Tag: health policy

The COVID-19 Pandemic and the $16 Trillion Virus

The SARS-CoV-2 (severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2) pandemic is the greatest threat to prosperity and well-being the US has encountered since the Great Depression. This Viewpoint aggregates mortality, morbidity, mental health conditions, and direct economic losses to estimate the total cost of the pandemic in the US on the optimistic assumption that it will be substantially contained by the fall of 2021. These costs far exceed those associated with conventional recessions and the Iraq War, and are similar to those associated with global climate change. However, increased investment in testing and contact tracing could have economic benefits that are at least 30 times greater than the estimated costs of the investment in these approaches.

Read the full text here: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7604733/

Also see: The Economic Cost of Long COVID: An Update: https://scholar.harvard.edu/files/cutler/files/long_covid_update_7-22.pdf

Source: Cutler DM, Summers LH. The COVID-19 Pandemic and the $16 Trillion Virus. JAMA. 2020;324(15):1495–1496. doi:10.1001/jama.2020.19759. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7604733/ (Full text)

The Economic Cost of Long COVID: An Update

Relative to my earlier estimate with Lawrence Summers of the cost of long COVID of $2.6 trillion, the higher number here is higher: $3.7 trillion in total. The higher estimate is largely a result of the greater prevalence of long COVID than we had guessed at the time. There are about 10 times the number of people with long COVID as have died of COVID. Because long COVID is so new, there is uncertainty about all of the numbers involved in the calculations. Still, the costs here are conservative, based on only cases to date. The enormity of these costs implies that policy to address long COVID are urgently needed. With costs this high, virtually any amount spent on long COVID detection, treatment, and control would result in benefits far above what it costs.

Read the full text here: https://scholar.harvard.edu/files/cutler/files/long_covid_update_7-22.pdf

Note: See The COVID-19 Pandemic and the $16 Trillion Virus for background.

Source: David M. Cutler. The Economic Cost of Long COVID: An Update. Harvard University.

Long Covid: conceptualizing the challenges for public health

Abstract:

Background: Long Covid has caused significant disruption to public services, economies and population health worldwide, but no single public health approach has proven effective in its management. This essay was the winning entry for the Faculty of Public Health’s Sir John Brotherston Prize 2022.

Methods: In this essay, I synthesize existing literature on public health policy in long Covid, and discuss the challenges and opportunities posed by long Covid for the public health profession. The utility of specialist clinics and community care, in the UK and internationally, is examined, as well as key outstanding issues relating to evidence generation, health inequality and defining long Covid. I then use this information to inform a simple conceptual model.

Results: The generated conceptual model integrates community- and population-level interventions; key areas of identified policy need at both levels include ensuring equitable access to long Covid care, developing screening programmes for high-risk populations, co-production of research and clinical services with patients, and using interventions to generate evidence.

Conclusions: Significant challenges remain in the management of long Covid from a public health policy perspective. Multidisciplinary community-level and population-level interventions should be employed with a view to achieving an equitable and scalable model of care.

Source: Prashar J. Long Covid: conceptualizing the challenges for public health. J Public Health (Oxf). 2023 May 2:fdac153. doi: 10.1093/pubmed/fdac153. Epub ahead of print. PMID: 37132023. https://academic.oup.com/jpubhealth/advance-article/doi/10.1093/pubmed/fdac153/7147865 (Full text)

Post-acute neurological consequences of COVID-19: an unequal burden

COVID-19 and its neurological consequences particularly burden marginalized communities, and so can only be effectively treated by advancing health equity.

Our world has witnessed over 275 million confirmed cases of COVID-19 and over 5 million related deaths1. Marginalized communities everywhere continue to be disproportionately affected as the pandemic amplifies longstanding health and healthcare disparities. As an example, in the United States, members of the Black, Indigenous and Latino communities remain two to three times more likely to be infected with SARS-CoV-2, to be hospitalized with COVID-19 and to die from this disease2. Dismantling structural racism is necessary to improve neurological health, as greater attention is focused on understanding and addressing the post-acute neurological consequences of COVID-19, or the neurological manifestations of what is sometimes called long COVID.

Read the rest of this article HERE.

Source: Nolen, L.T., Mukerji, S.S. & Mejia, N.I. Post-acute neurological consequences of COVID-19: an unequal burden. Nat Med 28, 20–23 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41591-021-01647-5  (Full text)

Multi-source synthesis of data to inform health policy

Abstract:

OBJECTIVES: To propose a new method for comparing and integrating original qualitative data with systematic reviews of quantitative and qualitative studies, demonstrated by a study of the psychosocial needs of chronic fatigue syndrome (CFS) sufferers in Québec.

METHODS: A systematic literature review was performed across various databases for English and French language studies, on the psychosocial aspects of CFS. Qualitative, quantitative, and mixed method studies published between January 1994 and July 2008 were included. Unpublished literature and reference lists of included studies were also searched. Themes identified in the literature were used to guide semi-structured interviews with seventeen CFS-sufferers, mostly recruited from a large specialist practice in Montreal. Interviews were transcribed verbatim and validated by a research assistant. Transcripts were coded using the identified themes. New codes were created when new issues arose. All themes were subsequently synthesized into overall categories using a constant comparative method.

RESULTS: The literature search yielded thirty-one papers: twenty-eight primary studies and three systematic reviews. Twelve themes were identified and synthesized into four overall problem categories, such as “Lack of professional recognition.” Interviews confirmed findings from the literature, but also revealed unidentified needs specific to CFS-sufferers in Québec. Policy recommendations were provided to address these needs.

CONCLUSIONS: Multi-Source Synthesis provides a systematic method for synthesizing data from original studies with literature findings, thereby broadening the knowledge base and the local relevance of decisions concerning specific patient populations.

 

Source: Pedersen VH, Dagenais P, Lehoux P. Multi-source synthesis of data to inform health policy. Int J Technol Assess Health Care. 2011 Jul;27(3):238-46. doi: 10.1017/S0266462311000213. Epub 2011 Jul 8. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/21736858