Trajectories of the evolution of post COVID-19 condition, up to two years after symptoms onset

Abstract:

Background: We aimed to identify trajectories of the evolution of post COVID-19 condition, up to two years after symptom onset.

Methods: The ComPaRe long COVID e-cohort is a prospective cohort of patients with symptoms lasting at least two months after SARS-CoV2 infection. We used trajectory modelling to identify different trajectories in the evolution of post COVID-19 condition, based on symptoms collected every 60 days using the long COVID Symptom Tool.

Findings: A total of 2,197 patients were enrolled in the cohort between December 2020 and July 2022 when the Omicron variant was not dominant. Three trajectories of the evolution of post COVID-19 condition were identified: “high persistent symptoms” (4%), “rapidly decreasing symptoms” (5%), and “slowly decreasing symptoms” (91%). Participants with high persistent symptoms were older and more likely to report a history of systemic diseases. They often reported tachycardia, bradycardia, palpitations, and arrhythmia. Participants with rapidly decreasing symptoms were younger and more likely to report a confirmed infection. They often reported diarrhoea and back pain. Participants with slowly decreasing symptoms were more likely to have functional diseases.

Interpretation: Most of patients with post COVID-19 condition improve slowly over time, while 5% have rapid improvement in the two years after symptom onset and 4% have a persistent condition.

Source: Servier C, Porcher R, Pane I, Ravaud P, Tran VT. Trajectories of the evolution of post COVID-19 condition, up to two years after symptoms onset. Int J Infect Dis. 2023 May 12:S1201-9712(23)00558-1. doi: 10.1016/j.ijid.2023.05.007. Epub ahead of print. PMID: 37182548; PMCID: PMC10176960. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10176960/ (Full text)

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