Determinants of the Onset and Prognosis of the Post-COVID-19 Condition: A 2-Year Prospective Cohort Study

Abstract:

Background: At least 5-10% of subjects surviving COVID-19 develop the post-COVID-19 condition (PCC) or “Long COVID”. The clinical presentation of PCC is heterogeneous, its pathogenesis is being deciphered, and objective, validated biomarkers are lacking. It is unknown if PCC is a single entity or a heterogeneous syndrome with overlapping pathophysiological basis. In a large crossectional evaluation, the RECOVER study in the US identified four clusters of subjects with PCC according to their presenting symptoms. The long-term clinical implications of PCC remain unknown.

Methods: We conducted a 2-year prospective cohort study of subjects surviving COVID-19, including individuals fulfilling the WHO PCC definition and subjects with full clinical recovery. We systematically collected post-COVID-19 symptoms using prespecified questionnaires and performed additional diagnostic imaging tests when needed. Factors associated with PCC were identified and modeled using logistic regression. Unsupervised clustering analysis was used to group subjects with PCC according to their presenting symptoms. Factors associated with PCC recovery were modelled using a direct acyclic graph approach.

Findings: The study included 548 individuals, 341 with PCC, followed for a median of 23 months (IQR 16·5 – 23·5), and 207 subjects fully recovered. In the model with the best fit, subjects who were male and had tertiary studies were less likely to develop PCC, whereas a history of headache, or presence of tachycardia, fatigue, neurocognitive and neurosensitive complaints and dyspnea at COVID-19 diagnosis predicted the development of PCC. The cluster analysis revealed the presence of three symptom clusters with an additive number of symptoms. Only 26 subjects (7·6%) recovered from PCC during follow-up; almost all of them (n=24) belonged to the less symptomatic cluster A, dominated mainly by fatigue. Recovery from PCC was more likely in subjects who were male, required ICU admission, or had cardiovascular comorbidities, hyporexia and/or smell/taste alterations during acute COVID-19. Subjects presenting with muscle pain, impaired attention, dyspnea, or tachycardia, conversely, were less likely to recover from PCC.

Interpretation: Preexisting medical and socioeconomic factors, as well as acute COVID-19 symptoms, predict the development of and recovery from the PCC. Recovery is extremely rare during the first 2 years, posing a major challenge to healthcare systems.

Source: Mateu, Lourdes and Tebe, Cristian and Loste, Cora and Santos, José Ramón and Lladós, Gemma and López, Cristina and España-Cueto, Sergio and Toledo, Ruth and Font, Marta and Chamorro, Anna and Muñoz-López, Francisco and Nevot, Maria and Vallejo, Nuria and Teis, Albert and Puig, Jordi and Fumaz, Carmina Rodríguez and Muñoz-Moreno, José Antonio and Prats, Anna and Estany-Quera, Carla and Coll-Fernández, Roser and Herrero, Cristina and Casares, Patricia and Garcia, Anna and Paredes, Roger and Clotet, Bonaventura and Massanella, Marta, Determinants of the Onset and Prognosis of the Post-COVID-19 Condition: A 2-Year Prospective Cohort Study. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4505315 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4505315 (Full text available as PDF file)

Precision Medicine for More Oxygen (P4O2)—Study Design and First Results of the Long COVID-19 Extension

Abstract:

