A multiomics recovery factor predicts long COVID in the IMPACC study

Abstract:

BACKGROUND: Following SARS-CoV-2 infection, approximately 10%–35% of patients with COVID-19 experience long COVID (LC), in which debilitating symptoms persist for at least 3 months. Elucidating the biologic underpinnings of LC could identify therapeutic opportunities.

METHODS: We utilized machine learning methods on biologic analytes provided over 12 months after hospital discharge from more than 500 patients with COVID-19 in the IMPACC cohort to identify a multiomics “recovery factor,” trained on patient-reported physical function survey scores. Immune profiling data included PBMC transcriptomics, serum O-link and plasma proteomics, plasma metabolomics, and blood mass cytometry by time of flight (CyTOF) protein levels. Recovery factor scores were tested for association with LC, disease severity, clinical parameters, and immune subset frequencies. Enrichment analyses identified biologic pathways associated with recovery factor scores.

RESULTS: Participants with LC had lower recovery factor scores compared with recovered participants. Recovery factor scores predicted LC as early as hospital admission, irrespective of acute COVID-19 severity. Biologic characterization revealed increased inflammatory mediators, elevated signatures of heme metabolism, and decreased androgenic steroids as predictive and ongoing biomarkers of LC. Lower recovery factor scores were associated with reduced lymphocyte and increased myeloid cell frequencies. The observed signatures are consistent with persistent inflammation driving anemia and stress erythropoiesis as major biologic underpinnings of LC.

CONCLUSION: The multiomics recovery factor identifies patients at risk of LC early after SARS-CoV-2 infection and reveals LC biomarkers and potential treatment targets.

TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT04378777.

FUNDING:

National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID), NIH (3U01AI167892-03S2, 3U01AI167892-01S2, 5R01AI135803-03, 5U19AI118608-04, 5U19AI128910-04, 4U19AI090023-11, 4U19AI118610-06, R01AI145835-01A1S1, 5U19AI062629-17, 5U19AI057229-17, 5U19AI057229-18, 5U19AI125357-05, 5U19AI128913-03, 3U19AI077439-13, 5U54AI142766-03, 5R01AI104870-07S1, 3U19AI089992-09, 3U19AI128913-03, and 5T32DA018926-1, 3U19AI1289130, U19AI128913-04S1, R01AI122220); NIH (UM1TR004528); and National Science Foundation (NSF) (DMS2310836).

Source: Gabernet G, Maciuch J, Gygi JP, Moore JF, Hoch A, Syphurs C, Chu T, Doni Jayavelu N, Corry DB, Kheradmand F, Baden LR, Sekaly RP, McComsey GA, Haddad EK, Cairns CB, Rouphael N, Fernandez-Sesma A, Simon V, Metcalf JP, Agudelo Higuita NI, Hough CL, Messer WB, Davis MM, Nadeau KC, Pulendran B, Kraft M, Bime C, Reed EF, Schaenman J, Erle DJ, Calfee CS, Atkinson MA, Brakenridge SC, Melamed E, Shaw AC, Hafler DA, Augustine AD, Becker PM, Ozonoff A, Bosinger SE, Eckalbar W, Maecker HT, Kim-Schulze S, Steen H, Krammer F, Westendorf K; IMPACC Network; Peters B, Fourati S, Altman MC, Levy O, Smolen KK, Montgomery RR, Diray-Arce J, Kleinstein SH, Guan L, Ehrlich LI. A multiomics recovery factor predicts long COVID in the IMPACC study. J Clin Invest. 2025 Sep 9;135(21):e193698. doi: 10.1172/JCI193698. PMID: 40924481; PMCID: PMC12582403. https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12582403/ (Full text)

Sex and disease severity-based analysis of steroid hormones in ME/CFS

Myalgic encephalomyelitis/chronic fatigue syndrome (ME/CFS) is a debilitating disease characterized by decreased daily activity and persistent fatigue after physical and/or cognitive exertion. Although ME/CFS affects both sexes, there is a higher preponderance of cases in women. However, endocrinological studies focused on evaluating this sex-related disparity are limited.

In this scenario, the aim of this study was to measure 9 circulating steroid hormones (SHs) divided into mineralocorticoids (aldosterone), glucocorticoids (cortisol, corticosterone, 11-deoxycortisol, cortisone), androgens (androstenedione, testosterone), and progestins (progesterone, 17α-hydroxyprogesterone) in plasma samples from mild/moderate (ME/CFSmm; females, n=20; males, n=8), severely affected patients (ME/CFSsa; females, n=24; males, n=6), and healthy controls (HC, females, n=12; males, n=17) using ultra-high performance liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry (UHPLC-MS/MS).

After correction for multiple testing, we observed that circulating levels of 11-deoxycortisol, 17α-hydroxyprogesterone in females, and progesterone in males were significantly different between HC, ME/CFSmm and ME/CFSsa. Comparing two independent groups, we found that female ME/CFSsa had higher levels of 11-deoxycortisol (vs. HC and ME/CFSmm) and 17α-hydroxyprogesterone (vs. HC).

In addition, female ME/CFSmm showed a significant increase in progesterone levels relative to HC. In contrast, we observed that male ME/CFSmm had lower circulating levels of cortisol and corticosterone, while progesterone levels were elevated compared to HC. In addition to these univariate analyses, our correlational and multivariate approaches identified differential associations between our study groups. Also, using two-component partial least squares discriminant analysis (PLS-DA), we were able to discriminate ME/CFS from HC with an accuracy of 0.712 and 0.846 for females and males, respectively.

In conclusion, our findings not only suggest the potential value of including SHs in future studies aimed at improving stratification in ME/CFS, but also provide new perspectives to explore the clinical relevance of these SH-related differences within specific patient subgroups.

Source: Cornelia Pipper, Linda Bliem, Luis León et al. Sex and disease severity-based analysis of steroid hormones in ME/CFS, 13 October 2023, PREPRINT (Version 1) available at Research Square [https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-3428946/v1] https://www.researchsquare.com/article/rs-3428946/v1 (Full text)