outcome predictors – American ME and CFS Society

Prevalence and predictors of recovery from chronic fatigue syndrome in a routine clinical practice

Abstract:

Cognitive behavioural therapy (CBT) is one of the treatments of choice for patients with chronic fatigue syndrome (CFS). However, the factors that predict recovery are unknown. The objective of this study was to ascertain the recovery rate among CFS patients receiving CBT in routine practice and to explore possible predictors of recovery.

Recovery was defined as no longer meeting Oxford or CDC criteria for CFS measured at 6 months follow-up. A composite score representing full recovery additionally included the perception of improvement, and normal population levels of fatigue and of physical functioning. Logistic regression was used to examine predictors of recovery.

Predictors included age, gender, cognitive and behavioural responses to symptoms, work and social adjustment, beliefs about emotions, perfectionism, anxiety and depression at baseline. At 6 months follow-up 37.5% of the patients no longer met either the Oxford or the CDC criteria for CFS while 18.3% were fully recovered.

Multivariate analyses showed that worse scores on the work and social adjustment scale, unhelpful beliefs about emotions, high levels of depression and older age were associated with reduced odds for recovery. Recovery rates in this routine practice were comparable to previous RCTs. There was a wide spectrum of significant predictors for recovery.

Source: Flo E, Chalder T. Prevalence and predictors of recovery from chronic fatigue syndrome in a routine clinical practice. Behav Res Ther. 2014 Dec;63:1-8. doi: 10.1016/j.brat.2014.08.013. Epub 2014 Aug 26. http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0005796714001429 (Full article)

Association of active human herpesvirus-6, -7 and parvovirus b19 infection with clinical outcomes in patients with myalgic encephalomyelitis/chronic fatigue syndrome

Abstract:

Frequency of active human herpesvirus-6, -7 (HHV-6, HHV-7) and parvovirus B19 (B19) infection/coinfection and its association with clinical course of ME/CFS was evaluated. 108 ME/CFS patients and 90 practically healthy persons were enrolled in the study. Viral genomic sequences were detected by PCR, virus-specific antibodies and cytokine levels-by ELISA, HHV-6 variants-by restriction analysis.

Active viral infection including concurrent infection was found in 64.8% (70/108) of patients and in 13.3% (12/90) of practically healthy persons. Increase in peripheral blood leukocyte DNA HHV-6 load as well as in proinflammatory cytokines’ levels was detected in patients during active viral infection. Definite relationship was observed between active betaherpesvirus infection and subfebrility, lymphadenopathy and malaise after exertion, and between active B19 infection and multijoint pain. Neuropsychological disturbances were detected in all patients. The manifestation of symptoms was of more frequent occurrence in patients with concurrent infection.

The high rate of active HHV-6, HHV-7 and B19 infection/coinfection with the simultaneous increase in plasma proinflammatory cytokines’ level as well as the association between active viral infection and distinctive types of clinical symptoms shows necessity of simultaneous study of these viral infections for identification of possible subsets of ME/CFS.

Source: Chapenko S, Krumina A, Logina I, Rasa S, Chistjakovs M, Sultanova A, Viksna L, Murovska M. Association of active human herpesvirus-6, -7 and parvovirus b19 infection with clinical outcomes in patients with myalgic encephalomyelitis/chronic fatigue syndrome. Adv Virol. 2012;2012:205085. doi: 10.1155/2012/205085. Epub 2012 Aug 13. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3426163/ (Full article)

Depressive symptoms and pragmatic rehabilitation for chronic fatigue syndrome

Abstract:

BACKGROUND: Previous research has suggested that depressed mood may predict outcome and moderate response to treatment in chronic fatigue syndrome, although findings have differed between studies.

AIMS: To examine potential moderators of response to pragmatic rehabilitation v. general practitioner treatment as usual in a recent randomised trial for patients with chronic fatigue syndrome in primary care (IRCTN74156610).

METHOD: Simple regressions, with weighting adjustments to allow for missing data, were calculated. Demographic, medical and psychological variables, and treatment arm, were entered separately and as an interaction term. The outcome variable in each case was change in Chalder Fatigue Scale scores, from baseline to 1-year follow-up, our primary outcome point.

RESULTS: Longer illness durations predicted poorer outcome across the two treatment arms. For patients allocated to pragmatic rehabilitation compared with those allocated to treatment as usual, higher levels of depressive symptoms at baseline were associated with smaller improvements in fatigue (P = 0.022).

CONCLUSIONS: For patients in primary care with higher levels of depressive symptoms, either more intensive or longer pragmatic rehabilitation, or cognitive-behavioural therapy, may be required in order to show a significant improvement in fatigue.

