Severe mental illness, race/ethnicity, multimorbidity and mortality following COVID-19 infection: nationally representative cohort study

Abstract:

Background: The association of COVID-19 with death in people with severe mental illness (SMI), and associations with multimorbidity and ethnicity, are unclear.

Aims: To determine all-cause mortality in people with SMI following COVID-19 infection, and assess whether excess mortality is affected by multimorbidity or ethnicity.

Method: This was a retrospective cohort study using primary care data from the Clinical Practice Research Database, from February 2020 to April 2021. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to estimate the effect of SMI on all-cause mortality during the first two waves of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Results: Among 7146 people with SMI (56% female), there was a higher prevalence of multimorbidity compared with the non-SMI control group (n = 653 024, 55% female). Following COVID-19 infection, the SMI group experienced a greater risk of death compared with controls (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 1.53, 95% CI 1.39-1.68). Black Caribbean/Black African people were more likely to die from COVID-19 compared with White people (aHR = 1.22, 95% CI 1.12-1.34), with similar associations in the SMI group and non-SMI group (P for interaction = 0.73). Following infection with COVID-19, for every additional multimorbidity condition, the aHR for death was 1.06 (95% CI 1.01-1.10) in the SMI stratum and 1.16 (95% CI 1.15-1.17) in the non-SMI stratum (P for interaction = 0.001).

Conclusions: Following COVID-19 infection, patients with SMI were at an elevated risk of death, further magnified by multimorbidity. Black Caribbean/Black African people had a higher risk of death from COVID-19 than White people, and this inequity was similar for the SMI group and the control group.

Source: Das-Munshi J, Bakolis I, Bécares L, Dyer J, Hotopf M, Ocloo J, Stewart R, Stuart R, Dregan A. Severe mental illness, race/ethnicity, multimorbidity and mortality following COVID-19 infection: nationally representative cohort study. Br J Psychiatry. 2023 Nov;223(5):518-525. doi: 10.1192/bjp.2023.112. PMID: 37876350; PMCID: PMC7615273. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7615273/ (Full text)

Predictive models of long COVID

Abstract:

Background: The cause and symptoms of long COVID are poorly understood. It is challenging to predict whether a given COVID-19 patient will develop long COVID in the future.

Methods: We used electronic health record (EHR) data from the National COVID Cohort Collaborative to predict the incidence of long COVID. We trained two machine learning (ML) models – logistic regression (LR) and random forest (RF). Features used to train predictors included symptoms and drugs ordered during acute infection, measures of COVID-19 treatment, pre-COVID comorbidities, and demographic information. We assigned the ‘long COVID’ label to patients diagnosed with the U09.9 ICD10-CM code. The cohorts included patients with (a) EHRs reported from data partners using U09.9 ICD10-CM code and (b) at least one EHR in each feature category. We analysed three cohorts: all patients (n = 2,190,579; diagnosed with long COVID = 17,036), inpatients (149,319; 3,295), and outpatients (2,041,260; 13,741).

Findings: LR and RF models yielded median AUROC of 0.76 and 0.75, respectively. Ablation study revealed that drugs had the highest influence on the prediction task. The SHAP method identified age, gender, cough, fatigue, albuterol, obesity, diabetes, and chronic lung disease as explanatory features. Models trained on data from one N3C partner and tested on data from the other partners had average AUROC of 0.75.

Interpretation: ML-based classification using EHR information from the acute infection period is effective in predicting long COVID. SHAP methods identified important features for prediction. Cross-site analysis demonstrated the generalizability of the proposed methodology.

