ. 1994]

Chronic fatigue syndrome. ME Association is honest about prognosis. [BMJ. 1994]

Comment on: Professional and popular views of chronic fatigue syndrome. [BMJ. 1994]

 

Source: Lawrie SM, Pelosi AJ. Chronic fatigue syndrome: prevalence and outcome. BMJ. 1994 Mar 19;308(6931):732-3. http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2539646/

You can read the full article here: http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2539646/pdf/bmj00432-0006.pdf