Outpatient Treatment of COVID-19 and the Development of Long COVID Over 10 Months: A Multi-Center, Quadruple-Blind, Parallel Group Randomized Phase 3 Trial

Abstract:

Background: Post-acute sequelae of COVID, termed “Long COVID”, is an emerging chronic illness potentially affecting ~10% of those with COVID-19. We sought to determine if outpatient treatment with metformin, ivermectin, or fluvoxamine could prevent Long COVID.

Methods: COVID-OUT (NCT04510194) was a decentralized, multi-site trial in the United States testing three medications (metformin, ivermectin, fluvoxamine) using a 2×3 parallel treatment factorial randomized assignment to efficiently share placebo controls. Participants, investigators, care providers, and outcomes assessors were masked to randomized treatment assignment. Inclusion criteria included: age 30 to 85 years with overweight or obesity, symptoms <7 days, enrolled within <=3 days of documented SARS-CoV-2 infection. Long COVID diagnosis from a medical provider was a pre-specified secondary outcome assessed by monthly surveys through 300 days after randomization and confirmed in medical records.

Findings: Of 1323 randomized trial participants, 1125 consented for long-term follow up, and 95.1% completed >9 months of follow up. The median age was 45 years (IQR, 37 to 54), and 56% were female (7% pregnant). The median BMI was 30 kg/m2 (IQR, 27 to 34). Overall, 8.4% reported a medical provider diagnosed them with Long COVID; cumulative incidence: 6.3% with metformin and 10.6% with matched placebo. The hazard ratio (HR) for metformin preventing Long COVID was 0.58 (95%CI, 0.38 to 0.88; P=0·009) versus placebo. The metformin effect was consistent across subgroups, including viral variants. When metformin was started within <4 days of symptom onset, the HR for Long COVID was 0.37 (95%CI, 0.15 to 0.95).  No statistical difference in Long COVID occurred in those randomized to either ivermectin (HR=0.99; 95%CI, 0.59 to 1.64) or fluvoxamine (HR=1.36; 95%CI, 0.78 to 2.34).

Interpretations: A 42% relative decrease and 4.3% absolute decrease in the Long COVID incidence occurred in participants who received early outpatient COVID-19 treatment with metformin compared to exact-matching placebo.

Source: Bramante, Carolyn and Buse, John B. and Liebovitz, David and Nicklas, Jacinda and Puskarich, Michael and Cohen, Kenneth R. and Belani, Hrishikesh and Anderson, Blake and Huling, Jared D. and Thompson, Jennifer and Pullen, Matthew and Wirtz, Esteban Lemus and Siegel, Lianne and Proper, Jennifer and Odde, David J. and Klatt, Nichole and Sherwood, Nancy E. and Lindberg, Sarah and Karger, Amy B. and Beckman, Kenneth B. and Erickson, Spencer and Fenno, Sarah and Hartman, Katrina and Rose, Michael and Mehta, Tanvi and Patel, Barkha and Griffiths, Gwendolyn and Bhat, Neeta and Murray, Thomas A. and Boulware, David R., Outpatient Treatment of COVID-19 and the Development of Long COVID Over 10 Months: A Multi-Center, Quadruple-Blind, Parallel Group Randomized Phase 3 Trial. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4375620 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4375620

Comments to “Fluvoxamine and long COVID-19: a new role for sigma-1 receptor (S1R) agonists” by Khani and Entezari-Maleki

To the Editor:

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic causes short-term and long-term health problems in survivors after infection of SARS-CoV-2 (severe acute respiratory syndrome-coronavirus-2). A recent systematic review using 57 studies with 250,351 survivors of COVID-19 shows that the median proportion of COVID-19 survivors experiencing at least 1 PASC (post-acute sequelae of COVID-19) was 54% at 1 month (short-term), 55% at 2–5 months (intermediate-term), and 54% at 6 or more months (long-term) [1]. The most common sequelae involved neurologic symptoms (i.e., headaches, memory deficits, difficulty concentrating, cognitive impairment), psychiatric symptoms (i.e., depression, anxiety, sleep disorders), pulmonary abnormalities (i.e., dyspnea, cough, increased oxygen requirement, pulmonary diffusion abnormalities, chest imaging abnormalities), and functional mobility impairment (i.e., impairment in general functioning, mobility decline, reduced exercise tolerance). However, there are no therapeutic drugs for long-term symptoms in survivors of COVID-19.