Source: Antony B, Blau H, Casiraghi E, Loomba JJ, Callahan TJ, Laraway BJ, Wilkins KJ, Antonescu CC, Valentini G, Williams AE, Robinson PN, Reese JT, Murali TM; N3C consortium. Predictive models of long COVID. EBioMedicine. 2023 Oct;96:104777. doi: 10.1016/j.ebiom.2023.104777. Epub 2023 Sep 4. PMID: 37672869; PMCID: PMC10494314. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10494314/ (Full text)

Prevalence and Predictive Factors of Small Intestinal Bacterial Overgrowth in Patients With Chronic Fatigue Syndrome

Introduction: Chronic fatigue syndrome (CFS) is a poorly understood illness, characterized by fatigue and related symptoms including cognitive dysfunction, headaches, joint pains, and gastrointestinal distress. Irritable bowel syndrome (IBS) is common and present in approximately 60% patients with CFS while the prevalence of small intestinal bacterial overgrowth (SIBO) in IBS is approximately 40%. Our study aimed to 1) Determine the prevalence of SIBO in patients with CFS with and without IBS symptoms 2) Identify factors associated with increased risk of SIBO.

Methods: A retrospective chart review of 479 patients with CFS referred for hydrogen/methane breath testing. Clinical documentation was reviewed to identify positive breath test result diagnosing SIBO. Statistical analysis was conducted with 2-proportions z test and logistic regression analysis to identify predictive variables of SIBO diagnosis.

Results: 479 patients with CFS referred for glucose or lactulose breath testing were identified. Three hundred sixty-seven of those patients completed a breath test with available result: 152(41%) SIBO+ (mean age (SD) 50 (17)), 164(45%) SIBO- (mean age SD 46 (15)), and 78(21%) equivocal results. In CFS patients with conclusive breath test result, 48% tested positive for SIBO, and the diagnosis of IBS was present in 186/316 (59%). There was no difference in the prevalence of IBS between the SIBO+ vs SIBO-group [98/152 (64%) vs 88/164 (53%), P < 0.05]. Using multiple logistic regression analysis, age, unknown race, and IBS diagnosis all significantly predicted increased odds of having a positive breath test (Table 1). Conversely, PPI use was associated with decreased odds of a positive breath test. Due to the high prevalence of IBS in our cohort and the association between IBS and SIBO, an analysis was performed excluding patients with IBS diagnosis. When excluding patients with IBS, unknown race and TCA use were associated with increased odds of positive breath test, while diarrhea, hypothyroidism, PPI, and naltrexone use were associated with decreased odds (P< 0.05).

Conclusion: SIBO is highly prevalent in patients with CFS referred for breath testing. Older age and comorbid IBS diagnosis predict increased odds of positive breath test. Surprisingly, PPI use predicted decreased odds despite its prior implication as a possible risk factor for SIBO. Further studies are needed to explore the underlying mechanism causing the overlap between CFS, IBS and SIBO which may provide insights into potential therapies for CFS.

Source: Karhu, Elisa MD, MS; Neshatian, Leila MD, MS; Fass, Ofer MD; Sonu, Irene MD; Nguyen, Linda Anh MD. S1821 Prevalence and Predictive Factors of Small Intestinal Bacterial Overgrowth in Patients With Chronic Fatigue Syndrome. The American Journal of Gastroenterology 118(10S):p S1351-S1352, October 2023. | DOI: 10.14309/01.ajg.0000956924.26236.c4 https://journals.lww.com/ajg/fulltext/2023/10001/s1821_prevalence_and_predictive_factors_of_small.2162.aspx

Fatigue, chronic fatigue syndrome and migraine: Intersecting the lines through a cross-sectional study in patients with episodic and chronic migraine

Abstract:

Objectives: Fatigue is a common symptom occurring in a variety of disorders. Chronic fatigue syndrome (CFS) is characterized by debilitating fatigue as the core symptom. The risk of CFS is nearly 1.5 times higher in migraine while headaches have been reported in 59% of cases with CFS. However, details of its occurrence and severity remain largely unexplored.

The primary objective of our study was to determine the occurrence and severity of fatigue and CFS in patients with episodic and chronic migraine. The secondary objectives were to define their relationship with other common comorbidities.