Introduction: The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has led to the death of almost 7 million people, however, with a cumulative incidence of 0.76 billion, most people survive COVID-19. Several studies indicate that the acute phase of COVID-19 may be followed by persistent symptoms including fatigue, dyspnea, headache, musculoskeletal symptoms, and pulmonary functional-and radiological abnormalities. However, the impact of COVID-19 on long-term health outcomes remains to be elucidated.
Aims: The Precision Medicine for more Oxygen (P4O2) consortium COVID-19 extension aims to identify long COVID patients that are at risk for developing chronic lung disease and furthermore, to identify treatable traits and innovative personalized therapeutic strategies for prevention and treatment. This study aims to describe the study design and first results of the P4O2 COVID-19 cohort.
Methods: The P4O2 COVID-19 study is a prospective multicenter cohort study that includes nested personalized counseling intervention trial. Patients, aged 40–65 years, were recruited from outpatient post-COVID clinics from five hospitals in The Netherlands. During study visits at 3–6 and 12–18 months post-COVID-19, data from medical records, pulmonary function tests, chest computed tomography scans and biological samples were collected and questionnaires were administered. Furthermore, exposome data was collected at the patient’s home and state-of-the-art imaging techniques as well as multi-omics analyses will be performed on collected data.
Results: 95 long COVID patients were enrolled between May 2021 and September 2022. The current study showed persistence of clinical symptoms and signs of pulmonary function test/radiological abnormalities in post-COVID patients at 3–6 months post-COVID. The most commonly reported symptoms included respiratory symptoms (78.9%), neurological symptoms (68.4%) and fatigue (67.4%). Female sex and infection with the Delta, compared with the Beta, SARS-CoV-2 variant were significantly associated with more persisting symptom categories.
Conclusions: The P4O2 COVID-19 study contributes to our understanding of the long-term health impacts of COVID-19. Furthermore, P4O2 COVID-19 can lead to the identification of different phenotypes of long COVID patients, for example those that are at risk for developing chronic lung disease. Understanding the mechanisms behind the different phenotypes and identifying these patients at an early stage can help to develop and optimize prevention and treatment strategies.
Source: Baalbaki N, Blankestijn JM, Abdel-Aziz MI, de Backer J, Bazdar S, Beekers I, Beijers RJHCG, van den Bergh JP, Bloemsma LD, Bogaard HJ, et al. Precision Medicine for More Oxygen (P4O2)—Study Design and First Results of the Long COVID-19 Extension. Journal of Personalized Medicine. 2023; 13(7):1060. https://doi.org/10.3390/jpm13071060 https://www.mdpi.com/2075-4426/13/7/1060 (Full text)

Trajectory of Post-COVID Self-Reported Fatigue and Dyspnoea in Individuals Who Had Been Hospitalized by COVID-19: The LONG-COVID-EXP Multicenter Study

Abstract:

Fatigue and dyspnoea are common post-COVID symptoms. The aim of this study was to apply Sankey plots and exponential bar plots for visualizing the evolution and trajectory of post-COVID fatigue and dyspnoea symptoms in a cohort of previously hospitalized COVID-19 survivors. A total of 1266 previously hospitalized patients due to COVID-19 participated in this multicentre study. They were assessed at hospital admission (T0), 8.4 months (T1), 13.2 months (T2) and 18.3 months (T3) after hospital discharge and were asked about the presence of self-reported fatigue or dyspnoea symptoms.
Fatigue was defined as a self-perceived feeling of constant tiredness and/or weakness whereas dyspnoea was defined as a self-perceived feeling of shortness of breath at rest. We specifically asked for fatigue and dyspnoea that participants attributed to the infection. Clinical/hospitalization data were collected from hospital medical records.
The prevalence of post-COVID fatigue was 56.94% (n = 721) at T1, 52.31% (n = 662) at T2 and 42.66% (n = 540) at T3. The prevalence of dyspnoea at rest decreased from 28.71% (n = 363) at hospital admission (T0), to 21.29% (n = 270) at T1, to 13.96% (n = 177) at T2 and 12.04% (n = 153) at T3. The Sankey plots revealed that 469 (37.08%) and 153 (12.04%) patients exhibited fatigue and dyspnoea at all follow-up periods.
The recovery exponential curves show a decreased prevalence trend, showing that fatigue and dyspnoea recover the following three years after hospitalization. The regression models revealed that the female sex and experiencing the symptoms (e.g., fatigue, dyspnoea) at T1 were factors associated with the presence of post-COVID fatigue or dyspnoea at T2 and T3.
The use of Sankey plots shows a fluctuating evolution of post-COVID fatigue and dyspnoea during the first two years after infection. In addition, exponential bar plots revealed a decreased prevalence of these symptoms during the first years after. The female sex is a risk factor for the development of post-COVID fatigue and dyspnoea.
Source:Fernández-de-las-Peñas C, Cancela-Cilleruelo I, Rodríguez-Jiménez J, Fuensalida-Novo S, Martín-Guerrero JD, Pellicer-Valero OJ, de-la-Llave-Rincón AI. Trajectory of Post-COVID Self-Reported Fatigue and Dyspnoea in Individuals Who Had Been Hospitalized by COVID-19: The LONG-COVID-EXP Multicenter Study. Biomedicines. 2023; 11(7):1863. https://doi.org/10.3390/biomedicines11071863 https://www.mdpi.com/2227-9059/11/7/1863 (Full text)

