Estimating total morbidity burden of COVID-19: relative importance of death and disability

Abstract:

Objective: Calculations of disease burden of COVID-19, used to allocate scarce resources, have historically considered only mortality. However, survivors often develop postinfectious ‘long-COVID’ similar to chronic fatigue syndrome; physical sequelae such as heart damage, or both. This paper quantifies relative contributions of acute case fatality, delayed case fatality, and disability to total morbidity per COVID-19 case.

Study design and setting: Healthy life years lost per COVID-19 case were computed as the sum of (incidence*disability weight*duration) for death and long-COVID by sex and 10-year age category in three plausible scenarios.

Results: In all models, acute mortality was only a small share of total morbidity. For lifelong moderate symptoms, healthy years lost per COVID-19 case ranged from 0.92 (male in his 30s) to 5.71 (girl under 10) and were 3.5 and 3.6 for the oldest females and males. At higher symptom severities, young people and females bore larger shares of morbidity; if survivors’ later mortality increased, morbidity increased most in young people of both sexes.

Conclusions: Under most conditions most COVID-19 morbidity was in survivors. Future research should investigate incidence, risk factors, and clinical course of long-COVID to elucidate total disease burden, and decisionmakers should allocate scarce resources to minimize total morbidity. WHAT IS NEW; KEY FINDINGS: : Under most plausible model scenarios, most COVID-19 morbidity (death + disability) is likely to be due to disability (‘long-COVID’) or delayed death due to organ damage, rather than immediate death. Only if long-COVID resolves (atypical of postinfectious syndromes) is morbidity higher in old than young WHAT THIS ADDS TO WHAT IS KNOWN: : While COVID-19 deaths are numerous, they likely cause less morbidity overall than does disability or organ damage in survivors. Morbidity is highest in females, especially those infected young.

What should change now: Scarce resources such as vaccines should be allocated to minimize morbidity rather than focusing solely on mortality. Data on long-COVID, especially its sex bias, should be collected and publicized.

Source: Smith MP. Estimating total morbidity burden of COVID-19: relative importance of death and disability. J Clin Epidemiol. 2021 Oct 26:S0895-4356(21)00339-5. doi: 10.1016/j.jclinepi.2021.10.018. Epub ahead of print. PMID: 34715312. https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/34715312/

Clinical Heterogeneity in ME/CFS. A Way to Understand Long-COVID19 Fatigue

Abstract:

The aim of present paper is to identify clinical phenotypes in a cohort of patients affected of Myalgic Encephalomyelitis/Chronic Fatigue Syndrome. Ninety-one patients and 22 healthy controls were studied with the following questionnaires, in addition to medical history: visual analogical scale for fatigue and pain, DePaul questionnaire (post-exertional malaise, immune, neuroendocrine), Pittsburgh sleep quality index, COMPASS-31 (dysautonomia), Montreal cognitive assessment, Toulouse-Piéron test (attention), Hospital Anxiety and Depression test and Karnofsky scale. Co-morbidities and drugs-intake were also recorded.

A hierarchical clustering with clinical results was performed. Final study group was made up of 84 patients, mean age 44.41 ± 9.37 years (66 female/18 male) and 22 controls, mean age 45 ± 13.15 years (14 female/8 male). Patients meet diagnostic criteria of Fukuda-1994 and Carruthers-2011. Clustering analysis identify five phenotypes.

Two groups without fibromyalgia were differentiated by various levels of anxiety and depression (13 and 20 patients). The other three groups present fibromyalgia plus a patient without it, but with high scores in pain scale, they were segregated by prevalence of dysautonomia (17), neuroendocrine (15), and immunological affectation (19). Regarding gender, women showed higher scores than men in cognition, pain level and depressive syndrome.

Mathematical tools are a suitable approach to objectify some elusive features in order to understand the syndrome. Clustering unveils phenotypes combining fibromyalgia with varying degrees of dysautonomia, neuroendocrine or immune features and absence of fibromyalgia with high or low levels of anxiety-depression. There is no a specific phenotype for women or men.