Materials and methods: 60 migraine patients (30 each, episodic [EM] and chronic migraine [CM]) were recruited from Neurology Outpatient Department, GIPMER a tertiary referral center in New Delhi, India. Patients’ headache severity was analyzed using the Headache impact test-6 (HIT-6) score while fatigue and other migraine accompaniments were assessed using Fatigue severity scale (FSS), Chalder fatigue scale, CDC diagnostic criteria for CFS, American College of Rheumatology Diagnostic Criteria for fibromyalgia, Hamilton Depression Scale, the Generalized Anxiety Disorder 7-Item Scale, and Epworth sleepiness Scale (ESS). Comparative analysis was further done among migraine patients with and without fatigue and CFS.

Results: The mean HIT-6 score was significantly higher in CM versus EM. The CM group had a higher mean FSS score (47.87 vs. 37.3 in EM; P = 0.004), a percentage of patients with severe fatigue (60% vs. 20% in EM; P = 0.004), and a higher percentage of patients with pathological fatigue (83.3% vs. 63.3% in EM; P = 0.04). Around 23.33% of CM patients fulfilled the criteria of CFS. Fatigue correlated positively with severity, frequency, attack duration and chronicity of the migraine episodes, along with depression, anxiety, and excessive daytime sleepiness.

Conclusion: Fatigue and related comorbid disorders are significantly more common in CM than in EM, expanding the morbidity of the condition and underscores the need to address these accompanying symptoms for devising a holistic treatment plan.

Source: Kumar H, Dhamija K, Duggal A, Khwaja GA, Roshan S. Fatigue, chronic fatigue syndrome and migraine: Intersecting the lines through a cross-sectional study in patients with episodic and chronic migraine. J Neurosci Rural Pract. 2023 Jul-Sep;14(3):424-431. doi: 10.25259/JNRP_63_2022. Epub 2023 Apr 20. PMID: 37692810; PMCID: PMC10483198. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10483198/ (Full text)

Coronavirus (COVID-19) Pandemic – A Comprehensive Review of Demographics, Comorbidities, Vaccines, Therapeutic Development, Blood Type, and Long Covid

Abstract:

The study summarizes the pandemic COVID-19’s impact on symptoms, demographics, comorbidities, and vaccine and therapeutic development and demonstrates an association with cases and mortality for the past two years. There has been rapid scientific advancement over the past two years 2020-2022 in developing vaccines and therapeutics for combating the disease. We chose three highly affected countries US, India, and China, to address the impact of demographics and comorbidities on COVID-19 using US Center for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) data.

Based on the analysis of this data, we see that the infection rate is higher in females, while the percentage of death is higher in males than females (p < 0.0001), and the number of female cases among females has increased by 1.7% while the number of deaths among females has decreased by ~1%, within the last two years. The trend of getting affected byCOVID-19 is similar during 2020-2022, i.e., Whites followed by Hispanics and Black people.

After a thorough review of many manuscripts, we concluded that diseases like cardiovascular disease (CVD), diabetes, hypertension, chronic pulmonary obstructive disease (COPD), and acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) were the typical comorbidities leading to severe COVID-19 conditions. In addition, variants of COVID-19, current vaccine and therapeutic development efforts, and relation of COVID-19 with blood type are discussed.

Finally, to conclude that for designing vaccine trials, following FDA’s guidance emphasizing stratification factors based on demographics and comorbidities should be considered while allocating treatment to patients.

Source: Bhattacharyya, Arinjita & Seth, Anand & Rai, Shesh. (2023). Coronavirus (COVID-19) Pandemic -A Comprehensive Review of Demographics, Comorbidities, Vaccines, Therapeutic Development, Blood Type, and Long Covid. 10.36959/856/540.  https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Arinjita_Bhattacharyya/publication/369579104_Coronavirus_COVID-19_Pandemic_-A_Comprehensive_Review_of_Demographics_Comorbidities_Vaccines_Therapeutic_Development_Blood_Type_and_Long_Covid/links/6423001ba1b72772e4318d7d/Coronavirus-COVID-19-Pandemic-A-Comprehensive-Review-of-Demographics-Comorbidities-Vaccines-Therapeutic-Development-Blood-Type-and-Long-Covid.pdf (Full text PDF file)