Mild COVID-19 infection associated with post-COVID-19 condition after 3 months – a questionnaire survey

Abstract:

Introduction: The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), caused by infection with SARS-CoV-2, can lead to post-COVID-19 condition, a secondary syndrome of persistent and new post-acute symptoms, but evidence on this syndrome is still scarce.

Methods: In a questionnaire survey, residents of the city of Bremen (Germany) with verified SARS-CoV-2 infection were invited to answer questions (online questionnaire or interview) concerning symptoms experienced at the time of infection and at the time of questionnaire completion at least three months later. Main outcome of the analysis was the presence of a post-COVID-19 condition at the time of the interview, defined as the presence of at least two of three leading symptoms: fatigue, breathing difficulties, or cognitive problems.

Results: A post-COVID-19 condition was more likely to be reported if respondents had, at the time of infection, suffered from fatigue (OR 1.75; 95% CI: 1.00, 3.06), breathing difficulties (OR 4.02; 95% CI: 2.80, 5.77), cognitive symptoms (OR 2.98; 95% CI: 1.48, 6.02), or head- & bone aches (OR 2.06; 95% CI: 1.25, 3.42). The odds of developing a post-COVID-19 condition increased with the number of symptoms at infection. Females were more likely to report a post-COVID-19 condition (OR 1.54; 95% CI: 1.05, 2.24). Analyzing only non-hospitalized respondents changed results only slightly.

Conclusion: Our study adds to growing evidence that even a mild course of COVID-19 poses a risk for developing a post-COVID-19 condition. Females and those with initial symptoms including fatigue, breathing difficulties, and cognitive symptoms seem more likely to also experience post COVID-19 symptoms several months after infection.

KEY MESSAGES

Even a mild course of COVID-19 poses a risk for developing a post-COVID-19 condition.

Females seem more likely to develop a post-COVID-19 condition.

Those with initial symptoms including fatigue, breathing difficulties, and cognitive symptoms seem more likely to develop a post-COVID-19 condition.

Source: Rach S, Kühne L, Zeeb H, Ahrens W, Haug U, Pohlabeln H. Mild COVID-19 infection associated with post-COVID-19 condition after 3 months – a questionnaire survey. Ann Med. 2023 Dec;55(1):2226907. doi: 10.1080/07853890.2023.2226907. PMID: 37337723; PMCID: PMC10283437. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10283437/ (Full text)

Long COVID in the Long Run-23-Month Follow-up Study of Persistent Symptoms

Abstract:

Symptoms of long coronavirus disease (COVID) were found in 38% of 170 patients followed for a median of 22.6 months. The most prevalent symptoms were fatigue, affected taste and smell, and difficulties remembering and concentrating. Predictors for long COVID were older age and number of symptoms in the acute phase. Long COVID may take many months, maybe years, to resolve.

Source: Helmsdal G, Hanusson KD, Kristiansen MF, Foldbo BM, Danielsen ME, Steig BÁ, Gaini S, Strøm M, Weihe P, Petersen MS. Long COVID in the Long Run-23-Month Follow-up Study of Persistent Symptoms. Open Forum Infect Dis. 2022 Jun 6;9(7):ofac270. doi: 10.1093/ofid/ofac270. PMID: 35891696; PMCID: PMC9308378. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9308378/ (Full text)

The association between the number of symptoms and the severity of Post-COVID-Fatigue after SARS-CoV-2 infection treated in an outpatient setting

Abstract:

Background: Post-COVID-Fatigue (PCF) is one of the most reported symptoms following SARS-CoV-2 infection. Currently, research on persistent symptoms focuses mainly on severe infections, while outpatients are rarely included in observations.