Source: Murga I, Aranburu L, Gargiulo PA, Gómez Esteban JC, Lafuente JV. Clinical Heterogeneity in ME/CFS. A Way to Understand Long-COVID19 Fatigue. Front Psychiatry. 2021 Oct 11;12:735784. doi: 10.3389/fpsyt.2021.735784. PMID: 34707521; PMCID: PMC8542754.  https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8542754/  (Full text)

Fatigue in post-acute sequelae of SARS-CoV2 (PASC) treated with oxygen-ozone autohemotherapy – preliminary results on 100 patients

Abstract:

Objective: Post-acute sequelae of SARS-CoV2 infection (PASC) are a novel terminology used to describe post-COVID persistent symptoms, mimicking somehow the previously described chronic fatigue syndrome (CFS). In this manuscript, we evaluated a therapeutical approach to address PASC-derived fatigue in a cohort of past-COVID-19 positive patients.

Patients and methods: A number of 100 patients, previously diagnosed as COVID-19 positive subjects and meeting our eligibility criteria, was diagnosed having PASC-related fatigue. They were recruited in the study and treated with oxygen-ozone autohemotherapy (O2-O3-AHT), according to the SIOOT protocol. Patients’ response to O2-O3-AHT and changes in fatigue were measured with the 7-scoring Fatigue Severity Scale (FSS), according to previously published protocols.

Results: Statistics assessed that the effects of O2-O3-AHT on fatigue reduced PASC symptoms by 67%, as a mean, in all the investigated cohort of patients (H = 148.4786 p < 0.0001) (Figure 1). Patients following O2-O3-AHT therapy, quite completely recovered for PASC-associated fatigue, a quote amounting to about two fifths (around 40%) of the whole cohort undergoing ozone treatment and despite most of patients were female subjects, the effect was not influenced by sex distribution (H = 0.7353, p = 0.39117).

Conclusions: Ozone therapy is able to recover normal functionality and to relief pain and discomfort in the form of PASC-associated fatigue in at least 67% of patients suffering from post-COVID sequelae, aside from sex and age distribution.

Source: Tirelli U, Franzini M, Valdenassi L, Pisconti S, Taibi R, Torrisi C, Pandolfi S, Chirumbolo S. Fatigue in post-acute sequelae of SARS-CoV2 (PASC) treated with oxygen-ozone autohemotherapy – preliminary results on 100 patients. Eur Rev Med Pharmacol Sci. 2021 Sep;25(18):5871-5875. doi: 10.26355/eurrev_202109_26809. PMID: 34604980. https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/34604980/

Evolving phenotypes of non-hospitalized patients that indicate long COVID

Abstract:

Background: For some SARS-CoV-2 survivors, recovery from the acute phase of the infection has been grueling with lingering effects. Many of the symptoms characterized as the post-acute sequelae of COVID-19 (PASC) could have multiple causes or are similarly seen in non-COVID patients. Accurate identification of PASC phenotypes will be important to guide future research and help the healthcare system focus its efforts and resources on adequately controlled age- and gender-specific sequelae of a COVID-19 infection.

Methods: In this retrospective electronic health record (EHR) cohort study, we applied a computational framework for knowledge discovery from clinical data, MLHO, to identify phenotypes that positively associate with a past positive reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) test for COVID-19. We evaluated the post-test phenotypes in two temporal windows at 3-6 and 6-9 months after the test and by age and gender. Data from longitudinal diagnosis records stored in EHRs from Mass General Brigham in the Boston Metropolitan Area was used for the analyses. Statistical analyses were performed on data from March 2020 to June 2021. Study participants included over 96 thousand patients who had tested positive or negative for COVID-19 and were not hospitalized.

Results: We identified 33 phenotypes among different age/gender cohorts or time windows that were positively associated with past SARS-CoV-2 infection. All identified phenotypes were newly recorded in patients’ medical records 2 months or longer after a COVID-19 RT-PCR test in non-hospitalized patients regardless of the test result. Among these phenotypes, a new diagnosis record for anosmia and dysgeusia (OR 2.60, 95% CI [1.94-3.46]), alopecia (OR 3.09, 95% CI [2.53-3.76]), chest pain (OR 1.27, 95% CI [1.09-1.48]), chronic fatigue syndrome (OR 2.60, 95% CI [1.22-2.10]), shortness of breath (OR 1.41, 95% CI [1.22-1.64]), pneumonia (OR 1.66, 95% CI [1.28-2.16]), and type 2 diabetes mellitus (OR 1.41, 95% CI [1.22-1.64]) is one of the most significant indicators of a past COVID-19 infection. Additionally, more new phenotypes were found with increased confidence among the cohorts who were younger than 65.

Conclusions: The findings of this study confirm many of the post-COVID-19 symptoms and suggest that a variety of new diagnoses, including new diabetes mellitus and neurological disorder diagnoses, are more common among those with a history of COVID-19 than those without the infection. Additionally, more than 63% of PASC phenotypes were observed in patients under 65 years of age, pointing out the importance of vaccination to minimize the risk of debilitating post-acute sequelae of COVID-19 among younger adults.