Thrombophilia and Immune-Related Genetic Markers in Long COVID

Abstract:

Aiming to evaluate the role of ten functional polymorphisms in long COVID, involved in major inflammatory, immune response and thrombophilia pathways, a cross-sectional sample composed of 199 long COVID (LC) patients and a cohort composed of 79 COVID-19 patients whose follow-up by over six months did not reveal any evidence of long COVID (NLC) were investigated to detect genetic susceptibility to long COVID.
Ten functional polymorphisms located in thrombophilia-related and immune response genes were genotyped by real time PCR. In terms of clinical outcomes, LC patients presented higher prevalence of heart disease as preexistent comorbidity. In general, the proportions of symptoms in acute phase of the disease were higher among LC patients.
The genotype AA of the interferon gamma (IFNG) gene was observed in higher frequency among LC patients (60%; p = 0.033). Moreover, the genotype CC of the methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase (MTHFR) gene was also more frequent among LC patients (49%; p = 0.045). Additionally, the frequencies of LC symptoms were higher among carriers of IFNG genotypes AA than among non-AA genotypes (Z = 5.08; p < 0.0001).
Two polymorphisms were associated with LC in both inflammatory and thrombophilia pathways, thus reinforcing their role in LC. The higher frequencies of acute phase symptoms among LC and higher frequency of underlying comorbidities might suggest that acute disease severity and the triggering of preexisting condition may play a role in LC development.
Source: da Silva R, de Sarges KML, Cantanhede MHD, da Costa FP, dos Santos EF, Rodrigues FBB, de Nazaré do Socorro de Almeida Viana M, de Meira Leite M, da Silva ALS, de Brito MTM, da Silva Torres MK, Queiroz MAF, Vallinoto IMVC, Henriques DF, dos Santos CP, Viana GMR, Quaresma JAS, Falcão LFM, Vallinoto ACR, dos Santos EJM. Thrombophilia and Immune-Related Genetic Markers in Long COVID. Viruses. 2023; 15(4):885. https://doi.org/10.3390/v15040885 https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4915/15/4/885 (Full text)

What is the impact of post-COVID-19 syndrome on health-related quality of life and associated factors: a cross-sectional analysis

Abstract:

Background: After the acute phase, symptoms or sequelae related to post-COVID-19 syndrome may persist for months. In a population of patients, previously hospitalized and not, followed up to 12 months after the acute infection, we aim to assess whether and to what extent post-COVID-19 syndrome may have an impact on health-related quality of life (HRQoL) and to investigate influencing factors.

Methods: We present the cross-sectional analysis of a prospective study, including patients referred to the post-COVID-19 service. Questionnaires and scales administered at 3, 6, 12 months were: Short-Form 36-item questionnaire (SF-36); Visual Analogue Scale of the EQ5D (EQ-VAS); in a subgroup, Beck Anxiety Inventory (BAI), Beck Depression Inventory (BDI-II) and Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index (PSQI). Linear regression models were fitted to identify factors associated with HRQoL.

Results: We considered the first assessment of each participant (n = 572). The mean scores in SF-36 and in EQ-VAS were significantly lower than the Italian normative values and remained stable over time, except the mental components score (MCS) of the SF-36 and EQ-VAS which resulted in lower ratings at the last observations. Female gender, presence of comorbidities, and corticosteroids treatment during acute COVID-19, were associated with lower scores in SF-36 and EQ-VAS; patients previously hospitalized (54%) reported higher MCS. Alterations in BAI, BDI-II, and PSQI (n = 265)were associated with lower ratings in SF-36 and EQ-VAS.

Conclusions: This study provides evidence of a significantly bad perception of health status among persons with post-COVID-19 syndrome, associated with female gender and, indirectly, with disease severity. In case of anxious-depressive symptoms and sleep disorders, a worse HRQoL was also reported. A systematic monitoring of these aspects is recommended to properly manage the post-COVID-19 period.