Source: Wearden AJ, Dunn G, Dowrick C, Morriss RK. Depressive symptoms and pragmatic rehabilitation for chronic fatigue syndrome. Br J Psychiatry. 2012 Sep;201(3):227-32. doi: 10.1192/bjp.bp.111.107474. Epub 2012 Jul 26. http://bjp.rcpsych.org/content/201/3/227.long (Full article)

Predictors of outcome following treatment for chronic fatigue

Abstract:

We explored the role of baseline characteristics of 105 patients who presented with fatigue in primary care in determining outcome following either graded exercise or cognitive-behavioural therapy. Meeting the criteria for chronic fatigue syndrome was the most powerful predictor of poor outcome and this negative effect was enhanced by greater functional impairment or greater perceived negative consequences, but was not further enhanced by both.

Source: Darbishire L, Seed P, Ridsdale L. Predictors of outcome following treatment for chronic fatigue. Br J Psychiatry. 2005 Apr;186:350-1. http://bjp.rcpsych.org/content/186/4/350.long (Full article)

Predictors of outcome in fatigued employees on sick leave: results from a randomised trial

Abstract:

OBJECTIVE: The main objective of this study was to identify predictors of fatigue caseness, work resumption and chronic fatigue syndrome (CFS)-like caseness in a sample of fatigued employees on sick leave.

METHODS: For 12 months, 151 fatigued employees on sick leave, 44% of whom met research criteria for CFS at baseline, were followed. Measures included fatigue, health aspects, psychological problems, burnout, causal attributions and self-efficacy. Logistic regression analysis was used to determine associations between predictor variables at baseline and outcome at follow-up.

RESULTS: After 12 months, 43% of the patients were no longer fatigue cases, and 62% had resumed work. Recovery from fatigue caseness was predicted by stronger psychological attributions and other perception-related factors, whereas work resumption was predicted by lower age, male sex, CFS-like caseness and less cognitive difficulties. Lower physical functioning scores were predictive of (the development of) CFS-like caseness.

CONCLUSION: Recovering from persistent fatigue and work resumption seem to result from different underlying processes and do not necessarily fall together. As many factors associated with outcome in fatigue reflect illness perception, the prevention of persistent fatigue and CFS may partly be achieved by the modification of perception.

Source: Huibers MJ, Bleijenberg G, van Amelsvoort LG, Beurskens AJ, van Schayck CP, Bazelmans E, Knottnerus JA. Predictors of outcome in fatigued employees on sick leave: results from a randomised trial. J Psychosom Res. 2004 Nov;57(5):443-9. http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/15581647

Natural course and predicting self-reported improvement in patients with chronic fatigue syndrome with a relatively short illness duration

Abstract:

OBJECTIVE: To describe the course of fatigue in chronic fatigue syndrome (CFS) patients with a relatively short duration of complaints and to test which psychosocial factors predict spontaneous improvement 1 year later.

METHODS: Seventy-nine patients with a complaint duration of less than 2 years were tested at baseline and 78 of the same group at 1-year follow-up. During this time period, no systematic intervention took place. Self-reported improvement and fatigue severity were the main outcome measures.

RESULTS: Forty-six percent (95% confidence intervals, 95CI = 35-58%) of the patients with a short illness duration reported to be improved. This was a significantly (chi(2) = 20.3, P < .001) higher percentage compared to the 20% (95CI = 15-26%) self-reported improvement in a previously published natural-course study among 246 CFS patients with a longer illness duration. Persistence of complaints after 1-year follow-up was associated with high baseline levels of experienced concentration problems, less strong psychosocial causal explanations for the complaints, and higher levels of the experienced lack of social support. Baseline fatigue severity predicted fatigue severity at follow-up.

CONCLUSION: The results showed that CFS patients with a relatively short duration of complaints had a more favourable outcome compared to patients with a long illness duration. The data also indicated that complete recovery only occurred in patients with a complaint duration of less than 15 months. This finding has important implications, since it suggests that after such a time period spontaneous recovery hardly occurs.

Source: van der Werf SP, de Vree B, Alberts M, van der Meer JW, Bleijenberg G; Netherlands Fatigue Research Group Nijmegen. Natural course and predicting self-reported improvement in patients with chronic fatigue syndrome with a relatively short illness duration. J Psychosom Res. 2002 Sep;53(3):749-53. http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/12217448

Predictors of response to treatment for chronic fatigue syndrome

Abstract:

BACKGROUND: Controlled trials have shown that psychological interventions designed to encourage graded exercise can facilitate recovery from chronic fatigue syndrome.

AIMS: To identify predictors of response to psychological treatment for chronic fatigue syndrome.

METHOD: Of 114 patients assigned to equally effective treatment conditions in a randomised, controlled trial, 95 completed follow-up assessments. Relationships between variables measured prior to randomisation and changes in physical functioning and subjective handicap at 1 year were evaluated by multiple regression.