Source: Estiri H, Strasser ZH, Brat GA, Semenov YR; Consortium for Characterization of COVID-19 by EHR (4CE), Patel CJ, Murphy SN. Evolving phenotypes of non-hospitalized patients that indicate long COVID. BMC Med. 2021 Sep 27;19(1):249. doi: 10.1186/s12916-021-02115-0. PMID: 34565368. https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/34565368/

Long COVID and Chronic Fatigue Syndrome: A survey of elderly female survivors in Egypt

Abstract:

Objectives: This study aimed to investigate post COVID 19 symptoms amongst elderly females and whether they could be a risk factor for developing Chronic Fatigue Syndrome (CFS) later on.

Methods: This was a retrospective cross-sectional study, in the form of an online survey. A total of 115 responses were finally included.

Results: The mean age was 73.18±6.42. Eighty-nine reported symptoms in the post recovery period; of these 54 had no symptoms of CFS, 60 were possible, and only 1 was probable. Fatigue was reported by 66, musculoskeletal symptoms by 56, and sleep problems by 73. Twenty-nine patients visited a doctor’s office as a result. Post recovery symptoms were significantly related to stress, sadness and sleep disturbances. Also, stress, sadness, sleep disturbances, fatigue, cognitive impairment, and recurrent falls were all significantly associated with CFS like symptoms.

Conclusions: From our findings the presence of fatigue, cognitive impairment, stress, sadness, sleep disturbances, and recurrent falls in the post-recovery period were all significantly associated with CFS like symptoms. To conclude it would be reasonable to screen for Long COVID and consider the potential for developing CFS later on. Whether it can be a risk factor for developing CFS like other viral infections will need more larger scale studies to confirm this.

Source: Aly MA, Saber HG. Long COVID and Chronic Fatigue Syndrome: A survey of elderly female survivors in Egypt. Int J Clin Pract. 2021 Sep 19:e14886. doi: 10.1111/ijcp.14886. Epub ahead of print. PMID: 34537995. https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/34537995/

Long COVID: Is it really myalgic encephalomyelitis? Bibliographic review and considerations

Abstract:

Clinical sequelae of a disease as widespread as COVID-19 can be of great importance for primary care due to their prevalence and the morbidity they entail. The definition of long COVID and the establishment of its temporality are various, but some authors consider possible that this syndrome is actually myalgic encephalomyelitis.

Similarities are observed when comparing the International Consensus Criteria for the diagnosis of myalgic encephalomyelitis with the symptoms described for long COVID. Blood tests, pulse oximetry, chest radiography, and thoracic ultrasound are recommended in patients with persistent symptoms after acute infection. Management in both conditions consists of treating the main symptoms. The possibility that COVID-19 can lead to a chronic condition such as myalgic encephalomyelitis makes long-term follow-up of patients who have suffered from this infection essential.

Source: Espinosa Rodríguez, P et al. “COVID persistente: ¿es en realidad una encefalomielitis miálgica? Revisión bibliográfica y consideraciones” [Long COVID: Is it really myalgic encephalomyelitis? Bibliographic review and considerations]. Semergen, S1138-3593(21)00091-5. 13 Sep. 2021, doi:10.1016/j.semerg.2021.03.006 [Abstract in English, Spanish] https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8437705/  (Full text)

Fatigue and post-exertional symptom exacerbation in Covid

Long Covid rehabilitation should include educating people about resuming everyday activities conservatively: WHO

By SHAHISTHA HAQUE

Fatigue is a feeling of extreme exhaustion. One feels over tired, low level of energy and extreme urge to sleep. It is the most common symptom of long Covid. It is easily relieved by rest or sleep. It is not the result of usually difficult activity. It can limit functioning in day to day activities. It negatively impacts the quality of life.