Source: Mastrorosa I, Del Duca G, Pinnetti C, Lorenzini P, Vergori A, Brita AC, Camici M, Mazzotta V, Baldini F, Chinello P, Mencarini P, Giancola ML, Abdeddaim A, Girardi E, Vaia F, Antinori A. What is the impact of post-COVID-19 syndrome on health-related quality of life and associated factors: a cross-sectional analysis. Health Qual Life Outcomes. 2023 Mar 22;21(1):28. doi: 10.1186/s12955-023-02107-z. PMID: 36949439; PMCID: PMC10031164. https://hqlo.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s12955-023-02107-z (Full text)

Risk Factors Associated With Post−COVID-19 Condition A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

Abstract:

Importance  Post−COVID-19 condition (PCC) is a complex heterogeneous disorder that has affected the lives of millions of people globally. Identification of potential risk factors to better understand who is at risk of developing PCC is important because it would allow for early and appropriate clinical support.

Objective  To evaluate the demographic characteristics and comorbidities that have been found to be associated with an increased risk of developing PCC.

Data sources  Medline and Embase databases were systematically searched from inception to December 5, 2022.

Study Selection  The meta-analysis included all published studies that investigated the risk factors and/or predictors of PCC in adult (≥18 years) patients.

Data Extraction and Synthesis  Odds ratios (ORs) for each risk factor were pooled from the selected studies. For each potential risk factor, the random-effects model was used to compare the risk of developing PCC between individuals with and without the risk factor. Data analyses were performed from December 5, 2022, to February 10, 2023.

Main Outcomes and Measures  The risk factors for PCC included patient age; sex; body mass index, calculated as weight in kilograms divided by height in meters squared; smoking status; comorbidities, including anxiety and/or depression, asthma, chronic kidney disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, diabetes, immunosuppression, and ischemic heart disease; previous hospitalization or ICU (intensive care unit) admission with COVID-19; and previous vaccination against COVID-19.

Results  The initial search yielded 5334 records of which 255 articles underwent full-text evaluation, which identified 41 articles and a total of 860 783 patients that were included. The findings of the meta-analysis showed that female sex (OR, 1.56; 95% CI, 1.41-1.73), age (OR, 1.21; 95% CI, 1.11-1.33), high BMI (OR, 1.15; 95% CI, 1.08-1.23), and smoking (OR, 1.10; 95% CI, 1.07-1.13) were associated with an increased risk of developing PCC. In addition, the presence of comorbidities and previous hospitalization or ICU admission were found to be associated with high risk of PCC (OR, 2.48; 95% CI, 1.97-3.13 and OR, 2.37; 95% CI, 2.18-2.56, respectively). Patients who had been vaccinated against COVID-19 with 2 doses had a significantly lower risk of developing PCC compared with patients who were not vaccinated (OR, 0.57; 95% CI, 0.43-0.76).

Conclusions and Relevance  This systematic review and meta-analysis demonstrated that certain demographic characteristics (eg, age and sex), comorbidities, and severe COVID-19 were associated with an increased risk of PCC, whereas vaccination had a protective role against developing PCC sequelae. These findings may enable a better understanding of who may develop PCC and provide additional evidence for the benefits of vaccination.

Trial Registration  PROSPERO Identifier: CRD42022381002

Source: Tsampasian V, Elghazaly H, Chattopadhyay R, et al. Risk Factors Associated With Post−COVID-19 ConditionA Systematic Review and Meta-analysisJAMA Intern Med. Published online March 23, 2023. doi:10.1001/jamainternmed.2023.0750 https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamainternalmedicine/fullarticle/2802877 (Full text)

Blood group O is associated with post-COVID-19 syndrome in outpatients with a low comorbidity index

Abstract:

Background: ABO blood group system modulates the inflammatory response and has been implicated in COVID-19. Group O protects against SARS-CoV-2 infection, but there are no data regarding post-COVID-19 syndrome (PCS). Our aim was to assess this possible association.