RESULTS: Poor outcome was predicted by membership of a self-help group, being in receipt of sickness benefit at the start of treatment, and dysphoria as measured by the Hospital Anxiety and Depression scale. Severity of symptoms and duration of illness were not predictors of response.

CONCLUSIONS: Poor outcome in the psychological treatment of chronic fatigue syndrome is predicted by variables that indicate resistance to accepting the therapeutic rationale, poor motivation to treatment adherence or secondary gains from illness.

Source: Bentall RP, Powell P, Nye FJ, Edwards RH. Predictors of response to treatment for chronic fatigue syndrome. Br J Psychiatry. 2002 Sep;181:248-52. http://bjp.rcpsych.org/content/181/3/248.long (Full article)

Significant other responses are associated with fatigue and functional status among patients with chronic fatigue syndrome

Abstract:

OBJECTIVE: The predictive power of partners’ responses to illness behavior for illness outcomes was investigated among couples in which one person had chronic fatigue syndrome (CFS).

METHODS: One hundred nineteen participants who met case-definition criteria for CFS and were living with a significant other (SO) completed self-report measures of relationship satisfaction, responses of their SO to fatigue symptoms, and outcome measures of fatigue and functional status.

RESULTS: The results indicated that more frequent solicitous SO responses to illness behavior were predictive of greater fatigue-related severity and bodily pain. Solicitous SO responses to fatigue behavior were particularly influential in the context of a satisfactory relationship. In highly satisfactory relationships, solicitous SO responses were associated with significantly greater fatigue severity and fatigue-related disability than in relationships characterized by low or average satisfaction.

CONCLUSIONS: Solicitous SO responses to CFS-related symptoms are associated with poorer patient outcomes, especially in the context of a satisfactory intimate relationship. Because of the cross-sectional nature of the study, the direction of effects cannot be interpreted unambiguously. SOs may be inadvertently positively reinforcing illness-related behavior: Solicitous partners may help the patient more with tasks of daily living, thereby decreasing the patient’s activity level, which may lead to deconditioning and disability. Alternatively, patients with more severe symptoms and disability may present more opportunities for concerned SO responses, which again may be heightened in the context of a caring, satisfactory relationship. In either case, the results suggest that additional research on the role of solicitous SO responses is warranted.

Source: Schmaling KB, Smith WR, Buchwald DS. Significant other responses are associated with fatigue and functional status among patients with chronic fatigue syndrome. Psychosom Med. 2000 May-Jun;62(3):444-50. http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/10845358

Personality in adolescents with chronic fatigue syndrome

Abstract:

Our aim was to study the presence of personality traits and disorder in adolescents with Chronic Fatigue Syndrome (CFS). Personality was then compared to other measures of functioning such as presence of psychiatric disorder and rating on the Child Behavior Checklist 4-18 (CBCL) and in relation to CFS outcome.

Twenty-five adolescents with CFS followed-up after contacts with tertiary paediatric/psychiatric clinics were compared with 15 matched healthy controls. Interviews and questionnaires from parents and youngsters included Personality Assessment Schedule (PAS), Kiddie-SADS Psychiatric Interview, Child Behavior Checklist. CFS subjects were significantly more likely than controls to have personality difficulty or disorder.

Personality features significantly more common amongst them were conscientiousness, vulnerability, worthlessness and emotional lability. There was a nonsignificant association between personality disorder and worse CFS outcome. Personality difficulty or disorder was significantly associated with psychological symptoms and decreased social competence on the CBCL but it was distinguishable from episodic psychiatric disorder. Personality difficulty and disorder are increased in adolescents with a history of CFS. Personality disorder may be linked to poor CFS outcome.

Source: Rangel L, Garralda E, Levin M, Roberts H. Personality in adolescents with chronic fatigue syndrome. Eur Child Adolesc Psychiatry. 2000 Mar;9(1):39-45. http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/10795854

Coping and adaptive outcome in chronic fatigue syndrome: importance of illness cognitions

Abstract:

In this study, the relations between illness representations, coping behavior, and adaptive outcomes in chronic fatigue syndrome (CFS) patients (N=98) were examined. Following Leventhal’s self-regulation model, it was hypothesized that illness representations would be directly related to coping and, via coping, to adaptive outcome.

The results showed patients who considered their illness to be a serious condition, who believed that they had no control over their illness, who saw little possibility for cure, and who believed their illness to have serious consequences to cope with their illness in a passive way, report higher levels of impairment in physical and social functioning and report greater problems in mental health and vitality.

A series of regression analyses showed illness representations to be stronger predictors of adaptive outcome than coping scores. The implications of these findings for the treatment of CFS patients are discussed.

Source: Heijmans MJ. Coping and adaptive outcome in chronic fatigue syndrome: importance of illness cognitions. J Psychosom Res. 1998 Jul;45(1):39-51. http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/9720854