Objective: To investigate whether the severity of PCF is related to the number of acute and persistent symptoms due to mild-to-moderate COVID-19 and to compare the most common symptoms during acute infection with the persistent symptoms in PCF patients.

Methods: A total of 425 participants were examined after COVID-19 treated as an outpatient (median 249 days [IQR: 135; 322] after acute disease) at the site of University Hospital Augsburg, Germany. The Fatigue Assessment Scale (FAS) was used to quantify the severity of PCF. The number of symptoms (maximum 41) during acute infection and persistent symptoms (during the last 14 days before examination) were added up to sum scores. Multivariable linear regression models were used to show the association between the number of symptoms and PCF.

Results: Of the 425 participants, 37% (n = 157) developed PCF; most were women (70%). The median number of symptoms was significantly higher in the PCF group than in the non-PCF group at both time points. In multivariable linear regression models, both sum scores were associated with PCF (acute symptoms: β-estimate per additional symptom [95%-CI]: 0.48 [0.39; 0.57], p < 0.0001); persistent symptoms: β-estimate per additional symptom [95%-CI]: 1.18 [1.02; 1.34], p < 0.0001). The acute symptoms strongest associated with PCF severity were difficulty concentrating, memory problems, dyspnea or shortness of breath on exertion, palpitations, and problems with movement coordination.

Conclusion: Each additional symptom that occurs in COVID-19 increases the likelihood of suffering a higher severity of PCF. Further research is needed to identify the aetiology of PCF.

Source: Schmidbauer L, Kirchberger I, Goßlau Y, Warm TD, Hyhlik-Dürr A, Linseisen J, Meisinger C. The association between the number of symptoms and the severity of Post-COVID-Fatigue after SARS-CoV-2 infection treated in an outpatient setting. J Neurol. 2023 May 23:1–9. doi: 10.1007/s00415-023-11752-9. Epub ahead of print. PMID: 37219607; PMCID: PMC10204671. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10204671/ (Full text)

First study results of the P4O2 long COVID cohort

Abstract:

Introduction: Several studies indicate that the acute phase of COVID-19 may be followed by persistent symptoms. However, the impact of COVID-19 on long-term health outcomes remains to be elucidated.

Aims: The Precision Medicine for more Oxygen (P4O2) COVID-19 study aims to identify long COVID patients that are that are at risk for developing chronic lung disease and to identify treatable traits and innovative personalized therapeutic strategies for prevention and treatment. This study describes the baseline characteristics of the P4O2 COVID-19 cohort.

Methods: Long COVID patients were recruited from 5 different hospitals in The Netherlands at 3-6 months post-COVID. Data from medical records and biological samples were collected, pulmonary function tests and chest computed tomography scans were performed and questionnaires were administered during 2 study visits.

Results: 95 long COVID patients were enrolled between May 2021 and September 2022. Study participants were aged 54.2 years on average and of female sex in 49.5% of all cases. Most patients were hospitalized(89.5%) for COVID-19 with a mean hospital stay duration of 8 days. The current study showed persistence of clinical symptoms and signs of pulmonary function test/radiological abnormalities in long COVID patients(81%). The most frequently reported symptom categories were respiratory(80%) and fatigue(69.5%). Both female sex and infection with the Delta, compared with the Beta, SARS-CoV-2 variant were significantly associated with more persisting symptoms.

Conclusions: The first descriptive results of the P4O2 COVID-19 cohort show that long COVID patients show signs of radiological/functional abnormalities and can suffer from a wide range of persisting symptoms.