Now talking about post-exertional symptom exacerbation (PESE), it is a disabling and often delayed exhaustion disproportionate to the effort made. It is something described as crash.
The activity that can trigger this worsening of symptoms can be something that was easily tolerated before such as a daily activity e.g., a shower, a social activity, walking, reading, writing or working at a desk, an emotionally charged conversation, being in a sensory environment e.g., loud music or flashing lights.
Many of the symptoms experienced by those living with long Covid are very similar to those of myalgic encephalomyelitis (ME) or chronic fatigue syndrome (CFS).
According to WHO, long Covid rehabilitation should include educating people about resuming everyday activities conservatively, at an appropriate pace that is safe and manageable for energy levels within the limit of current symptoms and exertion should not be pushed to the point of fatigue or symptom exacerbation.
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Redox Imbalance: A Core Feature of ME/CFS and Acute COVID-19

By Dr. Anthony Komaroff

ME/CFS is defined exclusively by symptoms—subjective experiences that are hard to verify by objective testing. For that reason, since interest in ME/CFS began to grow in the 1980s, scientists have been looking for evidence of underlying objective abnormalities that might explain the symptoms.

A recent review, published August 24, 2021, in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA, summarizes in detail the evidence demonstrating one of the several objective abnormalities in people with ME/CFS and acute COVID-19: redox imbalance.1 It speculates that redox imbalance may also be present in post-acute COVID-19 syndrome, or “long COVID-19”, although this remains to be studied.

Redox imbalance occurs when the molecules that are oxidants (particularly “free radicals” or reactive oxygen species) exceed the number of molecules that are antioxidants. Essentially, redox imbalance is the same as the more familiar term of “oxidative stress”.

Read the rest of this article HERE.

Long COVID Patient Symptoms and its Evaluation and Management

Abstract:

While the acute case burdens and deaths from the COVID-19 pandemic (in Nepal approaching 700,000 and 10,000 respectively) have been costly, the characteristics and potentially huge dimensions of the chronic disease sequelae of this infectious disease are only slowly becoming apparent. We reviewed Pub Med, major medical meeting and medical journal, and investigative journalist materials seeking to frame and describe COVID-19 chronic disease.

The consequences of COVID-19 infections follow major organ damage, and induction of immunological and hormonal systems dysfunction. The first injuries are consequent to direct viral effects on tissues, and vasculitis, endothelialitis, thrombosis and inflammatory events. Pulmonary, cardiac, brain, and kidney tissues incur function-limiting damage, with dyspnea, arrythmias, decreased exercise capacity, cognitive dysfunction, and decreased glomerular filtration rates.

The second process is characterized by immune dysregulation and autoimmunity, and dysfunction of hormonal regulation systems, with high, fluctuating levels of physical and mental fatigue, multiple-site pain and ache, and non-restorative sleep, in 10-30% of cases.

This communication proposes evaluation and management of chronic COVID-19 patients with efficient assessment of commonest symptoms, targeted physical examination and organ function testing, and interventions based on specific organ functional status, and experience with similar chronic immune syndromes, such as myalgic encephalomyelitis.

Source: Sundar Shrestha D, Love R. Long COVID Patient Symptoms and its Evaluation and Management. JNMA J Nepal Med Assoc. 2021 Aug 12;59(240):823-831. doi: 10.31729/jnma.6355. PMID: 34508486. https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/34508486/

COVID-19 Symptoms Over Time: Comparing Long-Haulers to ME/CFS

Abstract:

Introduction: Our objective was to determine which symptoms among long-hauler COVID-19 patients change over time, and how their symptoms compare to another chronic illness group. 278 long-haulers completed two symptom questionnaires at one time point, with one recounting experiences from an average of 21.7 weeks prior.

Methods: We used a comparison group of 502 patients diagnosed with myalgic encephalomyelitis/chronic fatigue syndrome (ME/CFS). Participants completed a standardized symptom questionnaire and a list of additional CDC COVID-19 symptoms.

Results: Over time, the long-haulers reported an overall reduction of most symptoms including unrefreshing sleep and post-exertional malaise, but an intensification of neurocognitive symptoms. When compared to ME/CFS, the COVID-19 sample was initially more symptomatic for the immune and orthostatic domains but over time, the long-haulers evidenced significantly less severe symptoms than those with ME/CFS, except in the orthostatic domain. Among the COVID-19 long haulers, several neurocognitive symptoms got worse over time, whereas improvements occurred in most other areas.

Conclusions: These types of differential patterns of symptoms over time might contribute to helping better understand the pathophysiology of those reporting prolonged illness following COVID-19.

Source: Jason LA, Islam M, Conroy K, Cotler J, Torres C, Johnson M, Mabie B. COVID-19 Symptoms Over Time: Comparing Long-Haulers to ME/CFS. Fatigue. 2021;9(2):59-68. doi: 10.1080/21641846.2021.1922140. Epub 2021 May 5. PMID: 34484973; PMCID: PMC8411893. https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/34484973/