Methods: Case-control study in a community setting, with subjects who had experienced mild COVID-19. Cases were PCS+, controls were PCS-, and the exposure variable, group O. We collected age, sex, BMI, smoking, comorbidities, inflammatory markers, anti-SARS-CoV-2 IgG antibodies, blood type and clinical data. Five composite inflammatory indices were developed. Multivariate analyses were performed.

Results: We analysed 121 subjects (56.2% women), mean age 45.7 ± 16 years. Blood group frequencies were 41.5%, 7.9%, 5.9%, and 44.5% for A, B, AB and O, respectively. Thirty-six patients were PCS+, without significant differences between cases and controls. Compared to non-O, a higher prevalence of PCS (p = .036), and number of symptoms of PCS (p = .017) were noted in group O. Concerning biomarkers, PCS + and PCS- showed no differences in A, B, and AB groups. In contrast, group O PCS + patients had significantly lower albumin-to-globulin ratio and higher lymphocyte count, fibrinogen, CRP levels, and higher percentages of 3 composite indices, than PCS- subjects. Group O showed a 6-fold increased risk of PCS, compared to non-O (adjusted OR = 6.25 [95%CI, 1.6-23]; p = .007).

Conclusions: Group O has shown a consistent relationship with PCS, characterised by a more intense inflammatory burden than the other blood groups. Blood group O could be part of the immunological link between acute COVID-19 and PCS.

Source: Díaz-Salazar S, Navas R, Sainz-Maza L, Fierro P, Maamar M, Artime A, Basterrechea H, Petitta B, Pini S, Olmos JM, Ramos C, Pariente E, Hernández JL. Blood group O is associated with post-COVID-19 syndrome in outpatients with a low comorbidity index. Infect Dis (Lond). 2022 Dec;54(12):897-908. doi: 10.1080/23744235.2022.2115548. Epub 2022 Aug 27. PMID: 36036090. https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/23744235.2022.2115548?journalCode=infd20 (Full text)

Post-COVID-19 syndrome symptoms after mild and moderate SARS-CoV-2 infection

Abstract:

Background: Post-COVID-19 Syndrome (PCS) is characterized by residual symptoms following the initial recovery from severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection. The prevalence of PCS is known to be the highest among severe and critical forms of the disease. However, the occurrence and risk factors for PCS after mild or moderate SARS-CoV-2 infection has not been extensively investigated.

Methods: Online and offline via both paper or mailed questionnaires distributed among Jordan collected between 1st and 21st August 2021, including a total number of 800 respondents, of whom 495 had previous mild to moderate COVID-19 infection. The Newcastle post-COVID syndrome Follow-up Screening Questionnaire was modified, translated, and used as a standard instrument for data collection regarding psychological, medical, and socio-economic symptoms post-infection. The primary outcome was the prevalence of PCS after mild to moderate COVID-19 in Jordan. Secondary outcome was the identification of PCS risk factors.

Results: The most common PCS symptom was mood disturbance followed by fatigue, anxiety, and myalgia. Female gender significantly increased the risk for multiple PCS symptoms. Age < 30 years was found to be an independent risk factor for myalgia (p = 0.001).

Conclusion: PCS is highly prevalent among COVID-19 survivors in Jordan, especially in females and patients with comorbidities. Planning physical and mental rehabilitation services is recommended for those patients with PCS symptoms after mild to moderate COVID-19 infection.

Source: Al-Husinat L, Nusir M, Al-Gharaibeh H, Alomari AA, Smadi MM, Battaglini D, Pelosi P. Post-COVID-19 syndrome symptoms after mild and moderate SARS-CoV-2 infection. Front Med (Lausanne). 2022 Oct 3;9:1017257. doi: 10.3389/fmed.2022.1017257. PMID: 36262270; PMCID: PMC9573938.  https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9573938/ (Full text)