Source: N Baalbaki, J Blankestijn, M Abdel-Aziz, J De Backer, S Bazdar, I Beekers, R Beijers, J Van Den Bergh, L Bloemsma, H J Bogaard, J Van Bragt, V Van Den Brink, J P Charbonnier, M Cornelissen, Y Dagelet, E H Davies, A Van Der Does, G Downward, C Van Drunen, D Gach, M Geelhoed, J Glastra, K Golebski, I Heijink, J Holtjer, S Holverda, L Houweling, J Jacobs, R Jonker, R Kos, R Langen, I Van Der Lee, A Leliveld, F Mohamed Hoesein, A Neerincx, L Noij, J Olsson, M Van De Pol, S Pouwels, E Rolink, M Rutgers, H Șahin, D Schaminee, A Schols, L Schuurman, P Skipp, G Slingers, O Smeenk, B Sondermeijer, M Tamarit, I Verkouter, R Vermeulen, R De Vries, E Weersink, M Van De Werken, Y De Wit-Van De Wijck, S Young, E Nossent, A Maitland-Van Der Zee. ERJ Open Research 2023 9: 68; DOI: 10.1183/23120541.LSC-2023.68 https://openres.ersjournals.com/content/9/suppl_10/68

 

Cardiopulmonary testing in long COVID-19 versus non-COVID-19 patients with undifferentiated Dyspnea on exertion

Abstract:

Background: Dyspnea and fatigue are characteristics of long SARS-CoV-2 (COVID)-19. Cardiopulmonary exercise testing (CPET) can be used to better evaluate such patients.

Research question: How significantly and by what mechanisms is exercise capacity impaired in patients with long COVID who are coming to a specialized clinic for evaluation?

Study design and methods: We performed a cohort study using the Mayo Clinic exercise testing database. Subjects included consecutive long COVID patients without prior history of heart or lung disease sent from the Post-COVID Care Clinic for CPET. They were compared to a historical group of non-COVID patients with undifferentiated dyspnea also without known cardiac or pulmonary disease. Statistical comparisons were performed by t-test or Pearson’s chi2 test controlling for age, sex, and beta blocker use where appropriate.

Results: We found 77 patients with long COVID and 766 control patients. Long COVID patients were younger (47 ± 15 vs 50 ± 10 years, P < .01) and more likely female (70% vs 58%, P < .01). The most prominent difference on CPETs was lower percent predicted peak V̇O2 (73 ± 18 vs 85 ± 23%, p < .0001). Autonomic abnormalities (resting tachycardia, CNS changes, low systolic blood pressure) were seen during CPET more commonly in long COVID patients (34 vs 23%, P < .04), while mild pulmonary abnormalities (mild desaturation, limited breathing reserve, elevated V̇E/V̇CO2) during CPET were similar (19% in both groups) with only 1 long COVID patient showing severe impairment.

Interpretation: We identified severe exercise limitation among long COVID patients. Young women may be at higher risk for these complications. Though mild pulmonary and autonomic impairment were common in long COVID patients, marked limitations were uncommon. We hope our observations help to untangle the physiologic abnormalities responsible for the symptomatology of long COVID.

Source: Contreras AM, Newman DB, Cappelloni L, Niven AS, Mueller MR, Ganesh R, Squires RW, Bonikowske AR, Allison TG. Cardiopulmonary testing in long COVID-19 versus non-COVID-19 patients with undifferentiated Dyspnea on exertion. Prog Cardiovasc Dis. 2023 May 19:S0033-0620(23)00053-1. doi: 10.1016/j.pcad.2023.05.005. Epub ahead of print. PMID: 37211198; PMCID: PMC10198738. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10198738/ (Full text)

Socioeconomic inequalities of Long COVID: a retrospective population-based cohort study in the United Kingdom

Abstract:

Objectives: To estimate the risk of Long COVID by socioeconomic deprivation and to further examine the inequality by sex and occupation.

Design: We conducted a retrospective population-based cohort study using data from the ONS COVID-19 Infection Survey between 26 April 2020 and 31 January 2022. This is the largest nationally representative survey of COVID-19 in the UK with longitudinal data on occupation, COVID-19 exposure and Long COVID.