The precise mechanisms underlying SARS-CoV-2 induced long-term detrimental effects remain unclear. Infection of SARS-CoV-2 can damage endothelial cells leading to inflammation, thrombi and brain damage. SARS-CoV-2-associated systemic inflammation leads to decreased monoamines and neurotrophic factors, and microglial activation in the brain, resulting in long-term neurological and psychiatric symptoms in COVID-19 survivors [2]. A retrospective study of Wuhan University (Wuhan, China) reported that patients with Epstein-Barr virus (EBV)/SARS-CoV-2 coinfection have about 3-fold risk of having a fever symptom than patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection alone, and that levels of C-reactive protein and aspartate aminotransferase in patients with EBV/SARS-CoV-2 coinfection were higher than those in patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection alone [3]. This report suggests that EBV reactivation may be associated with the severity of clinical symptoms after SARS-CoV-2 infection.

Interestingly, approximately 67% of patients (20/30) with long-term sequelae of COVID-19 were positive for EBV reactivation based on positive titers for EBV early antigen-diffuse IgG or EBV viral capsid antigen IgM [4]. Thus, EBV reactivation may play a role in long-term symptoms in COVID-19 survivors although further study using a large sample size is needed. The authors suggest that most of long-lasting symptoms in COVID-19 survivors following the recovery from SARS-CoV-2 infection might not be directly affected by the virus but probably result from SARS-CoV-2-associated inflammation and EBV reactivation [4].

In the issue, Khani and Entezari-Maleki proposed that fluvoxamine, a selective serotonin reuptake inhibitor (SSRI), may be a new therapeutic drug for long-term consequences of COVID-19 survivors [5]. Fluvoxamine has been demonstrated to prevent clinical deterioration in early-stage subjects with COVID-19 [6]. In addition of serotonin transporter inhibition, sigma-1 receptor chaperone in the endoplasmic reticulum (ER) and acid sphingomyelinase might play a role in the mechanisms of beneficial action of fluvoxamine for patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection [6,7,8]. It is also reported that sigma-1 receptor agonists such as fluvoxamine could produce potent anti-inflammatory actions by the prevention of inositol requiring enzyme 1α (IRE1) and X-box binding protein-1 (XBP-1) pathway [9]. Collectively, it is likely that sigma-1 receptor agonists such as fluvoxamine could produce potent anti-inflammatory effects through sigma-1 receptor/IRE1/XBP-1 pathway in the ER [6,7,8,9].

Among the SSRIs, fluvoxamine was the most potent at sigma-1 receptor in the brain [6,7,8]. Given the link between EBV reactivation and XBP-1 [10], it is possible that the potent sigma-1 receptor agonist fluvoxamine may have beneficial effects for long-term consequences in COVID-19 survivors through sigma-1 receptor/IRE1/XBP-1 pathway [4]. Therefore, it is of great interest to examine whether fluvoxamine can improve long-term sequelae in COVID-19 survivors.

Source: Hashimoto Y, Suzuki T, Hashimoto K. Comments to “Fluvoxamine and long COVID-19: a new role for sigma-1 receptor (S1R) agonists” by Khani and Entezari-Maleki. Mol Psychiatry. 2022 Apr 6:1–2. doi: 10.1038/s41380-022-01546-2. Epub ahead of print. PMID: 35388183; PMCID: PMC8985059. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8985059/ (Full text)