Setting: Community-based survey in the UK.

Participants: A total of 201,799 participants aged 16 to 64 years and with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection.

Main outcome measures: The risk of Long COVID at least 4 weeks after SARS-CoV-2 infection by index of multiple deprivation (IMD) and the modifying effects of socioeconomic deprivation by sex and occupation.

Results: Nearly 10% (n = 19,315) of participants reported having Long COVID. Multivariable logistic regression models, adjusted for a range of variables (demographic, co-morbidity and time), showed that participants in the most deprived decile had a higher risk of Long COVID (11.4% vs. 8.2%; adjusted odds ratio (aOR): 1.46; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.34, 1.59) compared to the least deprived decile. Significantly higher inequalities (most vs. least deprived decile) in Long COVID existed in healthcare and patient-facing roles (aOR: 1.76; 95% CI: 1.27, 2.44), in the education sector (aOR: 1.68; 95% CI: 1.31, 2.16) and in women (aOR: 1.56; 95% CI: 1.40, 1.73) than men (aOR: 1.32; 95% CI: 1.15, 1.51).

Conclusions: This study provides insights into the heterogeneous degree of inequality in Long COVID by deprivation, sex and occupation. These findings will help inform public health policies and interventions in incorporating a social justice and health inequality lens.

Source: Shabnam S, Razieh C, Dambha-Miller H, Yates T, Gillies C, Chudasama YV, Pareek M, Banerjee A, Kawachi I, Lacey B, Morris EJ, White M, Zaccardi F, Khunti K, Islam N. Socioeconomic inequalities of Long COVID: a retrospective population-based cohort study in the United Kingdom. J R Soc Med. 2023 May 10:1410768231168377. doi: 10.1177/01410768231168377. Epub ahead of print. PMID: 37164035. https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/01410768231168377 (Full text)

Impaired health-related quality of life in long-COVID syndrome after mild to moderate COVID-19

Abstract:

A growing number of patients with SARS-CoV-2 infections experience long-lasting symptoms. Even patients who suffered from a mild acute infection show a variety of persisting and debilitating neurocognitive, respiratory, or cardiac symptoms (Long-Covid syndrome), consequently leading to limitations in everyday life. Because data on health-related quality of life (HRQoL) is scarce, we aimed to characterize the impact of Long-Covid symptoms after a mild or moderate acute infection on HRQoL.

In this observational study, outpatients seeking counseling in the interdisciplinary Post-Covid consultation of the University Hospital Zurich with symptoms persisting for more than 4 weeks were included. Patients who received an alternative diagnosis or suffered from a severe acute Covid-19 infection were excluded. St. George’s Respiratory Questionnaire (SGRQ), Euroquol-5D-5L (EQ-5D-5L), and the Short form 36 (SF-36) were distributed to assess HRQoL. 112 patients were included, 86 (76.8%) were female, median (IQR) age was 43 (32.0, 52.5) years with 126 (91, 180) days of symptoms.

Patients suffered frequently from fatigue (81%), concentration difficulties (60%), and dyspnea (60%). Patients mostly stated impairment in performing usual activities and having pain/discomfort or anxiety out of the EQ-5D-5L. EQ index value and SGRQ activity score component were significantly lower in females. SF-36 scores showed remarkably lower scores in the physical health domain compared to the Swiss general population before and during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Long-Covid syndrome has a substantial impact on HRQoL. Long-term surveillance of patients must provide clarity on the duration of impairments in physical and mental health.

Trial registration: The study is registered on www.ClinicalTrials.gov , NCT04793269.

Source: Malesevic S, Sievi NA, Baumgartner P, Roser K, Sommer G, Schmidt D, Vallelian F, Jelcic I, Clarenbach CF, Kohler M. Impaired health-related quality of life in long-COVID syndrome after mild to moderate COVID-19. Sci Rep. 2023 May 12;13(1):7717. doi: 10.1038/s41598-023-34678-8. PMID: 37173355; PMCID: PMC10175927. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10175927/ (Full text)